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USU

Utah State 32 at San Diego State 24

SDSU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:19 · Jack Browning punt for 65 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:43: Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 50 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK) — USU win probability +14.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:40: Davon Booth run for 19 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK) — USU win probability +15.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:10: Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +20.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:27: Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 8 yds to the USU 47 — SDSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 0:33: Jack Browning 23 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +29.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:49USU 4th & 5 at USU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17USU 4th & 1 at USU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:10SDSU 4th & 5 at USU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:28USU 4th & 3 at SDSU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:14USU 4th & 6 at SDSU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:19SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:27USU 4th & 11 at USU 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:59SDSU 4th & 9 at USU 13, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:14USU 4th & 23 at USU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:26SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 32, up 4
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:26USU 4th & 2 at USU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.9%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:04SDSU 4th & 25 at SDSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−6.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:05SDSU 4th & 8 at USU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:08SDSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.8%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:18USU 4th & 7 at SDSU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−9.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:19USU 4th & 10 at USU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−3.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:45SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:27USU 4th & 6 at SDSU 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−3.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−4.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:33SDSU 4th & 4 at USU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−22.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−35.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:10SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:43USU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:40USU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:10SDSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1151% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.6%
McCae Hillstead pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.6%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
48.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the USU 30Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
48.9%
Ryan Marks punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:5249% → 50%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Brionne PennySimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
48.9%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSU 15 Jalen Mayden fumbled, recovered by USU Jalen Mayden Shotgun Mayden,Jalen rush middle for 5 yards loss to the SDSU15 fumbled by Mayden,Jalen at SDSU16 recovered by SDSU Mayden,Jalen at SDSU15, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+16
48.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 16 yds to the SDSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
48.9%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 11 yds to the SDSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
49.0%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 7 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+1
49.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 2
50
+2
49.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
49.7%
Jack Browning punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4050% → 50%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
49.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Broc Lane for 5 yds to the USU 16Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+6
49.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 6 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
49.6%
McCae Hillstead sacked by Daniel Okpoko for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 21Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
49.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 7 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
49.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 3 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+1
49.9%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the USU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0751% → 51%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
50.8%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the USU 35Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+10
50.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 10 yds to the USU 45Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 25
OPP 45
+5
50.0%
Shotgun Mayden,Jalen pass incomplete short right to Christon,Kenan QB hurried by Motu'apuaka,Hale PENALTY USU Offside (Fitzgerald,Paul) 5 yards from USU45 to USU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+15
50.0%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 15 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
50.5%
Jack Browning 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:4250% → 51%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
50.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
49.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
49.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
49.3%
McCae Hillstead run for 2 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
49.4%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 7 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
49.1%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 6 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
48.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SDSU 45Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
49.1%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for no gain to the SDSU 45Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+6
49.4%
Ryan Marks punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 12 , Mekhi Shaw returns for 6 yds to the SDSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 3:1851% → 58%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
50.8%
Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the SDSU 18Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+3
50.8%
Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the SDSU 21Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+62
50.3%
Lucky Sutton run for 62 yds to the USU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
53.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 6 yds to the USU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
53.4%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the USU 9Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
58.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 3:5644% → 47%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.4%
McCae Hillstead pass incomplete to Micah DavisSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.6%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 24Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
57.2%
McCae Hillstead run for 17 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
55.5%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 5 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-5
55.0%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 10 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST down Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (Ralph Frias III) to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.5%
Jalen Royals pass incomplete to McCae HillsteadSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
55.7%
McCae Hillstead run for 1 yd to the USU 42Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
54.5%
Davon Booth run for 15 yds to the SDSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
53.6%
Davon Booth run for 18 yds to the SDSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
53.6%
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the SDSU 7Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
53.6%
McCae Hillstead pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
54.4%
McCae Hillstead pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+14
56.0%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Broc Lane for 14 yds Broc Lane fumbled, recovered by USU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
52.9%
William Testa 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5555% → 54%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
55.4%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 35Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
55.2%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
54.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Cam DavisSimilar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
54.1%
Jack Browning punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5246% → 43%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
54.3%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 1 yd to the USU 21Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
54.5%
McCae Hillstead run for no gain to the USU 21Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-2
55.3%
McCae Hillstead sacked by Tupu Alualu for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 19Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+13
57.2%
Ryan Marks punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USU 42 , Mekhi Shaw returns for 13 yds to the USU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:2860% → 59%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
59.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 4 yds to the USU 38Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
59.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
58.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
59.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 16 yds to the USU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
