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CP

Cal Poly 3 at San José State 59

SJSU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadCP aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreCP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.2SJSU 99.1%Chevan Cordeiro pass complete toCharles Ross for 24 yds for a TD(Kyler Halvorsen KICK)AWAY 0 - HOME 38 · Q2 2:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:31 · Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+28.5Home team on offense+21.9Score differential+20.5Blowout margin+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Garbage-time factor+7.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:42: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 27 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:14: Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:00: Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:18: Chevan Cordeiro run for 15 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:31: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5CP made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 11:06SJSU 4th & 9 at CP 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26CP 4th & 3 at CP 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:28CP 4th & 4 at CP 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:31SJSU 4th & 7 at CP 24, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:37CP 4th & 2 at SJSU 28, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:43CP 4th & 4 at CP 30, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:06CP 4th & 1 at CP 34, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:00CP 4th & 1 at CP 34, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:08SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 12, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:12CP 4th & 16 at SJSU 48, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:31SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 10, up 56
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:45CP 4th & 5 at SJSU 43, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:35SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 43, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:12CP 4th & 2 at SJSU 19, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:39CP 4th & 12 at SJSU 16, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:42SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:14SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:00SJSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:18SJSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:31SJSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:50SJSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:20SJSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:06SJSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:4893% → 93%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
93.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds to the CP 9Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-1
93.3%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 10Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+6
93.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the CP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.0%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the CP 4Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the CP 4Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
92.7%
San José State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kyler Halvorsen) to the CP 9Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
92.6%
Kyler Halvorsen 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:327% → 8%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.6%
Mark Biggins run for 10 yds to the CP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.5%
Sam Huard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
92.4%
Sam Huard sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:4593% → 93%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
92.6%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the CP 27Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 27 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:237% → 7%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.6%
Cal Poly Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sam Huard) to the CP 20Similar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
92.6%
Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 23Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
92.5%
Sam Huard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
92.6%
Aiden Ramos run for 9 yds to the CP 32Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
92.7%
(08:19) BATES, Jabari rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the SJS50 (SATCHER, Elijah). PENALTY SJS Personal Foul on TALAVOU, Marist enforced 15 yards from the SJS45 to the SJS30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:3692% → 94%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 25
OWN 30
+38
92.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 38 yds to the CP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
92.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 15 yds to the CP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
92.5%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the CP 10Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
93.8%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 6INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:596% → 6%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.6%
Mark Biggins run for 2 yds to the CP 27Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
93.6%
Sam Huard pass complete to Mark Biggins for 3 yds to the CP 30Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
93.6%
Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 29Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+15
93.6%
San José State Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the CP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Sam Huard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for no gain to the CP 44Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Sam Huard pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0794% → 96%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 13 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
93.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for 4 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
94.0%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+9
94.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 9 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
94.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the CP 41Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+11
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 11 yds to the CP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
94.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the CP 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-3
94.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 28Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+11
94.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds to the CP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
94.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the CP 10Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
96.1%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:324% → 4%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.7%
Mark Biggins run for 4 yds to the CP 29Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.7%
Mark Biggins run for no gain to the CP 29Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
95.8%
Mark Biggins run for 11 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
95.8%
Mark Biggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 39Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-2
95.9%
Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 37Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+9
96.1%
Sam Huard pass complete to Paul Holyfield Jr. for 9 yds to the CP 46Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
96.0%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 42 yds, downed at the SJSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:0096% → 98%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+45
96.4%
Isaac Jernagin run for 45 yds to the CP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
96.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the CP 34Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
96.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
96.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the CP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
97.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 18 yds to the CP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 15 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:4698% → 99%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
