Try the model
ORST

Oregon State 42 at San José State 17

SJSU
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023 · CEFCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:15 · Alex Weir punt for 36 yds, downed at the ORST 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Home team on offense−3.1Pregame prior−29.7Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:21: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 14 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +4.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:14: DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +8.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:02: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 31 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +5.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: Sam Olson 0 Yd Run (Kyler Halvorsen Kick) — SJSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:13: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:27SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:15SJSU 4th & 14 at ORST 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:22SJSU 4th & 1 at ORST 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:24SJSU 4th & 13 at ORST 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:09SJSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:02ORST 4th & 4 at SJSU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:50SJSU 4th & 2 at ORST 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−2.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:20SJSU 4th & 8 at ORST 41, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:52SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 30, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:51ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:21ORST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14ORST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:02ORST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:52SJSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:13ORST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:13ORST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:04SJSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:3316% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
16.0%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
16.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for 12 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
16.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
16.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SJSU 46Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
16.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
16.9%
Alex Weir punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 6:3283% → 83%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
17.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
17.2%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 23Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+13
17.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 13 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
17.7%
Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
17.8%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+19
18.3%
Damien Martinez run for 19 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
18.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 14 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
18.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 13 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the SJSU 1Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the SJSU 1Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:3618% → 18%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
18.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 13 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
18.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the SJSU 46Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+18
18.6%
Quali Conley run for 18 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
19.1%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
19.1%
Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the ORST 35Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
19.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
18.8%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 40Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
17.9%
Alex Weir punt for 36 yds, downed at the ORST 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0681% → 81%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
18.7%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
18.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 4 yds to the ORST 19Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+1
18.9%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ORST 20Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
19.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
19.5%
Josh Green punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DJ Harvey at the SJSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:3019% → 23%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
19.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 17 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
19.7%
Isaac Jernagin run for 2 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
19.8%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
19.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 5 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
19.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
20.9%
San José State Penalty, Illegal Block (Dominick Mazotti) to the ORST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
21.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 3 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-1
21.5%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 18Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-5
20.9%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 23Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 13
OPP 23
0
20.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
22.7%
Kyler Halvorsen 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:5877% → 83%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
23.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 18 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
22.3%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
50
+9
21.7%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
21.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
21.8%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+7
22.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 7 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
21.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 12 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
21.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
21.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the SJSU 14Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
16.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 14 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0616% → 16%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
16.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 4 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
16.3%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Calvin Hart Jr.) to the SJSU 25Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 1
OWN 25
-3
16.6%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 22Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+15
15.9%
(02:51) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for OLSON, Sam thrown to the SJS30. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on CARD, Zachary enforced 15 yards to the SJS37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
16.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
16.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
15.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
15.7%
Alex Weir punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the ORST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:4683% → 93%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
17.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 19 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
16.3%
Damien Martinez run for 28 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
16.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+6
15.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the SJSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
15.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
11.1%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:5591% → 91%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
9.4%
Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
9.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 14 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
8.8%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+10
8.5%
Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
8.7%
Jesiah Irish run for 2 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
8.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+4
8.9%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+3
8.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 3 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0710% → 11%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
9.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+26
9.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 26 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
10.8%
Quali Conley run for 8 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
11.0%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ORST 45Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
10.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for no gain to the ORST 45Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
10.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:4392% → 99%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
7.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 1 yd to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+12
7.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 12 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
7.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 1 yd to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (DJ Harvey) to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
6.8%
(07:12) FENWICK, Deshaun rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the SJS20 (LATU, Taniela). PENALTY OSU Holding on TERRY II, Jermaine enforced 10 yards from the SJS26 to the SJS36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
7.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+5
7.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+31
1.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 31 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.3%
(06:02) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the OSU50. PENALTY OSU Holding on IVY JR., Tyrice enforced 10 yards from the SJS25 to the SJS35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
1.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
1.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
1.3%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
1.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
1.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-5
1.3%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Fernando Carmona Jr.) to the ORST 41Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
1.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
1.2%
Alex Weir punt for 19 yds, downed at the ORST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
1.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-7
1.1%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Jay'Vion Cole for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 15Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+14
1.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Zachary Card for 14 yds to the ORST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:371% → 8%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
1.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+19
1.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 19 yds to the ORST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.9%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ORST 2Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for no gain to the ORST 2Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
7.9%
Sam Olson 0 Yd Run (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:3596% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
4.3%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
3.9%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
3.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Jake Levengood) to the ORST 43Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-5
3.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Taliese Fuaga) to the ORST 38Similar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+23
3.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 23 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
3.6%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 40Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+12
3.3%
Damien Martinez run for 12 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
3.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for no gain to the SJSU 28Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
0.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17FUMBLE
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:310% → 0%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
0.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+4
0.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 4 yds to the SJSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
0.4%
(09:04) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MILLER, Malikhi broken up by IVY JR., Tyrice at the SJS40. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on IVY JR., Tyrice enforced 15 yards to the SJS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
0.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 9 yds to the SJSU 48Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
0.4%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
0.4%
(07:36) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JERNAGIN, Isaac thrown to the OSU20. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on IVY JR., Tyrice enforced 15 yards to the OSU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-6
0.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by John McCartan for a loss of 6 yards to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 16
OPP 40
-6
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ORST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
0.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 15 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
0.3%
Aidan Chiles run for 9 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+5
0.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.3%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+22
0.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 22 yds to the SJSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
0.3%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SJSU 8Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
0.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the SJSU 3Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:090% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
0.1%
Jay Butterfield sacked by Cory Stover for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSU 25Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Quali Conley for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Sam Olson for 5 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 6 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+29
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 29 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 11 yds to the ORST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Jay Butterfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.2%
Jay Butterfield pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 19 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:14
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q4 14:52
Sam Olson 0 Yd Run (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)
+6.9
TD · Q3 6:02
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 31 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com