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WYO

Wyoming 27 at Air Force 34

AF
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:22 · Carson Bay punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the WYO 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+25.0Home team on offense−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential−0.3Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:43: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 14 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +13.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:47: Zac Larrier run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +10.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:14: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 7 yds for a TD (John Hoyland PAT BLOCKED) — WYO win probability +30.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:14: Timeout Air Force, clock 06:14 — AF win probability +13.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:17: John Lee Eldridge III run for 58 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +31.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:22AF 4th & 9 at AF 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:22WYO 4th & 2 at AF 28, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−3.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:22AF 4th & 6 at AF 44, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q3 1:33WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  5. Q4 11:31AF 4th & 6 at WYO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−11.8
    average punt
  6. Q4 8:41WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  7. Q4 6:14WYO 4th & 4 at AF 7, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−13.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:30WYO 4th & 16 at AF 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−5.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:38WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:38WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:23WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:59WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:26AF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:09AF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:43WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:47AF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:14WYO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−3.0
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:17AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3723% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.4%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
77.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
77.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 7 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
77.4%
Sam Scott run for 7 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
77.4%
Andrew Peasley run for no gain to the WYO 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+17
77.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 17 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
77.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Nick Miles for 22 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
77.4%
Wyoming Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+16
77.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 16 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0175% → 74%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.0%
Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Cade HarrisSimilar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the AFA 26Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
74.8%
Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Cade HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
74.2%
Carson Bay punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the WYO 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:2326% → 34%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
74.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
74.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+23
74.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 23 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
74.0%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
74.0%
PENALTY WYO False Start (Walsh,Jack) 5 yards from AF 41 to AF 46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+1
74.1%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 45Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+27
74.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 27 yds to the AFA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
73.9%
Shotgun Peasley,Andrew pass incomplete short left to Gyllenborg,John Michael PENALTY AF Personal Foul (Taylor,Trey) 9 yards from AF 18 to AF 09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.9%
Andrew Peasley run for no gain to the AFA 9Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
73.9%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the AFA 6Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 6 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3368% → 71%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.0%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
68.1%
Zac Larrier run for 15 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
68.8%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+26
68.9%
Zac Larrier run for 26 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
69.2%
Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the WYO 21Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+6
69.2%
Owen Burk run for 6 yds to the WYO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
70.6%
Owen Burk run for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:3832% → 35%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
67.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 6 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Ayir AsanteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
67.5%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+22
67.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 22 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
66.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 7 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
66.7%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the AFA 28Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+45
64.6%
John Hoyland 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:1366% → 74%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
66.0%
Zac Larrier run for 1 yd to the AFA 29Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
65.9%
Zac Larrier pass complete to Jared Roznos for 8 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
66.6%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
66.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
67.1%
Zac Larrier pass complete to Caleb Rillos for 3 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+2
66.8%
Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+39
65.4%
Owen Burk run for 39 yds to the WYO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
73.9%
Zac Larrier pass complete to John Lee Eldridge III for 17 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:2631% → 50%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 7 yds to the WYO 32Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
67.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 12 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
66.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 17 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
66.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
66.7%
Wyoming Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+5
67.5%
PENALTY WYO False Start (Wieland,Wyatt) 5 yards from AF 41 to AF 46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+18
67.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Sam Scott for 18 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
64.4%
Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the AFA 23Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
64.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 4 yds to the AFA 19Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
65.3%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
64.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
64.6%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the AFA 14Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
49.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 14 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 1:4356% → 70%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.7%
Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
56.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
56.5%
Zac Larrier run for 7 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
60.7%
Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
61.0%
Zac Larrier pass complete to Caleb Rillos for 4 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+19
61.3%
Zac Larrier pass complete to Jared Roznos for 19 yds to the WYO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
63.0%
Larrier,Zac pass incomplete deep left to Roznos,Jared broken up by Hawkins,Jakorey PENALTY WYO Pass Interference (Hawkins,Jakorey) 15 yards from WYO29 to WYO14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
63.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 7 yds to the WYO 7Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+24
70.4%
Matthew Dapore 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 10:1362% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.8%
Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
62.3%
Emmanuel Michel run for 12 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
64.0%
Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the AFA 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
64.7%
Zac Larrier run for 3 yds to the WYO 49Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
62.6%
Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.2%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+7
63.3%
Zac Larrier pass complete to Jared Roznos for 7 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
63.3%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
64.9%
Zac Larrier run for 3 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+4
63.0%
Zac Larrier run for 4 yds to the WYO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
64.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the WYO 22Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
64.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for 8 yds to the WYO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
64.9%
Zac Larrier run for 4 yds to the WYO 10Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
64.9%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the WYO 6Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
62.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the WYO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
64.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the WYO 1Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.1%
Zac Larrier run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:1431% → 28%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.2%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
68.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Sam Scott for 9 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
67.6%
Ayir Asante run for 12 yds to the WYO 25Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 22
OWN 25
-2
69.9%
Andrew Peasley sacked by PJ Ramsey for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 23Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 24
OWN 23
+16
71.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Sam Scott for 16 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
71.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:0270% → 84%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
70.4%
Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+18
70.3%
Zac Larrier run for 18 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
73.3%
Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the WYO 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+4
73.9%
Zac Larrier run for 4 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
73.2%
Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.0%
Zac Larrier run for no gain to the WYO 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
73.6%
Emmanuel Michel run for 10 yds to the WYO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
74.8%
Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
74.8%
Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Caleb RillosSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
73.3%
Air Force Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
84.0%
Matthew Dapore 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4524% → 23%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
75.7%
Andrew Peasley run for 10 yds to the WYO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
74.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 36Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-6
73.5%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Payton Zdroik for a loss of 6 yards to the WYO 30Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+5
77.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the WYO 35Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
77.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4282% → 83%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
82.1%
Jensen Jones run for 5 yds to the AFA 25Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for no gain to the AFA 25 Emmanuel Michel fumbled, recovered by WYO DeVonne HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4533% → 51%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
66.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 12 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
66.9%
Sam Scott run for 8 yds to the AFA 5Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 2
OPP 5
0
66.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Sam ScottSimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+2
69.2%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the AFA 7Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+7
48.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 7 yds for a TD (John Hoyland PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.5%
Jensen Jones run for 4 yds to the AFA 29 Jensen Jones fumbled, recovered by WYO Easton GibbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:1558% → 48%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
42.3%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 28Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+1
43.0%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 29Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-6
45.7%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Bo Richter for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 35Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+52
52.3%
John Hoyland 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:1362% → 98%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.0%
Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the AFA 40Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
65.9%
Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+58
97.6%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 58 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:3910% → 9%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 9 yds to the WYO 34Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
89.4%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to John Michael GyllenborgSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
91.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
91.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3898% → 99%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
98.0%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+14
98.4%
Jensen Jones run for 14 yds to the WYO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
98.6%
J. Jones takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:17
John Lee Eldridge III run for 58 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+31.7
TD · Q4 6:14
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 7 yds for a TD (John Hoyland PAT BLOCKED)
-30.2
TD · Q2 1:43
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 14 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com