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USU

Utah State 21 at San José State 42

SJSU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Ryan Marks punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense+18.5Pregame prior+3.4Score differential+6.3Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:03: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 4 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:32: McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 25 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +11.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:27: Quali Conley run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +16.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:06: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Rogers for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +10.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:38: McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 20 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +7.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:07USU 4th & 10 at USU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:52USU 4th & 1 at SJSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−2.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:24SJSU 4th & 22 at USU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:19SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:29USU 4th & 11 at USU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:47SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:44USU 4th & 19 at USU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−4.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:29USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.7%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00USU 4th & 20 at USU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:24SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:15USU 4th & 17 at USU 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:45SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:03SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:51USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:32USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:27SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:06SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:03SJSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:38USU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:07SJSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1564% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.7%
Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 15 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for 7 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+9
63.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 6 yds to the USU 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+11
63.7%
Isaac Jernagin run for 11 yds to the USU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
65.1%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1565% → 66%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
65.1%
Keynan Higgins run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 16Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+10
65.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the USU 6Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
65.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the USU 4 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, recovered by USU Blaine SpiresSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1135% → 35%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
65.0%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 5Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+7
65.0%
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the USU 12Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+8
65.2%
HILLSTEAD, McCae pass up the middle incomplete dropped by DAVIS, Micah thrown to the USU20. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on HARVEY, DJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the USU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.9%
Terrell Vaughn run for 3 yds to the USU 23Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+17
64.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 17 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
64.7%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 41Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
65.4%
McCae Hillstead pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:4966% → 67%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
66.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+13
66.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 13 yds to the USU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
66.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 10 yds to the USU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
67.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the USU 9 Kairee Robinson fumbled, recovered by USU Devin DyeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1834% → 33%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
66.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 2 yds to the USU 11Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
66.3%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 11
-2
66.5%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 9Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
67.2%
Ryan Marks punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 4:0468% → 74%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 12
OPP 39
+12
67.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
67.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the USU 19Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
67.6%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the USU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
67.6%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the USU 12Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+6
67.6%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the USU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
67.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the USU 4Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 4 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1228% → 35%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.8%
McCae Hillstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 23Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
72.1%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 6 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
72.3%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 16 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
71.9%
McCae Hillstead run for 2 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
71.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
50
+4
71.8%
McCae Hillstead run for 4 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+5
72.5%
McCae Hillstead run for 5 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
72.4%
McCae Hillstead run for 8 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+13
71.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 13 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
71.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the SJSU 17Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+12
71.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Broc Lane for 12 yds to the SJSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
65.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:2769% → 70%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
68.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 32Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+2
68.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+22
68.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 22 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
70.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the USU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
71.1%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Enoka Migao for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 35Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+16
71.2%
Quali Conley run for 16 yds to the USU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
72.2%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 20Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-5
72.2%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 25Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 16
OPP 25
-6
71.9%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Cian Slone for a loss of 6 yards to the USU 31Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 22
OPP 31
0
71.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 22
OPP 31
+48
69.6%
Kyler Halvorsen 48 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:4630% → 45%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
69.7%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 32Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+11
70.0%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 11 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
69.2%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Davon Booth for 6 yds to the USU 49Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
67.7%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
67.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 5 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+17
67.3%
Davon Booth run for 17 yds to the SJSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
66.1%
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 25Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+25
54.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 25 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1362% → 59%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
61.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-3
63.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-5
60.6%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Blaine Spires for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSU 28Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
59.3%
Alex Weir punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4442% → 40%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
58.1%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 1 yd to the USU 21Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
58.3%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-2
59.3%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 19Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
60.4%
Ryan Marks punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3763% → 60%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 4 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
62.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
60.4%
Alex Weir punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
58.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:1642% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.0%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.2%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 30Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
58.2%
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.8%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
57.2%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 38Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-10
57.6%
(13:19) HILLSTEAD, McCae pass deep to the right complete for 37 yards to DAVIS, Micah caught at the SJS27 and advanced to the SJS25 (HARVEY, DJ), out of bounds. PENALTY USU Holding on FRIAS, Ralph enforced 10 yards from the USU38 to the USU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 19
OWN 28
0
59.3%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
60.3%
Ryan Marks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 6:1161% → 81%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
61.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
62.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
62.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
64.2%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
64.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+15
63.5%
(10:11) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Matthew thrown to the USU17. PENALTY USU Pass Interference on FRANCOIS, Jaiden enforced 15 yards to the USU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
65.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the USU 30Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
65.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 8 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+1
64.1%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the USU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
65.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 24Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+3
64.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the USU 21Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+13
64.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 13 yds to the USU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
80.5%
Quali Conley run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5826% → 25%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.0%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 9 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
73.0%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the USU 34Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
74.6%
Terrell Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:1381% → 92%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.9%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the USU 33Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
80.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+11
80.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 11 yds to the USU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
81.2%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the USU 16Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
81.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 6 yds to the USU 10Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
92.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Rogers for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:0611% → 9%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.7%
Utah State Penalty, Delay Of Game (McCae Hillstead) to the USU 20Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
88.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds to the USU 27Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-16
88.5%
McCae Hillstead sacked by Tre Smith for a loss of 16 yards to the USU 11Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+4
89.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 15Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
90.9%
Ryan Marks punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:3093% → 93%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSU 31Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+9
93.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 9 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.0%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-10
94.3%
(12:31) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right complete for 17 yards to CONLEY, Quali caught at the SJS39 and advanced to the USU37 (TUIAKI, Seni). PENALTY SJS Holding on OSTROM, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the SJS46 to the SJS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 16
OWN 36
0
94.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+4
93.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
93.4%
Alex Weir punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:299% → 8%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
91.5%
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 17Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
91.7%
McCae Hillstead pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:3195% → 99%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
95.0%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-4
95.6%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 4 yards to the USU 29Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+29
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 29 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:251% → 8%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
McCae Hillstead run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
98.6%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Cole Motes) to the USU 24Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
98.7%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 14 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
98.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 9 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
98.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.7%
McCae Hillstead run for 5 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
98.6%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+14
98.7%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 14 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.5%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.0%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 10 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.9%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the SJSU 20Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
92.0%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 20 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:3198% → 100%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
98.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-5
98.3%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Jaime Navarro) to the USU 46Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+15
98.3%
Isaac Jernagin run for 15 yds to the USU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
98.5%
Quali Conley run for 15 yds to the USU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
98.6%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the USU 11Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+10
98.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the USU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.4%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-7
99.4%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Rahsul Faison for a loss of 7 yards to the USU 12Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 17
OWN 12
0
99.5%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 17
OWN 12
0
99.5%
Ryan Marks punt for 75 yds, downed at the SJSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.8%
(01:03) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at SJS11 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
99.8%
(00:30) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at SJS10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:27
Quali Conley run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+16.5
TD · Q2 3:32
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Micah Davis for 25 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q3 2:06
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Rogers for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com