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UNM

New Mexico 26 at Wyoming 35

WYO
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:26 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 61 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for no gain to the WYO 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+21.1Home team on offense−8.4Score differential−5.1Garbage-time factor−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:38: John Hoyland 38 Yd Field Goal — UNM win probability +8.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:56: Harrison Waylee 46 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick) — UNM win probability +8.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:15: John Hoyland 34 Yd Field Goal — UNM win probability +8.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:57: John Hoyland 26 Yd Field Goal — UNM win probability +6.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: D.J. Washington 11 Yd pass from Devon Dampier (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +6.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:45WYO 4th & 9 at UNM 39, down 10
    Close callPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:18UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:50UNM 4th & 15 at WYO 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:38WYO 4th & 16 at UNM 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:26UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:46WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:15WYO 4th & 3 at UNM 17, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:15UNM 4th & 7 at WYO 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−12.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:36WYO 4th & 3 at UNM 41, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−3.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:08UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−5.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:57WYO 4th & 9 at UNM 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−9.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:10UNM 4th & 11 at WYO 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:54WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:12UNM 4th & 5 at WYO 11, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−4.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:06WYO 4th & 3 at UNM 21, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.6%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:50UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1014% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 6 yds to the UNM 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
85.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
85.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
85.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
85.6%
Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+8
85.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 8 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
85.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 19 yds to the WYO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
83.7%
Jeremiah Hixon 17 Yd pass from Dylan Hopkins (Luke Drzewiecki PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0183% → 82%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
83.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 12 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
83.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 13 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
83.5%
Wyoming Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNM 45Similar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+6
83.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 6 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
83.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 3 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OPP 36
-3
83.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 39Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
81.5%
Clayton Stewart punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2719% → 19%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
81.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 2 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
81.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson, broken up by Kolbey TaylorSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-9
81.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 13Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
80.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 3:2081% → 79%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
80.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 5 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+17
81.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 17 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
81.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 8 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
81.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the UNM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
81.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 22 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.7%
Andrew Peasley 2 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 6:0822% → 27%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.1%
New Mexico Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Hixon) to the UNM 20Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
78.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
78.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 17 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
77.5%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+20
74.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 20 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
74.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-3
74.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+13
74.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 13 yds to the WYO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
74.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon, broken up by Isaac WhiteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
74.6%
pass incomplete to D.J. WashingtonSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
72.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Ryan Davis, broken up by Wrook BrownSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 10
OPP 17
-5
72.8%
New Mexico Penalty, delay of game (Jeremiah Hixon) to the WYO 22Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
73.2%
Luke Drzewiecki 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
12 plays · 10 yds · 7:3471% → 62%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the WYO 32Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
71.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
71.3%
Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
50
+15
72.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Alex Brown for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jeremiah Hixon) to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
73.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+15
73.1%
Andrew Peasley run for 15 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
73.1%
pass incomplete to Harrison WayleeSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
73.1%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the UNM 12Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+38
64.9%
John Hoyland 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
62.9%
pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
61.9%
New Mexico Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Gabriel Lopez) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:0634% → 38%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
65.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 6 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+2
65.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 18Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+2
66.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 2 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
63.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 11 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
62.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
62.4%
pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
63.4%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
61.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 61 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for no gain to the WYO 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4060% → 55%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
59.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WYO 3Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+8
59.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the WYO 11Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
59.1%
Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
55.3%
Clayton Stewart punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9Uncategorized
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
55.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 20 yds to the WYO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
55.1%
pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
57.8%
Andrew Peasley run for 9 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
59.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
58.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr., broken up by Zach MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
49.7%
Harrison Waylee 46 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:4556% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.2%
Wyoming Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
55.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 6 yds to the WYO 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
56.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WYO 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
55.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 14 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
57.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
50
+1
58.8%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
58.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 25 yds to the UNM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
60.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 4 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
60.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the UNM 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
58.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler KiehneSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
50.5%
John Hoyland 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:0850% → 54%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
49.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 17 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
48.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 1 yd to the UNM 43Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
48.2%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
45.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 2:4153% → 59%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.0%
pass incomplete to Sherod White New Mexico Penalty, illegal shift (D.J. Washington) to the UNM 25Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
47.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington, broken up by Easton GibbsSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
48.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 15 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
45.1%
Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the UNM 41Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
45.4%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+48
45.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 48 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
44.4%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the WYO 8Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
44.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Caleb Medford, broken up by Easton GibbsSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
45.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington, broken up by Isaac WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
41.0%
Luke Drzewiecki 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:3241% → 35%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
41.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Caleb Merritt for 7 yds to the WYO 36Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+6
42.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ayir Asante for 6 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
43.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 5 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
43.9%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the WYO 48Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+4
42.8%
Andrew Peasley run for 4 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
44.5%
Evan Svoboda run for 7 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
44.7%
pass incomplete to Ayir AsanteSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
44.3%
pass incomplete to Ryan MarquezSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
35.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2866% → 64%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.4%
pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
34.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson, broken up by Kolbey TaylorSimilar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
36.1%
New Mexico Penalty, false start (D.J. Washington) to the UNM 15Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
36.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon, broken up by Wyett EkelerSimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
36.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
33.7%
Ayir Asante 66 Yd pass from Andrew Peasley (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:5467% → 73%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
33.0%
DC Tabscott run for 5 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST down Wyoming Penalty, personal foul (Kolbey Taylor) to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
30.7%
Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
30.4%
Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the WYO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
29.4%
DC Tabscott pass incomplete to D.J. Washington for a 1ST down Wyoming Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the WYO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
27.5%
Jeremiah Hixon 14 Yd pass from Devon Dampier (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0930% → 27%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+66
29.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 66 yds to the UNM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
36.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt Wieland, broken up by Marvin CovingtonSimilar
Q4 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
36.0%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the UNM 7Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
33.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 9Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
26.9%
John Hoyland 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3776% → 81%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
23.7%
Devon Dampier run for 37 yds to the WYO 33 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Offensive holding (D.J. Washington) to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
21.7%
Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
21.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-4
22.2%
Devon Dampier run for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 44Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
19.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:1619% → 14%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
18.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 18 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
20.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
21.1%
Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
19.5%
pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
14.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
14 plays · 99 yds · 4:4286% → 94%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
14.2%
Wyoming Penalty, off-side (5 Yards) to the UNM 6Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+14
14.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 14 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.9%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
14.1%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
14.5%
Devon Dampier run for 10 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
13.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 9 yds to the UNM 45Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+22
12.4%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 22 yds to the WYO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
12.2%
New Mexico Penalty, false start (D.J. Washington) to the WYO 38Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+22
12.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Duece Jones for 7 yds to the WYO 31 for a 1ST down Wyoming Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kolbey Taylor) to the WYO 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
12.1%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to D.J. Washington, broken up by DeVonne HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
12.1%
New Mexico Penalty, false start (D.J. Washington) to the WYO 21Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+9
12.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the WYO 12Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+1
12.5%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the WYO 11Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+11
6.2%
D.J. Washington 11 Yd pass from Devon Dampier (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0610% → 7%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
9.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+4
9.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+1
8.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the UNM 21Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
6.8%
John Hoyland 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+93.2
TD · Q3 7:56
Harrison Waylee 46 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)
-8.9
FG · Q3 10:15
John Hoyland 34 Yd Field Goal
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com