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IDST

Idaho State 28 at Utah State 78

USU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:34 · Ross Bolger punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+34.5Home team on offense+3.0Score differential+0.6Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:59: Christian Fredericksen 9 Yd pass from Jordan Cooke (Thomas Kopcho Kick) — IDST win probability +1.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:51: Davon Booth run for 8 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK) — USU win probability +1.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:09: Davon Booth run for 40 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK) — USU win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:35: Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK) — USU win probability +3.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:44: Ike Larsen 47 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — USU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IDST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:37USU 4th & 16 at IDST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:31IDST 4th & 11 at USU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34IDST 4th & 13 at IDST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:37IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:27IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:46IDST 4th & 19 at IDST 28, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:46USU 4th & 1 at IDST 10, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:50USU 4th & 16 at USU 24, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:30IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 7, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:49USU 4th & 3 at USU 42, up 44
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:15IDST 4th & 1 at USU 1, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:09USU 4th & 4 at IDST 35, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:54IDST 4th & 7 at USU 40, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11IDST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:33USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:59IDST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:51USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:09USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:35USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:44USU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:24USU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 4:08USU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:16IDST Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:58USU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 3:58USU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 0:00IDST Touchdown, down 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 9:15IDST Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 4:25USU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 0:54USU Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:2793% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
92.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 7 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+58
92.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 58 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:347% → 9%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.6%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 11 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.6%
Keoua Kauhi run for no gain to the IDST 36Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
92.6%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Keoua Kauhi for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 35Similar
Q1 14:33
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+16
92.6%
Keoua Kauhi run for 16 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
92.6%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 28 yds to the USU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
92.5%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 12 yds to the USU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.4%
Christian Fredericksen 9 Yd pass from Jordan Cooke (Thomas Kopcho Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:1692% → 90%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
91.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Broc Lane for 8 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
91.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
91.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 9 yds to the USU 49Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
91.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds to the IDST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
91.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 1 yd to the IDST 45Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+7
91.7%
Cooper Legas run for 7 yds to the IDST 38Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
91.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the IDST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.8%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the IDST 34Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-8
91.8%
Cooper Legas sacked by Tylor Bohannon for a loss of 8 yards to the IDST 42Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+2
91.6%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the IDST 40Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
90.2%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0610% → 11%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
90.3%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 5 yds to the IDST 13Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+2
90.3%
Keoua Kauhi run for 2 yds to the IDST 15Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+8
90.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Alfred Jordan Jr. for 8 yds to the IDST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
90.3%
Keoua Kauhi run for 3 yds to the IDST 26Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+13
90.2%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Alfred Jordan Jr. for 13 yds to the IDST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
90.1%
Soujah Gasu run for 16 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
89.9%
Soujah Gasu run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 46Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
90.0%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
90.1%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
88.8%
Ross Bolger punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:4089% → 91%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
89.0%
Cooper Legas run for 9 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
89.3%
Cooper Legas run for 9 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
89.2%
Davon Booth run for a loss of 4 yards to the USU 34Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 14
OWN 34
-1
89.0%
Cooper Legas run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 33Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+21
88.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 21 yds to the IDST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
89.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 7 yds to the IDST 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+31
88.8%
Davon Booth run for 31 yds to the IDST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.7%
Davon Booth run for 8 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1710% → 10%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 3 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
89.9%
Raiden Hunter run for a loss of 6 yards to the IDST 22 Raiden Hunter fumbled, recovered by IDST Jordan CookeSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
90.3%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
90.2%
Ross Bolger punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:2590% → 93%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
90.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 22 yds to the IDST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.5%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the IDST 40Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+40
92.9%
Davon Booth run for 40 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:328% → 8%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.8%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Soujah Gasu for 17 yds to the IDST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.7%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
91.7%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 4 yds to the IDST 46Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
91.6%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
91.8%
Ross Bolger punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0293% → 96%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.5%
Terrell Vaughn run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
92.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
92.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 10 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the IDST 49Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+29
92.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 29 yds to the IDST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
92.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the IDST 16Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+7
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 7 yds to the IDST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds to the IDST 4Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10INT TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:514% → 2%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.7%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 5 yds to the IDST 30Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
