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CSU

Colorado State 24 at Utah State 44

USU
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Robert Briggs Jr. run for 5 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:10: Davon Booth run for 22 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +7.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:50: Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 24 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +11.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:49: Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 76 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +12.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:53: Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 51 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +13.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:55: Kobe Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — CSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:31CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27CSU 4th & 3 at USU 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:36USU 4th & 5 at USU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:03USU 4th & 15 at USU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:36CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:20USU 4th & 15 at CSU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:16CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 10, up 17
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:20USU 4th & 11 at CSU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:49CSU 4th & 11 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:45CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:08USU 4th & 2 at CSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.9
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:48CSU 4th & 14 at CSU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:53CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:57USU 4th & 2 at CSU 43, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−3.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:57CSU 4th & 2 at USU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%−3.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−2.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:38CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:37USU 4th & 27 at CSU 40, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:36CSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:34CSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:10USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:50USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:49USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:53USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:38USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:55CSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:58USU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2265% → 65%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
34.8%
Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the CSU 17Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
34.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
34.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 5 yds to the CSU 22Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
35.4%
Paddy Turner punt for 38 yds , returns for no gain to the USU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:0465% → 64%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
35.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
35.1%
Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 42Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+23
35.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 23 yds to the USU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
35.1%
Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 20Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
35.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 11
OPP 20
-5
35.2%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 25Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+13
35.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Kobe Johnson for 13 yds to the USU 12Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
35.7%
Jordan Noyes 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5136% → 34%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.8%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 30Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+79
34.3%
Tory Horton 79 Yd Punt Return (Jordan Noyes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3035% → 35%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
34.8%
Cooper Legas pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:3266% → 68%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
34.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 11 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
31.9%
Vann Schield run for 22 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3134% → 30%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.9%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the USU 25Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
33.9%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.9%
Cooper Legas sacked by Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 5 yards to the USU 20Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
30.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2769% → 69%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
30.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
30.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
30.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
30.7%
Paddy Turner punt for 40 yds, downed at the USU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:1631% → 29%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
30.5%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
30.5%
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+5
30.7%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
29.9%
Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
30.2%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
30.3%
Cooper Legas sacked by Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 6 yards to the USU 42Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+17
29.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 17 yds to the CSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
30.3%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
30.3%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-7
30.2%
Cooper Legas sacked by Henry Blackburn for a loss of 7 yards to the CSU 46Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
28.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, downed at the CSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0471% → 71%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
29.2%
Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the CSU 4Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
29.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+6
29.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vann Schield for 6 yds to the CSU 10Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
28.6%
Paddy Turner punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5629% → 31%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
28.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the CSU 29Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
29.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the CSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
29.3%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
29.2%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the CSU 20Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-6
28.9%
Cooper Legas sacked by Chase Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the CSU 26Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
30.7%
Elliott Nimrod 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11INT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2371% → 74%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds to the CSU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
28.9%
Kobe Johnson run for 3 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
29.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Kobe Johnson for 4 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
28.9%
Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
28.5%
Kobe Johnson run for 7 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
28.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
28.5%
Kobe Johnson run for 9 yds to the USU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
28.5%
Kobe Johnson run for 5 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
26.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4928% → 27%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the USU 20Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
27.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 3 yds to the USU 23Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
27.2%
Cooper Legas pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:0074% → 74%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
26.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 6 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-2
26.0%
Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 45Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-5
26.2%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line fumbled, recovered by CSU Kobe Johnson , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 11
50
0
25.9%
Paddy Turner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 2:3927% → 36%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
26.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 9 yds to the USU 20Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+6
26.9%
Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the USU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+37
27.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 37 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
28.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 3 yds to the CSU 34Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
28.8%
LEGAS, Cooper pass to the left incomplete intended for ROYALS, Jalen broken up by ANUSIEM, Chigozie at the CSU26. PENALTY Before the snap, CSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the CSU34 to the CSU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
28.8%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the CSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
28.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
28.7%
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the CSU 22Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+22
36.4%
Davon Booth run for 22 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15INT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:5467% → 66%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
33.5%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the CSU 14Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 15
OWN 14
-5
33.6%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 9Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 20
OWN 9
+2
34.2%
Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the CSU 11Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 18
OWN 11
0
33.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 18
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:2236% → 50%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+27
35.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 27 yds to the CSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
37.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+11
37.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 11 yds to the CSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
37.9%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the CSU 14 Utah State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CSU 24Similar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+24