59.7%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the USU 13Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
59.7%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
58.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+2
58.9%
Zechariah Ramirez pass complete to Jack Browning for 2 yds to the USU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 3:4544% → 38%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
56.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 13 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
55.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
55.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 1 yd to the USU 32Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+6
56.4%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 6 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
54.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hillstead,McCae pass complete deep right to Vaughn,Terrell for 47 yards to the SDSU15 (McCuin,Deshawn) PENALTY USU Holding (Motes,Cole) 10 yards from USU38 to USU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+3
56.3%
McCae Hillstead run for 3 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 23
OWN 25
+1
56.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 24Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 24
OWN 24
+1
61.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 25Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 23
OWN 25
+7
62.0%
Ryan Marks punt for 47 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 7 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12Uncategorized
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:4860% → 59%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.6%
J. Mayden takes a kneeSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
59.4%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
59.9%
Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the SDSU 30Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+7
57.9%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 7 yds to the SDSU 32Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
58.5%
Jack Browning punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT TD
10 plays · 8 yds · 3:4341% → 59%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
59.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 8 yds to the USU 35Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-5
57.0%
PENALTY USU False Start (Motu'apuaka,Tavo) 5 yards from USU35 to USU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
58.7%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 35Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
58.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+4
60.0%
Anthony Switzer run for 4 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
57.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds to the USU 44Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
56.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the USU 45Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
56.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
50
0
55.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
50
+50
41.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 50 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3646% → 44%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+33
46.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Martin Blake for 33 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
50.9%
Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+7
48.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 7 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
47.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Brionne PennySimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 25
OWN 41
0
43.9%
Jack Browning punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
43.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 9 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+1
42.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 24Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-9
44.4%
Cooper Legas sacked by Zyrus Fiaseu for a loss of 9 yards to the USU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1548% → 45%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
47.9%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 39Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
47.4%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the SDSU 40Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+13
45.9%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 13 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
50.9%
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the USU 45Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
51.0%
Jalen Mayden run for no gain to the USU 45Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
49.8%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
45.0%
Jack Browning punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:2557% → 79%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
43.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 19 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
41.9%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
40.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 4 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+38
40.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 38 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
36.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 6 yds to the SDSU 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
36.4%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the SDSU 19Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+19
21.3%
Davon Booth run for 19 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2623% → 19%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
22.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 6 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+1
22.8%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the SDSU 24Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
21.8%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua NicholsonSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
18.8%
Jack Browning run for no gain to the SDSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5082% → 81%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-11
18.0%
Utah State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-11 Yards) to the SDSU 35Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 21
OPP 35
+14
19.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 14 yds to the SDSU 21Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
19.3%
William Testa 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:0820% → 46%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
19.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 19 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
21.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 6 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
22.3%
Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
23.0%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
22.5%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 13 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
25.2%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 24 yds to the USU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
25.5%
Jalen Mayden run for no gain to the USU 11Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
25.5%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 1 yd to the USU 10Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
45.9%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4271% → 66%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
29.3%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the USU 46Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
29.7%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Jalen RoyalsSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
31.2%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
33.7%
Ryan Marks punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3440% → 34%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
39.9%
Jalen Mayden sacked by Logan Pili for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 9Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 20
OWN 5
0
38.7%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Kenan ChristonSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+8
36.9%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 8 yds to the SDSU 13Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+6
34.4%
Jack Browning punt for 58 yds , Micah Davis returns for 6 yds to the USU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1872% → 79%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
27.7%
Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
24.2%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the SDSU 45Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+9
24.3%
Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+4
24.4%
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+1
21.1%
Ryan Marks punt blocked by Wyatt Draeger blocked by Wyatt Draeger Marks,Ryan punt 0 yards to the SDSU40 blocked by Draeger,Wyatt recovered by SDSU Butler,Eric at SDSU46, Butler,Eric for 1 yard to the SDSU45, End Of Play. Eric Butler return for 1 yd to the SDSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 1:5436% → 63%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
36.2%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 8 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
38.8%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+25
37.8%
Kenan Christon run for 25 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
41.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 9 yds to the USU 13Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+1
41.4%
Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the USU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
41.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
41.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
38.4%
Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the USU 6Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
62.7%
Jack Browning 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2848% → 53%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
51.8%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 9 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
47.4%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 3 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-47.4
FG · Q4 0:33
Jack Browning 23 yd FG GOOD
+29.2
TD · Q4 7:10
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)
+20.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com