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FRES

Fresno State 19 at Wyoming 24

WYO
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:48 · Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+17.3Pregame prior−0.4Garbage-time factor+5.7Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Time remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 14 yds for a TD — WYO win probability +3.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:17: Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 6 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +3.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:42: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 4 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +9.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:31: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 12 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +15.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:17: Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — FRES win probability +12.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 5FRES made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:15FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:15FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:59WYO 4th & 15 at FRES 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:33FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:33FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:54FRES 4th & 16 at FRES 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:16WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 47, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:18FRES 4th & 1 at FRES 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.6%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:36FRES 4th & 5 at WYO 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:53WYO 4th & 7 at FRES 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:00FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:22WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 20, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:31FRES 4th & 17 at WYO 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:48WYO 4th & 2 at FRES 30, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−1.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−3.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:48FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−8.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:55WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:17FRES Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:42WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:31WYO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:17FRES Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    19.0%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4563% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds to the FRES 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
36.7%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
36.7%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
37.0%
Carson King punt for 52 ydsSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
37.0%
Carson King punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 7:1637% → 40%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
37.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 11 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
37.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 31Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
37.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
37.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the WYO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
37.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 6 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
37.0%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+11
37.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 11 yds to the FRES 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
37.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the FRES 40Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+15
37.0%
Fresno State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Carlton Johnson) to the FRES 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
37.1%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 3 yards to the FRES 15Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 13
OPP 15
-2
37.1%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 17Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
39.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
39.9%
John Hoyland 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2659% → 58%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
40.6%
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 23Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
40.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 8 yds to the FRES 31Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.6%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
41.7%
Carson King punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
41.7%
Carson King punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:3841% → 49%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
40.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Jamari Ferrell for 6 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+4
41.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 4 yds to the WYO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
40.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
41.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
41.8%
Jamari Ferrell run for 7 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
42.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 4 yds to the FRES 41Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
42.0%
Fresno State Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the FRES 36Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
42.0%
Evan Svoboda run for 6 yds to the FRES 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
45.2%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Treyton Welch for 16 yds to the FRES 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
49.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3852% → 57%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.4%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
48.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
48.1%
Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the FRES 40Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+50
47.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 50 yds to the WYO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
45.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the WYO 10Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
45.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 4 yds to the WYO 6Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 6 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3545% → 56%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
44.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 16 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
46.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 11 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
46.9%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Devo Bridges for a loss of 6 yards to the WYO 46Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+6
45.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 6 yds to the FRES 48Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+15
45.4%
Fresno State Penalty, Personal Foul (Chrishawn Gordon) to the FRES 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
47.3%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WIELAND, Wyatt thrown to the FSU0. PENALTY FSU Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the FSU19 to the FSU10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
47.3%
Devin Boddie Jr. run for 3 yds to the FRES 6Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
47.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the FRES 4Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 4 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:4244% → 38%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
56.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 23Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+11
55.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 11 yds to the FRES 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
55.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 43Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
54.3%
Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 43Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
54.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
54.6%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-6
55.3%
Mikey Keene sacked by Shae Suiaunoa for a loss of 6 yards to the FRES 41Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
61.7%
Carson King punt for 47 yds, downed at the WYO 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 2:2359% → 83%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
59.2%
Andrew Peasley run for 16 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
61.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 31Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+7
60.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 7 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
62.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 3 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+15
63.0%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass to the left incomplete intended for MARQUEZ, Ryan thrown to the FSU50. PENALTY FSU Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the WYO41 to the FSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.4%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
64.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the FRES 43Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+10
63.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 10 yds to the FRES 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
65.3%
Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the FRES 25Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+13
67.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 13 yds to the FRES 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
82.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 12 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
[NH] Kneel down by KEENE, Mikey at FSU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
77.0%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Alex thrown to the WYO31. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WYO40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:4478% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
77.7%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
77.4%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the WYO 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-10
76.6%
PEASLEY, Andrew scrambles to the right for a gain of 22 yards to the FSU38 (GORDON, Chrishawn). PENALTY WYO Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO40 to the WYO30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+17
75.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 17 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
80.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 37 yds, downed at the FRES 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:4020% → 19%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
80.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 14 yds to the FRES 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
79.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 2 yds to the FRES 32Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
79.4%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
82.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the FRES 39Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+3
81.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
81.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 7 yds to the FRES 49Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
80.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+14
80.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 14 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
80.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
79.0%
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the WYO 28Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
80.2%
run for 2 yds to the WYO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
79.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for no gain Jalen Moss fumbled, recovered by FRES Jalen MossSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
79.5%
Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the WYO 21Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
80.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
81.0%
Dylan Lynch 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:4385% → 90%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.3%
Will Pelissier run for 4 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
85.3%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 27Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
84.7%
PEASLEY, Andrew sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the WYO20 (LANGLEY, Malachi). PENALTY FSU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the WYO27 to the WYO42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
86.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
85.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
86.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
86.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the FRES 45Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
85.7%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
89.8%
Clayton Stewart punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:5313% → 10%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
87.2%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 5 yds to the FRES 19Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
87.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 23Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
86.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 15 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
89.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+6
89.5%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 6 yds to the FRES 46Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
90.1%
Carson King punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3892% → 93%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
92.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 17Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+3
92.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 3 yds to the WYO 20Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
92.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
92.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:519% → 9%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
91.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds to the FRES 29Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+19
90.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 19 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
90.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+19
90.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 19 yds to the WYO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
89.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 4 yds to the WYO 20Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+7
89.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 7 yds to the WYO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
89.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
89.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 6 yds to the WYO 7Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-13
90.2%
Mikey Keene sacked by DeVonne Harris for a loss of 13 yards to the WYO 20Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+38
90.9%
Dylan Lynch 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1411% → 25%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.7%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.7%
FIFE, Logan pass short to the left incomplete intended for WATSON, Tre broken up by BERTAGNOLE, Jordan at the WYO45. PENALTY WYO Offsides enforced 5 yards from the WYO48 to the WYO43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+22
88.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 22 yds to the WYO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
87.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 7 yds to the WYO 14Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-5
87.2%
Fresno State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WYO 19Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+10
87.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 10 yds to the WYO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
87.2%
Logan Fife sacked by Easton Gibbs and Cole Godbout for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 13Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
87.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds to the WYO 8Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:2985% → 93%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the WYO 31Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
85.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
89.3%
Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the FRES 48Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
89.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
91.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the FRES 34Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
92.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the FRES 31Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+1
91.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the FRES 30Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+47
92.9%
John Hoyland 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:0212% → 13%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
87.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the FRES 37Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
86.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
87.1%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+9
88.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.5%
Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 6
50
0
86.9%
Logan Fife pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4695% → 95%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.4%
Kneel down by PEASLEY, Andrew at FSU27 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
95.1%
Kneel down by PEASLEY, Andrew at FSU28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 12 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q4 5:17
Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-12.9
TD · Q2 6:42
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 4 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com