49.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 24 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0557% → 56%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
43.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 7 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
44.1%
Paddy Turner punt for 65 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18MISSED FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 2:3746% → 48%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
46.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 2 yds to the USU 5Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+25
46.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 25 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
47.0%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 9 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
49.0%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the USU 39Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
48.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 5 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+24
48.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 24 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
50.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+7
50.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 7 yds to the CSU 24Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
49.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
47.9%
Elliott Nimrod 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
43.6%
Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the CSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1147% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
46.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
46.6%
Davon Booth run for no gain to the USU 24Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+76
58.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 76 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5340% → 37%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
59.9%
Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the CSU 10Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
59.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
61.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 9
OWN 10
-5
61.7%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (Peter Montini) to the CSU 5Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 14
OWN 5
0
62.7%
Paddy Turner punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:5563% → 77%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
63.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
63.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 49Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+51
76.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 51 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:0025% → 25%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.9%
Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the CSU 26Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
74.9%
Colorado State Penalty, Illegal Snap on GARDNER, Jacob enforced (Jaylen Gardner) to the CSU 21Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
74.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
75.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 16 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
72.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
74.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 4 yds to the CSU 41Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
74.6%
Paddy Turner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:5676% → 81%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
75.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
75.4%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 6 yds to the USU 26Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
74.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 9 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
75.9%
Cooper Legas sacked by Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 32Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-1
75.4%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 31Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+18
74.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 18 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
77.0%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 6 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
77.0%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the CSU 44Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
76.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the CSU 43Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
80.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 34 yds, downed at the CSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25FUMBLE
16 plays · 83 yds · 5:1920% → 16%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
79.9%
Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 8Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+18
80.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 18 yds to the CSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
78.7%
Kobe Johnson run for 10 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
77.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 9 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
75.5%
Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the CSU 45Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
76.5%
Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
76.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+8
77.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 8 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+3
76.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vann Schield for 3 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
75.2%
Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
84.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+18
84.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 18 yds to the USU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
82.6%
Kobe Johnson run for 5 yds to the USU 14Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
84.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 6 yds Dallin Holker fumbled, recovered by USU Seni TuiakiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:3591% → 93%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
91.3%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
91.5%
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the USU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
91.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 27 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
92.2%
Davon Booth run for 8 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+15
92.3%
Davon Booth run for 15 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-11
93.4%
Cooper Legas sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the CSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4710% → 10%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
89.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 7 yds to the CSU 48Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
89.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
90.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:0094% → 98%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
93.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 15 yds to the CSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
93.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 14 yds to the CSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 19 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 29TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:372% → 10%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
98.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 8 yds to the CSU 24Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+13
98.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 13 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
98.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 7 yds to the CSU 44Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
98.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 5 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
98.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 7 yds to the USU 44Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
98.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 4 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
98.1%
Utah State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Michael Anyanwu) to the USU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
97.8%
FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN IV, Louis broken up by ANYANWU, Michael at the USU0. PENALTY USU Pass Interference on ANYANWU, Michael enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the USU10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.4%
Kobe Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:5295% → 99%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
94.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 8Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+5
94.6%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the USU 13Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+24
94.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 24 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 2 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
95.3%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 5 yds to the USU 44Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
95.3%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the USU 39Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
95.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 3 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 5
OWN 42
-5
94.8%
Utah State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the USU 37Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+15
96.5%
KOTSANLEE, Stephen punt 38 yards to the CSU25 downed by ROWAN, Kyrese , clock 05:08. PENALTY CSU Roughing the Kicker on OLSON, Dane enforced 15 yards from the USU37 to the CSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
99.2%
Davon Booth run for 48 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 31FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:161% → 1%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-3
99.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the CSU 21Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
99.6%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the CSU 21Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-15
99.6%
Utah State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on ALO, Falepule enforced (-15 Yards) to the CSU 35Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 22
OPP 35
-5
99.5%
Utah State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cooper Legas) to the CSU 40Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 27
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Ryan Marks punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 33INT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 9 yds to the CSU 29Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
99.4%
KJ Edwards run for 6 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 5 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+12
99.4%
KJ Edwards run for 12 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · 13 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.8%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 8 yds to the USU 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 5 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:53
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 51 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q3 13:49
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 76 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q2 3:50
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 24 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com