Try the model
EWU

Eastern Washington 31 at Fresno State 34

FRES
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Valley Children's Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:27 · Carson King punt for 23 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 36Pregame prior+41.9Home team on offense+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.4Score differential+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:06: Efton Chism III 2 Yd pass from Kekoa Visperas (Soren McKee Kick) — EWU win probability +12.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 10:01: Justice Jackson run for 33 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK) — EWU win probability +28.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Anthony Stell Jr. 1 Yd pass from Kekoa Visperas (Soren McKee Kick) — EWU win probability +15.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK) — FRES win probability +40.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Dylan Lynch 25 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +16.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 8 of 9EWU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:48EWU 4th & 1 at EWU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31EWU 4th & 1 at FRES 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:58EWU 4th & 1 at FRES 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:40EWU 4th & 6 at FRES 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:27FRES 4th & 10 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:38EWU 4th & 8 at EWU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:58FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:45EWU 4th & 3 at EWU 17, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:05FRES 4th & 10 at EWU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:48EWU 4th & 5 at EWU 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:39FRES 4th & 11 at FRES 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:42EWU 4th & 10 at EWU 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:36FRES 4th & 5 at FRES 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:15FRES 4th & 1 at EWU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−1.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:54EWU 4th & 4 at FRES 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−6.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:29FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:01EWU 4th & 3 at FRES 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−2.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−3.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:44FRES 4th & 3 at EWU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−15.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:18EWU 4th & 12 at EWU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−9.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:07FRES 4th & 4 at EWU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−14.1
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−28.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EWU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:34FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:31FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:15EWU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:01FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:06EWU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:01EWU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EWUDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:013% → 3%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 11 yds to the EWU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.5%
Tuna Altahir run for 1 yd to the EWU 37Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
97.5%
Tuna Altahir run for 4 yds to the EWU 41Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
97.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Austin York for 4 yds to the EWU 45Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-3
97.2%
Tuna Altahir run for a loss of 3 yards to the EWU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 1:1497% → 97%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+33
97.3%
Mac Dalena run for 33 yds to the EWU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 4 yds to the EWU 5Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 3FG
22 plays · 85 yds · 8:513% → 4%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
97.2%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Efton Chism III for 7 yds to the EWU 16Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+18
97.2%
Justice Jackson run for 18 yds to the EWU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
97.2%
Eastern Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kekoa Visperas) to the EWU 14Similar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+1
97.2%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Justice Jackson for 1 yd to the EWU 25Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 19
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 19
OWN 25
+24
97.2%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 24 yds to the EWU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
97.1%
Michael Wortham run for 4 yds to the FRES 47Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
97.1%
Justice Jackson run for 5 yds to the FRES 42Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
97.1%
Justice Jackson run for no gain to the FRES 42Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
97.2%
Michael Wortham run for 2 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+9
96.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 9 yds to the FRES 31Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+15
96.4%
Tuna Altahir run for 15 yds to the FRES 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
96.3%
Tuna Altahir run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 18Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+5
96.3%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 5 yds to the FRES 13Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+7
96.4%
Kekoa Visperas run for 7 yds to the FRES 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
96.3%
Tuna Altahir run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 7Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.3%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
96.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to J.P. Murphy for 1 yd to the FRES 6Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
95.7%
Soren McKee 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0596% → 95%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.7%
Jaelen Gill run for no gain to the FRES 38Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
95.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
50
+2
95.8%
Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the EWU 48Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-2
95.8%
Jaelen Gill run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 10
50
0
95.6%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 10
50
0
95.1%
Carson King punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:055% → 5%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
95.1%
Kekoa Visperas sacked by Johnny Hudson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the EWU 23Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 14
OWN 23
-3
95.1%
Kekoa Visperas run for a loss of 3 yards to the EWU 20 Kekoa Visperas fumbled, recovered by FRES Kemari Munier-BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:2495% → 96%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
95.3%
Devon Rivers run for 12 yds to the EWU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
95.3%
Devon Rivers run for 2 yds to the EWU 6Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jake Boust for 6 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:534% → 4%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Efton Chism III for 2 yds to the EWU 27Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Nick Kokich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4096% → 95%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
95.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 7 yds to the FRES 34Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
95.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
96.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 37Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
95.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 4 yds to the FRES 41Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
95.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
95.4%
Carson King punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Efton Chism III at the EWU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:135% → 5%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
95.5%
Tuna Altahir run for 5 yds to the EWU 15Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+2
95.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Tuna Altahir for 2 yds to the EWU 17Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
95.6%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
95.5%
Nick Kokich punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:4096% → 96%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.1%
Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the FRES 41Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
96.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for 12 yds to the EWU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
96.3%
Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the EWU 42Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
96.1%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 5
OPP 42
-5
96.0%
Fresno State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EWU 47Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
95.9%
Carson King punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:175% → 5%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 1 yd to the EWU 21Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
95.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Austin York for 4 yds to the EWU 25Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Nick Kokich punt for 39 yds, downed at the FRES 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0996% → 95%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.1%
Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the FRES 40Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
96.1%
Fresno State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 35Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Carson King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Efton Chism III at the EWU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:575% → 5%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Efton Chism III for 11 yds to the EWU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.3%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Efton Chism III for no gain to the EWU 36Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Austin York for 9 yds to the EWU 45Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
95.0%
Justice Jackson run for 4 yds to the EWU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.1%
Justice Jackson run for no gain to the EWU 49Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
95.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
95.1%
punt for 38 yds, downed at the FRES 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4295% → 95%
Q2 1:42
2ND & 15
OWN 7
+1
95.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the FRES 8Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+16
95.0%
Elijah Gilliam run for 16 yds to the FRES 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
95.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 16 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 9
OWN 13
-6
95.5%
Mikey Keene sacked by Matthew Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the FRES 7Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2495% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.6%
Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the FRES 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
94.6%
Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FRES 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.9%
Carson King punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Efton Chism III at the EWU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:216% → 14%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.8%
Tuna Altahir run for no gain to the EWU 38Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+23
93.8%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 23 yds to the FRES 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
93.4%
Tuna Altahir run for 14 yds to the FRES 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
93.0%
Kekoa Visperas run for 3 yds to the FRES 22Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
93.0%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+10
93.4%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 10 yds to the FRES 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.9%
Michael Wortham run for 12 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1488% → 94%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
88.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 12 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
88.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 11 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
89.7%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-10
89.5%
Fresno State Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the FRES 38Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+14
88.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 14 yds to the EWU 48Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-5
89.3%
Mikey Keene sacked by DaJean Wells for a loss of 5 yards to the EWU 43Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
89.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 3 yds to the EWU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
89.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for 11 yds to the EWU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
93.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 29 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:557% → 21%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.9%
Michael Wortham pass complete to Efton Chism III for 10 yds to the EWU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.6%
Justice Jackson run for 2 yds to the EWU 37Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+23
92.6%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Efton Chism III for 23 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.8%
Michael Wortham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
91.9%
Justice Jackson run for 8 yds to the FRES 32Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
91.7%
Tuna Altahir run for 5 yds to the FRES 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
91.1%
Michael Wortham pass complete to Efton Chism III for 9 yds to the FRES 18Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+4
90.5%
Kekoa Visperas run for 4 yds to the FRES 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
90.5%
Tuna Altahir run for 2 yds to the FRES 12Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
90.5%
Kekoa Visperas run for 3 yds to the FRES 9Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+7
91.2%
WORTHAM, Michael pass to the right incomplete intended for ULM, Nolan thrown to the FST0. PENALTY FST Pass Interference on NORRIS JR., Morice enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the FST2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.2%
Efton Chism III 2 Yd pass from Kekoa Visperas (Soren McKee Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3087% → 85%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.6%
Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FRES 27Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
86.6%
Eastern Washington Penalty, Defensive Holding (Conner O'Farrell) to the FRES 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
87.7%
Jaelen Gill run for 5 yds to the FRES 44Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-10
88.2%
Fresno State Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the FRES 34Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+2
86.3%
Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FRES 36Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Mikey Keene pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 20END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
77.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 21Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
77.7%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 22DOWNS
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4221% → 20%
Q3 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
79.3%
Tuna Altahir run for 6 yds to the FRES 27Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
80.1%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2585% → 83%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
85.1%
Johnathan Arceneaux run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 26Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
84.7%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+8
83.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 8 yds to the FRES 34Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
83.1%
Carson King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Efton Chism III at the EWU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:2819% → 52%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
80.7%
Justice Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EWU 25Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+7
81.3%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 7 yds to the EWU 32Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 32
-10
80.8%
JACKSON, Justice rush to the left for a gain of 16 yards to the EWU48 (CLARK, Dean). PENALTY EWU Holding enforced 10 yards from the EWU32 to the EWU22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+15
82.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 15 yds to the EWU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
79.7%
Tuna Altahir run for 1 yd to the EWU 38Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
79.7%
Fresno State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the EWU 43Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-4
77.8%
Tuna Altahir run for a loss of 4 yards to the EWU 39Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+21
80.2%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 21 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
76.8%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Efton Chism III for 7 yds to the FRES 33Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
75.0%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
76.5%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+33
47.7%
Justice Jackson run for 33 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 25FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:1754% → 68%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
54.4%
Johnathan Arceneaux run for 3 yds to the FRES 33Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+21
54.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 21 yds to the EWU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
60.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 13 yds to the EWU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
62.0%
Mikey Keene sacked by Ben Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the EWU 37Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+7
57.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the EWU 30Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
59.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 4 yds to the EWU 26Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+44
67.9%
Dylan Lynch 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2640% → 33%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.7%
Tuna Altahir run for no gain to the EWU 25Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.3%
Kekoa Visperas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.8%
Kekoa Visperas run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWU 23Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
61.4%
Nick Kokich punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
66.7%
QB Keeper KEENE, Mikey rush to the right for no gain to the FST39, out of bounds. PENALTY FST Holding on NELSON, Braylen enforced 10 yards from the FST39 to the FST29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 27MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:1164% → 60%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
63.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+1
63.1%
Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the FRES 30Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+21
61.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 21 yds to the EWU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
69.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the EWU 42Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
69.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the EWU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
70.0%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
69.6%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+15
67.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 15 yds to the EWU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
67.7%
Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the EWU 22Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
67.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds to the EWU 20Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+3
64.9%
Mikey Keene run for 3 yds to the EWU 17Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
60.2%
Dylan Lynch 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by VISPERAS, Kekoa at EWU15 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 29TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
41.1%
Justice Jackson run for 8 yds to the FRES 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
41.1%
Justice Jackson run for 2 yds to the FRES 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
41.1%
Tuna Altahir pass complete to Austin York for 14 yds to the FRES 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Anthony Stell Jr. 1 Yd pass from Kekoa Visperas (Soren McKee Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 30TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 66%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.0%
Eastern Washington Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the EWU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.0%
Eastern Washington Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the EWU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
28.0%
Jaelen Gill run for 1 yd to the EWU 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
28.0%
Mikey Keene run for 4 yds to the EWU 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+6
25.5%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 6 yds to the EWU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.6%
Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 31FG
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0066% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
65.6%
Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the EWU 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
-1
65.6%
Elijah Gilliam run for a loss of 1 yard to the EWU 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
63.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
80.2%
Dylan Lynch 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)
+40.1
TD · Q4 10:01
Justice Jackson run for 33 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK)
-28.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com