Try the model
SJSU

San José State 27 at Boise State 35

BOIS
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:30 · Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+7.1Home team on offense−12.7Score differential−3.7Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:56: Quali Conley run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: Maddux Madsen run for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +12.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:34: Taylen Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +16.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 14:25: Taylen Green run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +22.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:30: Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +19.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:47BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11SJSU 4th & 17 at SJSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:39BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55SJSU 4th & 4 at BOIS 16, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:20SJSU 4th & 8 at BOIS 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:31BOIS 4th & 6 at SJSU 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:26SJSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:47BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−2.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:20SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 42, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:30SJSU 4th & 4 at BOIS 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−1.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−10.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:13SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 46, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:13BOIS 4th & 1 at SJSU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−5.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−16.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:50BOIS 4th & 5 at SJSU 37, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:15SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:13SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:02SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:33BOIS Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:56SJSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:42BOIS Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:34BOIS Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:25BOIS Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:30BOIS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1375% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.0%
Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
75.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
75.0%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Noah Lavulo for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 29Similar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
74.7%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3625% → 26%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
74.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 13 yds to the SJSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
74.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
74.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for 3 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-12
74.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Andrew Simpson and Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 12 yards to the SJSU 26Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
74.4%
Alex Weir punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:3974% → 75%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
74.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 19 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
74.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the SJSU 33 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by SJSU Bryun ParhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:1926% → 29%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
73.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
73.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 34Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+34
74.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 34 yds to the BOIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
73.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 21 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
70.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.3%
Maddux Madsen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0430% → 33%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
70.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+14
70.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 14 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
67.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2368% → 67%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
68.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
68.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
67.0%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:4434% → 43%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.1%
Isaac Jernagin run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
66.1%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 23Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+21
66.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 21 yds to the SJSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+16
65.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 16 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the BOIS 40Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
62.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 41Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+19
62.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 19 yds to the BOIS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
62.8%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the BOIS 21Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
62.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the BOIS 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+5
59.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 5 yds to the BOIS 16Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
56.7%
Kyler Halvorsen 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:1757% → 62%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-6
57.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 6 yards to the BOIS 12Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+5
57.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds to the BOIS 17Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+83
62.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Eric McAlister for 83 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:1337% → 43%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+63
63.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 63 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
62.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 14Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+9
62.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 9 yds to the BOIS 5Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-5
62.5%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BOIS 10Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
62.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
57.1%
Kyler Halvorsen 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FUMBLE
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:3859% → 59%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
58.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 11 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
59.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+11
59.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Billy Bowens for 11 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
60.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+6
60.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Eric McAlister for 6 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 9
OPP 30
+9
61.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyler Crowe for 9 yds to the SJSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
58.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the SJSU 16 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by SJSU Bryun ParhamSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
58.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the SJSU 16 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by SJSU Bryun ParhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 2:4647% → 56%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+58
53.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 58 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
51.3%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the BOIS 24Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+13
51.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 13 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
51.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
43.9%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 4:1443% → 51%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
42.5%
Jambres Dubar run for 8 yds to the BOIS 38Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
43.6%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
44.4%
Maddux Madsen run for 1 yd to the BOIS 42Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
44.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Jambres Dubar for 7 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
44.3%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
44.7%
Tyler Crowe run for 4 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
39.3%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+7
38.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Tyler Crowe for 7 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
39.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+18
39.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Eric McAlister for 18 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
41.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
39.6%
Maddux Madsen run for 11 yds to the SJSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
51.2%
Maddux Madsen run for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:3458% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 9 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
41.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
40.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Skylar Loving-Black for 7 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
35.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for 4 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
34.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-4
34.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSU 47Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
36.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
36.3%
Alex Weir punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3938% → 34%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
37.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+8
38.7%
Maddux Madsen run for 8 yds to the BOIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
38.9%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Jay Kakiva for a loss of 8 yards to the BOIS 13Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+1
38.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 14Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+7
37.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Billy Bowens for 7 yds to the BOIS 21Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
34.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2769% → 69%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
31.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
30.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
31.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 5 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
30.7%
Alex Weir punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BOIS 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4633% → 54%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+68
32.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 68 yds to the SJSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
37.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SJSU 4Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
37.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.5%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0456% → 62%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.2%
Isaac Jernagin run for 2 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
44.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 14 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
41.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 14 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
40.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 6 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+4
40.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
40.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
40.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 6 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
35.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
38.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0546% → 75%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
46.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+8
46.3%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+44
47.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 44 yds to the SJSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
52.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
75.3%
Taylen Green run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:1233% → 35%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
67.4%
San José State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Ostrom) to the SJSU 16Similar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 19
OWN 16
+1
68.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Skylar Loving-Black for 1 yd to the SJSU 17Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+14
68.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 14 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
66.7%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Skylar Loving-Black) to the SJSU 26Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
67.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 14 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
62.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 39Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
64.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 4 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+3
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
64.8%
Alex Weir punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:4369% → 96%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
68.6%
GREEN, Taylen pass to the right complete for 12 yards to MCALISTER, Eric caught at the BOI30 and advanced to the BOI32 (LATU, Taniela), out of bounds. PENALTY BOI Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the BOI20 to the BOI15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
68.3%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+21
67.1%
Maddux Madsen run for 21 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
70.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 37Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
69.9%
Taylen Green run for 15 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
73.4%
San José State Penalty, Targeting on SMITH, Tre enforced (Tre Smith) to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
75.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
75.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
73.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+16
71.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the SJSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
75.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the SJSU 3Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SJSU 2Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:127% → 6%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
93.3%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass short to the right incomplete intended for MAZOTTI, Dominick thrown to the SJS43. PENALTY SJS Holding on CARMONA, JR., Fernando enforced 10 yards from the SJS40 to the SJS30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2896% → 98%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
96.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-5
96.4%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+2
96.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+5
97.3%
San José State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SJSU 36Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-1
98.7%
Maddux Madsen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 37 Maddux Madsen fumbled, recovered by BOIS Maddux MadsenSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+54
98.4%
Jonah Dalmas 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:355% → 4%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
94.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
95.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-3
95.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Marco Notarainni for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.9%
Kneel down by GREEN, Taylen at SJS36 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:25
Taylen Green run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+22.5
TD · Q4 3:30
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+19.6
TD · Q3 5:34
Taylen Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com