95.5%
Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the IDST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-47
98.1%
Ike Larsen 47 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.3%
Keoua Kauhi run for 5 yds to the IDST 20 Keoua Kauhi fumbled, recovered by USU Cian SloneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
98.6%
C. Legas pass to J. Royals for 20 yds for a TD (E. Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the IDST 26Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Ross Bolger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+60
99.0%
R. Faison run for 60 yds for a TD (E. Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:521% → 1%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Raiden Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 24Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.1%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 10 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.0%
Raiden Hunter run for 7 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.0%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Alfred Jordan Jr. for 10 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
99.0%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Raiden Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the IDST 49Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+8
99.1%
Raiden Hunter run for 8 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
99.0%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 7 yds to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+21
99.4%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 21 yds to the USU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.1%
Christian Fredericksen 15 Yd pass from Hunter Hays (Thomas Kopcho Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.3%
E. Nimrod 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Soujah Gasu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:141% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.3%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 12 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
99.3%
Jordan Cooke sacked by Paul Fitzgerald for a loss of 7 yards to the IDST 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Alfred Jordan Jr. for no gain to the IDST 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 30
-2
99.3%
Jordan Cooke sacked by Cole Joyce for a loss of 2 yards to the IDST 28Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Ross Bolger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.5%
Levi Williams run for 11 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
99.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 13 yds to the IDST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.5%
Levi Williams run for 9 yds to the IDST 29Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+10
99.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 10 yds to the IDST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
99.5%
WILLIAMS, Levi scrambles to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the ISU11 (BOHANNON, Tylor), out of bounds. PENALTY USU Holding on ALO, Falepule enforced 10 yards from the ISU19 to the ISU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+12
99.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Colby Bowman for 12 yds to the IDST 17Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
99.5%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the IDST 11Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
99.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the IDST 10Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+4
99.5%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the IDST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the IDST 5Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 20PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Raiden Hunter run for 5 yds to the IDST 30Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IDST 30Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Will Monney for 3 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Davon Booth for 1 yd to the USU 34Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-5
99.7%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 29Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 11
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Paul Fitzgerald) to the USU 24Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 69 yds, downed at the IDST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.8%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
99.8%
Soujah Gasu run for no gain to the IDST 7Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+17
99.8%
COOKE, Jordan pass deep to the left complete for 17 yards to JAMES, Chedon caught at the ISU24 and advanced to the ISU24, End of Play, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY ISU Holding on MILLER, Jorgen USU Roughing the Passer on LARSEN, Ike , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
99.8%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
99.8%
Ross Bolger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the IDST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.8%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 47Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+47
99.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Micah Davis for 47 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:580% → 0%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Hunter Hays run for 9 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Aiden Taylor run for 2 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Aiden Taylor run for 9 yds to the IDST 45Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Aiden Taylor run for 2 yds to the IDST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 5 yds to the USU 48Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+9
99.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 9 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 14 yds to the USU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 13 yds to the USU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 12 yds for a TD (Thomas Kopcho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Kyrese Rowan for 4 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
99.8%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, downed at the IDST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 26TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 4 yds to the IDST 27Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+12
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Julian Mason for 12 yds to the IDST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Jordan Cooke run for 12 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 9 yds to the USU 40Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for 1 yd to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 8 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Kaysen Isom for 8 yds to the USU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the USU 3Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Chedon James for 2 yds to the USU 1Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD (Thomas Kopcho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:44100% → 100%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Cooper Jones run for 7 yds to the USU 44Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
Cooper Jones run for 15 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Cooper Jones run for 7 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-1
99.9%
McCae Hillstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 35Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+10
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Kahanu Davis for 10 yds to the IDST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Cooper Jones run for 2 yds to the IDST 23Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Kahanu Davis for 4 yds to the IDST 19Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+18
99.9%
McCae Hillstead run for 18 yds to the IDST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Cooper Jones run for no gain to the IDST 1Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Cooper Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Elliott Nimrod PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 28INT TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
100.0%
Matthew Cavallero pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 21 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Matthew Cavallero pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 1
50
+7
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 7 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Matthew Cavallero pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
Matthew Cavallero pass complete to Kaysen Isom for 2 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
Matthew Cavallero pass complete to Keoua Kauhi for 1 yd to the USU 40Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 7
OPP 40
-75
100.0%
Jaiden Francois 75 Yd Interception Return (Elliott Nimrod Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Cooper Jones run for no gain to the IDST 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Cooper Jones run for no gain to the IDST 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:35
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 5:44
Ike Larsen 47 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+2.6
TD · Q2 12:09
Davon Booth run for 40 yds for a TD (William Testa KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com