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UNLV

UNLV 45 at Nevada 27

NEV
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:11 · Marshall Nichols punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Home team on offense−42.3Score differential−23.2Pregame prior−2.1Garbage-time factor−11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:01: Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 43 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +3.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:21: Donavyn Lester run for 16 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +4.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:38: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 82 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +9.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:00: Donavyn Lester run for 66 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +5.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:15: Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +8.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:58NEV 4th & 17 at NEV 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:08UNLV 4th & 1 at NEV 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:35NEV 4th & 17 at NEV 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:35NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:32UNLV 4th & 15 at NEV 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:24NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 9, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:43UNLV 4th & 4 at NEV 7, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:10NEV 4th & 8 at UNLV 47, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:29UNLV 4th & 17 at UNLV 18, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:11UNLV 4th & 6 at NEV 44, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 20, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:37NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 25, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:40UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:47UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:01NEV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:21UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:38UNLV Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:00UNLV Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:15NEV Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:17NEV Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:37UNLV Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:51NEV Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:0230% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.7%
Andre Meono kickoff, out-of-bounds.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
29.7%
Nevada Penalty, false start (Frank Poso) to the NEV 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-3
29.7%
Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+1
29.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 1 yd to the NEV 28Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
30.5%
Matt Freem punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:1869% → 70%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
30.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 10 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
29.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 59 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:4330% → 30%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
30.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the NEV 33Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
30.1%
Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the NEV 34Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
30.1%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 2 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
30.1%
Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NEV 31 Nevada Penalty, Offensive holding (Yards) to the NEV 31Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+5
30.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+8
30.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
30.4%
Matt Freem punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:1070% → 73%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
30.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-12
30.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 25 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Senika McKie) to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+30
30.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 30 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
29.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 8 yds to the NEV 45Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+24
29.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 24 yds to the NEV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
29.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the NEV 15Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+12
29.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 12 yds to the NEV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
29.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 4Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
29.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds to the NEV 1Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.9%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:4128% → 32%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
28.0%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the NEV 25Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+11
28.1%
Sean Dollars run for 11 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
28.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the NEV 39Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
28.4%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 4 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+14
28.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 14 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
32.3%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 43 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:4870% → 69%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
30.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 17 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Senika McKie, broken up by Jaden DedmanSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
30.0%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Jalen St. John) to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+9
30.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 9 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
29.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the NEV 49Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
30.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
29.5%
pass incomplete to Donavyn LesterSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
29.5%
pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-6
29.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Courtney Reese for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
30.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:3831% → 30%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
30.8%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
30.8%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
30.3%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 12
-5
30.1%
Nevada Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NEV 7Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 7
-4
30.0%
Nevada Penalty, false start (Aedan Seiuli) to the NEV 3Similar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 17
OWN 3
+34
30.0%
Matt Freem punt for 54 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 34 yds to the NEV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:0230% → 29%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
29.9%
Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the NEV 4Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+28
29.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Keleki Latu for 28 yds to the NEV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
30.6%
Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the NEV 38Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
32.0%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the NEV 41Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
31.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for no gain to NEV 41Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-5
30.7%
Nevada Penalty, false start (Jayden O'Rourke) to the NEV 36Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
29.3%
Matt Freem punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:1471% → 76%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
29.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the NEV 22Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
29.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the NEV 16Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+16
24.4%
Donavyn Lester run for 16 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10INT
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:3626% → 25%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+48
25.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 48 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
27.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Keleki Latu for 18 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
27.3%
Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
27.3%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 6 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
27.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
27.3%
Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
27.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
25.1%
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted by Jackson Woodard at UNLV 7 returned for 1 yd to UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 3:0377% → 86%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
23.1%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
23.1%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+4
23.4%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
22.9%
Jayden Maiava sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
23.1%
Donavyn Lester run for no game to UNLV 18Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+82
13.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 82 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:0388% → 90%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
11.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 3 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
11.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+5
12.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
11.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Senika McKie for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Richard Toney Jr.) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
11.2%
Jayden Maiava run for 11 yds to the NEV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
11.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
9.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the NEV 38Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-8
9.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the NEV 36 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Jack Hasz) to the NEV 46Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
9.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 15
OPP 46
+38
9.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 38 yds UNLV Penalty, substitution infraction (Jaxen Turner) to the NEV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13INT
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:2113% → 13%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
12.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 2 yds to the NEV 10 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, roughing passer (Alexander Whitmore) to the NEV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 4 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
13.0%
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted by Johnathan Baldwin at NEV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0090% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
9.8%
Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
4.2%
Donavyn Lester run for 66 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:404% → 13%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+31
4.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 31 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
4.7%
Sean Dollars run for 8 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+14
4.3%
Sean Dollars run for 14 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
5.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Sean DollarsSimilar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+20
4.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 20 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
4.7%
Sean Dollars run for no gain to the UNLV 6Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.4%
Courtney Reese run for 15 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
7.1%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 9 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
6.9%
Courtney Reese run for no gain to UNLV 49Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
7.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Courtney Reese for 4 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
7.0%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
7.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
7.1%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the NEV 38Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-5
7.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Christian Earls) to the NEV 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 4:5111% → 8%
Q3 11:15
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
11.0%
pass incomplete to John Jackson IIISimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 13
OWN 9
0
10.9%
pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
7.5%
Matt Freem punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:4196% → 97%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
4.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 36Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+13
4.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 13 yds to the NEV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
3.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 27Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+2
4.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Donavyn Lester for 2 yds Jayden Maiava fumbled, recovered by UNLV Donavyn LesterSimilar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+12
4.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Senika McKie for 12 yds to the NEV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
3.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEV 9Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
3.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEV 5Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-2
4.0%
Donavyn Lester run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 7Similar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
3.1%
Jose Pizano 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:264% → 7%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.8%
Sean Dollars run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 24Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-8
3.7%
Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NEV 16Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
3.5%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
3.5%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
3.5%
pass incomplete to Spencer CurtisSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+15
2.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Thomas Anderson) to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
3.3%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+16
3.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 16 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
3.4%
pass incomplete to Spencer CurtisSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
3.4%
Sean Dollars run for 7 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+3
3.3%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, off-side (Senika McKie) to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.7%
Sean Dollars 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
6.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4896% → 96%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
4.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
4.6%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
4.7%
Jayden Maiava sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+12
4.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 50 yds , Carlos Sandy returns for 12 yds to the NEV 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:505% → 5%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
4.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 43Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+11
4.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 11 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+30
5.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Keleki Latu for 30 yds Brendon Lewis fumbled, recovered by UNLV Trenton HollowaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:2897% → 97%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
3.5%
Courtney Reese run for 7 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
3.6%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+14
3.7%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 14 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
3.4%
Nevada Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marcel Walker-Burgess) to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
3.3%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the NEV 45Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
3.3%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEV 44Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
3.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Courtney ReeseSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
2.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:263% → 3%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.3%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
3.2%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
3.2%
pass incomplete to Marshaun BrownSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
2.5%
pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 2:0898% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
2.2%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEV 19Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
2.2%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the NEV 14Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+5
2.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the NEV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.3%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:460% → 2%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to John Jackson III, broken up by Johnathan BaldwinSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.3%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 7 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
0.3%
Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 25 Brendon Lewis fumbled, recovered by NEV Cameron ZeidlerSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+20
0.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 20 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
1.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 55 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
1.2%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the NEV 48Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
1.2%
Courtney Reese run for 6 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
1.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:38
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 82 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q3 11:15
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q3 14:00
Donavyn Lester run for 66 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com