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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 10 at New Mexico 56

UNM
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:23 · Nick Bigelow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+1.7Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+31.1Blowout margin+19.7Garbage-time factor+8.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:15: Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +5.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:56: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 78 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +6.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:55: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +5.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Hayden Olsen 37 yd FG GOOD — TNTC win probability +4.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:04: Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 55 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TNTC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 0:24UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:34TNTC 4th & 4 at TNTC 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:49TNTC 4th & 6 at UNM 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:06TNTC 4th & 1 at TNTC 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:59TNTC 4th & 16 at TNTC 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:36TNTC 4th & 6 at UNM 35, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:42TNTC 4th & 4 at TNTC 31, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:35TNTC 4th & 4 at UNM 14, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:23TNTC 4th & 3 at TNTC 32, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:07UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 38, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TNTC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:12UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:17TNTC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:15UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:56UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:55UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:04UNM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:20UNM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:13UNM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:49UNM Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:4386% → 86%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
85.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 1 yd to the UNM 14Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+2
85.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+10
85.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 10 yds to the UNM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
85.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
85.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
85.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
85.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the UNM 45Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
85.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 7 yds to the TNTC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.3%
Dorian Lewis run for no gain to the TNTC 48Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
85.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 48 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 2TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:5515% → 20%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.3%
Jayvian Allen run for 8 yds to the TNTC 33Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
85.1%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
85.3%
Jayvian Allen run for 6 yds to the TNTC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
85.2%
Jayvian Allen run for 6 yds to the TNTC 45Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
85.1%
ROBERTS, Ethan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FLEMING, Metrius thrown to the UNM30. PENALTY UNM Offsides on JOHNSON, Dimitri enforced 5 yards from the TTU45 to the TTU50 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.0%
Justin Pegues run for 3 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
85.0%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Jayvian Allen for 3 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+15
84.5%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Brad Clark for 15 yds to the UNM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
84.1%
Jayvian Allen run for 5 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
84.1%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 4 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
84.3%
Ethan Roberts run for 3 yds to the UNM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.1%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+15
84.1%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Jayvian Allen for 15 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.1%
Jayvian Allen run for 1 yd to the UNM 1Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
84.1%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, False Start (Hunter Barnhart) to the UNM 6Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.1%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
80.5%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 6 yds for a TD (Hayden Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5382% → 81%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
82.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-3
82.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 39Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
82.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
81.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 53 yds , returns for no gain to the TNTC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:2619% → 20%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
80.7%
Jayvian Allen run for 3 yds to the TNTC 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+2
80.7%
Jayvian Allen run for 2 yds to the TNTC 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+15
81.1%
New Mexico Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TNTC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
80.5%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TNTC 18Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 18
-1
80.5%
Ethan Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNTC 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+12
80.6%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Brad Clark for 12 yds to the TNTC 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
80.5%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
80.2%
Nick Bigelow punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5INT
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3880% → 81%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
80.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 20 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
81.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0722% → 22%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
50
+4
77.8%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Reece Perkins for 4 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-5
77.9%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jackson Price) to the TNTC 49Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+5
78.4%
Jayvian Allen run for 5 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
78.1%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
77.7%
Nick Bigelow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:3479% → 85%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
79.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 9Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+5
79.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+8
78.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 8 yds to the UNM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
79.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 17 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
80.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 38Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+12
79.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
50
+49
79.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 49 yds to the TNTC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.8%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aaron Swafford) to the TNTC 1Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0316% → 17%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
83.8%
Justin Pegues run for 2 yds to the TNTC 17Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+8
83.9%
Jayvian Allen run for 8 yds to the TNTC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.7%
Jayvian Allen run for 3 yds to the TNTC 28Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
83.5%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
84.2%
ROBERTS, Ethan pass to the right complete for 6 yards to CLARK, Brad caught at the TTU34 and advanced to the TTU34 (MORRIS, Zach), out of bounds. PENALTY UNM Offsides on LEUTELE, Ray enforced 5 yards from the TTU28 to the TTU33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
83.5%
Jayvian Allen run for 1 yd to the TNTC 34Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
83.5%
Nick Bigelow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
1 play · 78 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
89.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 78 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:2611% → 14%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
