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CSU

Colorado State 15 at Wyoming 24

WYO
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2023 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-13WYO 80.7%Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass completeto Dylan Goffney for 9 yds for a TD(Tory Horton pass to BraydenFowler-Nicolosi for Two-PointConversion)AWAY 15 - HOME 24 · Q4 11:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:07 · Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 9 yds for a TD (Tory Horton pass to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense+10.0Pregame prior+1.7Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:45: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 18 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — CSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:13: Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the CSU 27 for a 1ST down — WYO win probability +6.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:53: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 11 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +12.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:08: Sam Scott run for 6 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +11.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:07: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 9 yds for a TD (Tory Horton pass to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for Two-Point Conversion) — CSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 6CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:35CSU 4th & 11 at CSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14WYO 4th & 4 at CSU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46CSU 4th & 5 at WYO 30, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:25WYO 4th & 4 at CSU 38, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:38CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 31, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:36WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:21WYO 4th & 2 at CSU 35, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−2.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:11CSU 4th & 12 at WYO 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:24WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 45, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:24CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 34, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:04WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 1, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:55CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 45, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:34WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:45CSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:53WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:08WYO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:07CSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:2541% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 5 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
59.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 5 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
59.5%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (Tory Horton) to the CSU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
59.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+4
59.5%
Vann Schield run for 4 yds to the CSU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
59.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
59.7%
Paddy Turner punt for 45 yds, downed at the WYO 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:2160% → 61%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
59.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 10 yds to the WYO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
59.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 34Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
59.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+15
59.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 15 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
59.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the CSU 43Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+10
59.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the CSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
59.9%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 38Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 15
OPP 38
-7
59.8%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Marshon Oxley for a loss of 7 yards to the CSU 45Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 22
OPP 45
+15
59.7%
Colorado State Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (TJ Crandall) to the CSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
59.9%
WAYLEE, Harrison rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the CSU17 (THOMAS, Matt). PENALTY WYO Illegal Block in the Back enforced 10 yards from the CSU19 to the CSU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 20
OPP 29
0
59.9%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the CSU 29Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 20
OPP 29
0
59.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 20
OPP 29
+16
59.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 16 yds to the CSU 13Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
60.8%
John Hoyland 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:2839% → 39%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
60.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 23Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
60.8%
Avery Morrow run for 13 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
60.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
50
+15
59.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 15 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
59.5%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
59.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
60.6%
Jordan Noyes 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:1261% → 67%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
60.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 12 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
61.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Sam Scott for 5 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
61.6%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the CSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
61.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 20 yds to the CSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
62.1%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+14
62.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 14 yds to the CSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
62.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the CSU 9Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
67.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 9 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5334% → 33%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.0%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the CSU 26Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
67.5%
Paddy Turner punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:1067% → 68%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
66.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
67.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 16 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
67.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd to the CSU 43Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
67.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 5 yds to the CSU 38Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
67.0%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the CSU 38Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+55
67.9%
John Hoyland 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:4033% → 42%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
67.1%
Vann Schield run for 6 yds to the CSU 44Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+9
66.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 9 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
66.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 15 yds to the WYO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
65.6%
Vann Schield run for 5 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
65.3%
Vann Schield run for 7 yds to the WYO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
65.3%
Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the WYO 18Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
58.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 18 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 3:3562% → 61%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 13 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
63.0%
WAYLEE, Harrison rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the WYO44 (HOWELL, Jack). PENALTY WYO Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO38 to the WYO28. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+5
62.1%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+5
62.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-11
61.8%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Chase Wilson and Henry Blackburn for a loss of 11 yards to the WYO 27Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 21
OWN 27
-10
60.5%
STEWART, Clayton punt 52 yards to the CSU21 downed by SHAY, Connor, clock 04:22. PENALTY WYO Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO27 to the WYO17. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 31
OWN 17
0
60.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 72 yds, downed at the CSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:3238% → 37%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
62.5%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 13Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+9
62.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 9 yds to the CSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
63.1%
Louis Brown IV run for 3 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+6
63.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 6 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
63.4%
Paddy Turner punt for 46 yds, downed at the WYO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0262% → 62%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
62.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WYO 24Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
63.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
63.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
62.0%
Clayton Stewart punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:3636% → 35%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
64.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-8
64.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Easton Gibbs for a loss of 8 yards to the CSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 5:3963% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WYO 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
62.6%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the WYO 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+20
61.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 20 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
65.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WYO 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
64.8%
Andrew Peasley run for 10 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
65.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-2
66.4%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Chase Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
65.2%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+52
65.9%
John Hoyland 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:0838% → 38%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.5%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
60.6%
Avery Morrow run for no gain to the CSU 40Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
61.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:2069% → 82%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
68.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the CSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
69.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
69.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 5 yds to the CSU 22Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+6
68.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Colin O'Brien for 6 yds to the CSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
69.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the CSU 11Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
82.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 11 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0421% → 21%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
78.8%
Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the CSU 31Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+9
78.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 9 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:4183% → 94%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the CSU 41Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
82.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
82.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 5 yds to the CSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+20
82.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 20 yds to the CSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
83.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 4 yds to the CSU 10Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
83.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 4 yds to the CSU 6Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
94.1%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:577% → 5%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 10 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
92.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
93.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 2 yds to the CSU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+9
93.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 9 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.2%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
93.2%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WYO 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
93.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 44
-5
93.4%
Colorado State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Justus Ross-Simmons) to the WYO 49Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
94.8%
Paddy Turner punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4295% → 95%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
95.4%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 18Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
95.5%
Andrew Peasley pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
94.5%
FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ROSS-SIMMONS, Justus thrown to the WYO3. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WYO23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:226% → 19%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
93.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 7 yds to the WYO 16Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+7
93.7%
Vann Schield run for 7 yds to the WYO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
80.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 9 yds for a TD (Tory Horton pass to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:4385% → 87%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
85.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
86.2%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the WYO 40Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
85.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Sam Scott for 5 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
87.0%
Clayton Stewart punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the CSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:0012% → 12%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
88.5%
Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the CSU 17Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+8
88.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the CSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 9 yds to the CSU 34Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
88.1%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
86.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 15 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
85.1%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WYO 45Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
85.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+6
86.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 6 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+15
90.1%
FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN IV, Louis thrown to the WYO0, clock 03:44. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WYO24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-12
87.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for a loss of 12 yards to the CSU 3 Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi fumbled, recovered by WYO Tyce Westland [NHSG] QB Keeper FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden rush up the middle for a loss of 12 yards, FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden fumbled at WYO31 , recovered by WYO WESTLAND, Tyce at the WYO36, returned 61 yards to the CSU3 (ROSS-SIMMONS, Justus), clock 03:24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2093% → 94%
Q4 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the CSU 1Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.4%
Andrew Peasley run for no gain to the CSU 1Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
93.8%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:096% → 5%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
93.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+10
93.7%
FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HORTON, Tory thrown to the CSU21. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the CSU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+26
93.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 26 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
92.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
95.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 7 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+2
95.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vann Schield for 2 yds to the CSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5197% → 96%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
96.6%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 48Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+13
96.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 13 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
96.8%
Wyoming Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WYO 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 26
OWN 49
-15
96.2%
Wyoming Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WYO 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:07
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 9 yds for a TD (Tory Horton pass to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for Two-Point Conversion)
-13
TD · Q3 5:53
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 11 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q3 1:08
Sam Scott run for 6 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com