98.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Antonio Vakameilalo for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSU 45Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+6
98.3%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the CP 49Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+7
98.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 7 yds to the CP 42Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+15
98.7%
(04:09) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick broken up by RAPOLLA, Kai at the CPS29, clock 04:03. PENALTY CPS Roughing the Passer on NGALUAFE, Josh enforced 15 yards from the CPS42 to the CPS27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.8%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the CP 22Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-2
98.9%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 24Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
98.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+24
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 11FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.2%
(02:26) BIGGINS, Mark rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the CPS40 (REED, Kenyon). PENALTY SJS Offsides on TOIA, Soane enforced 5 yards from the CPS36 to the CPS41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+12
99.2%
Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 12 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Mark Biggins run for no gain to the SJSU 47Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.3%
Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 11 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.2%
Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 4 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
99.1%
Sam Huard pass complete to Paul Holyfield Jr. for 4 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
99.2%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for no gain to the SJSU 28Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+4
98.5%
Sam Huard pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 4 yds to the SJSU 24 for a 1ST down Cal Poly Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Sam Huard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.2%
HUARD, Sam pass to the right incomplete intended for ALLEN, Bryson broken up by BAINER, Jalen at the SJS10. PENALTY SJS Offsides on TOIA, Soane enforced 6 yards from the SJS24 to the SJS18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+12
99.1%
Sam Huard pass complete to Bryson Allen for 12 yds to the SJSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.2%
Noah Serna 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 2:1099% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.2%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the CP 48Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+15
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 15 yds to the CP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 1 yd to the CP 32Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+32
99.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 32 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:021% → 0%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.5%
Aiden Ramos run for 6 yds to the CP 30Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the CP 30Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Sam Huard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 66 yds, downed at the SJSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 7:12100% → 100%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
99.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 7Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+13
99.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 13 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.6%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 16 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+24
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kejuan Bullard Jr. for 24 yds to the CP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
99.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the CP 22Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
99.7%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the CP 22Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 4 yds to the CP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.7%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the CP 12Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+4
99.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the CP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 15PUNT TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.8%
(04:20) BIGGINS, Mark rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the CPS24 (JENKINS, Andrew;LIKIO, Quincy), out of bounds. PENALTY CPS Holding on OANDASAN, DeMarcus enforced 10 yards from the CPS25 to the CPS15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+11
99.8%
Mark Biggins run for 11 yds to the CP 26Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 4 yds to the CP 30Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Sam Huard pass complete to Paul Holyfield Jr. for 4 yds to the CP 34Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+75
99.9%
Matthew Coleman 75 Yd Punt Return (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 28Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Jaden Jones pass complete to Logan Booher for 1 yd to the CP 29Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Jaden Jones run for 5 yds to the CP 34Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Ryan Collins punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 18Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-5
99.9%
(14:20) BATES, Jabari rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the SJS23 (WILSON, Boston). PENALTY SJS Holding on HARBERT, Joseph enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the SJS18 to the SJS9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Jay Butterfield run for 3 yds to the SJSU 12Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Jay Butterfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Alex Weir punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Mark Biggins run for 11 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
99.9%
Jaden Jones sacked by Natano Woods for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSU 49Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 1 yd to the SJSU 48Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 16
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Jaden Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Ryan Collins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
99.9%
Jabari Bates run for 7 yds to the SJSU 12Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 3
OWN 12
-2
99.9%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 10Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Jay Butterfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Alex Weir punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the SJSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for 5 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-4
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Jaden Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jabari Bates run for no gain to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.9%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 40Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Kayden Collins run for 3 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Kayden Collins run for 6 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 22DOWNS
15 plays · 33 yds · 4:490% → 0%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
Jaden Jones run for 7 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 2 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
100.0%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 2 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
100.0%
Jaden Jones pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 7 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Jaden Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+6
100.0%
Jaden Jones run for 6 yds to the SJSU 19Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+5
100.0%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 5 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 15Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-1
100.0%
Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 16Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Jaden Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 12
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Jaden Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
(00:37) Kneel down by BUTTERFIELD, Jay at SJS15 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:00
Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 6:14
Quali Conley run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 6:18
Chevan Cordeiro run for 15 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com