88.7%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Quinton Cross for 17 yds to the TNTC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
88.3%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Justin Pegues for 14 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Roughing the Passer on RILEY, Syaire enforced (Syaire Riley) to the UNM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
86.5%
Hayes Gibson run for 4 yds to the TNTC 38 Hayes Gibson fumbled, recovered by UNM Dmitri JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:3590% → 96%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
90.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 13 yds to the TNTC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
90.8%
Dorian Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the TNTC 27Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+27
96.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 12FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:555% → 8%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.8%
Justin Pegues run for 6 yds to the TNTC 31Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
94.5%
Justin Pegues run for 5 yds to the TNTC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
94.5%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Justin Pegues for 11 yds to the TNTC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
94.8%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Quavel Thornton for 2 yds to the TNTC 49Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
94.7%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+31
96.7%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Hunter Barnhart for 31 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+37
92.3%
Hayden Olsen 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:018% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-17
91.8%
run for a loss of 17 yards to the TNTC 16 fumbled, recovered by TNTC Jayvian AllenSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+5
92.1%
ROBERTS, Ethan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FLEMING, Metrius thrown to the TTU45. PENALTY UNM Offsides on JOHNSON, Dimitri enforced 5 yards from the TTU16 to the TTU21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-5
92.0%
ROBERTS, Ethan pass to the right complete for 14 yards to CLARK, Brad caught at the TTU35 and advanced to the TTU35 (MORRIS, Zach). PENALTY Before the snap, TTU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TTU21 to the TTU16. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-5
92.1%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TNTC 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
0
92.1%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+8
92.1%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Ezra Widelock for 8 yds to the TNTC 19Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
92.4%
Nick Bigelow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:5594% → 98%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
94.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 45Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+55
98.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 55 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 5:282% → 2%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.7%
Justin Pegues run for 6 yds to the TNTC 31Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.6%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
97.6%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Brad Clark for 4 yds to the TNTC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.6%
Justin Pegues run for 3 yds to the TNTC 38Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+7
97.6%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Hunter Barnhart for 7 yds to the TNTC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.6%
Justin Pegues run for 9 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+7
97.4%
Justin Pegues run for 7 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.5%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Quinton Cross for 2 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
97.5%
Jayvian Allen run for 5 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-3
97.4%
Torin Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 35Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
98.4%
Ethan Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:1699% → 100%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
98.8%
Dorian Lewis run for 23 yds to the TNTC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
98.8%
Dorian Lewis run for 11 yds to the TNTC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
98.9%
Dorian Lewis run for 15 yds to the TNTC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 16 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:571% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Ethan Roberts pass complete to Quavel Thornton for 9 yds to the TNTC 34Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.0%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TNTC 29Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Torin Baker run for 3 yds to the TNTC 32Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
99.1%
New Mexico Penalty, Targeting on ELLIS, Christian enforced (Christian Ellis) to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.7%
Hayes Gibson run for a loss of 5 yards to the TNTC 46 Hayes Gibson fumbled, recovered by UNM Gabriel LopezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 46 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Jayvian Allen run for 2 yds to the TNTC 27Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Jayvian Allen run for 4 yds to the TNTC 31Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Maddux Richey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Nick Bigelow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20INT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Sherod White run for 4 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-10
99.8%
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Taurrian Stafford) to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+15
99.8%
TABSCOTT, DC pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the TTU23. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on EMMANWORI, Okachi enforced 15 yards to the UNM48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
Sherod White run for 1 yd to the UNM 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-5
99.8%
New Mexico Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UNM 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+2
99.8%
Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Squires) to the TNTC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Maddux Richey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-4
99.9%
Maddux Richey pass complete to Brad Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 36Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+16
99.9%
Maddux Richey pass complete to Brad Clark for 16 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Maddux Richey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Maddux Richey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Maddux Richey pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 6 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 4
OPP 14
-9
99.8%
Maddux Richey sacked by Mihalis Santorineos for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 23Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.9%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Taurrian Stafford) to the UNM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 6:46100% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+15
99.9%
Tennessee Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ethan McLaurin) to the TNTC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the TNTC 35Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+16
99.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Everett Hunter for 16 yds to the TNTC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Andrew Henry run for 19 yds New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Duece Jones) to the TNTC 16Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 7
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Everett Hunter for 2 yds to the TNTC 14Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-3
99.9%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 3 yards to the TNTC 17Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+12
99.9%
Sherod White run for 12 yds to the TNTC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TNTC 10Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.9%
Sherod White run for 1 yd to the TNTC 9Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the TNTC 6Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Torin Baker run for 1 yd to the TNTC 26Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Hayes Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Hayes Gibson run for 6 yds to the TNTC 32Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Nick Bigelow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Zach Vigil run for 2 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Zach Vigil run for 2 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Zach Vigil run for 1 yd to the UNM 38Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quavel Thornton at the TNTC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Torin Baker run for 4 yds to the TNTC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:56
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 78 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 5:15
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 0:55
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com