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M-OH

Miami (OH) 17 at Ball State 15

BALL
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:09 · Alec Bevelhimer punt for 45 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+20.5+10.30−10.3−20.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior−9.8Home team on offense−3.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:10: Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +4.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:30: Jackson Courville 45 Yd Field Goal — BALL win probability +4.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:53: Graham Nicholson 37 Yd Field Goal — M-OH win probability +7.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:09: Jackson Courville 29 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +11.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 1:04: Jackson Courville 42 yd FG MISSED — BALL win probability +46.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:56M-OH 4th & 1 at BALL 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:12BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 33, down 1
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:30BALL 4th & 6 at M-OH 27, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:21M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:41BALL 4th & 1 at M-OH 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−3.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37BALL 4th & 6 at M-OH 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:09M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 45, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:12BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 28, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:48M-OH 4th & 1 at BALL 49, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.0%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:53M-OH 4th & 10 at BALL 20, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−3.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−15.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:17BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 34, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:24BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 42, down 5
    Close callPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:21M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 27, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−4.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:09BALL 4th & 8 at M-OH 12, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−4.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−14.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:04BALL 4th & 19 at M-OH 25, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−29.8
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−35.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:28BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 37, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:24BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:00M-OH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:10M-OH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5769% → 68%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
31.5%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 49Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
31.7%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 2 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
31.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
32.2%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 4:2432% → 37%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
32.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
32.6%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 6 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
32.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
33.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 7 yds to the BALL 38Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+23
33.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 23 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
34.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 2 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+26
34.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 26 yds to the M-OH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
34.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the M-OH 9Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
36.9%
Vaughn Pemberton 9 Yd pass from Kiael Kelly (Jackson Courville PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5964% → 62%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
36.1%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 16 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.1%
Smith,Aveon rush right (Pearce,Cole;Houston,Sidney).Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
36.7%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
37.2%
pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
37.8%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:0238% → 39%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
37.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 13Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+8
38.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Nick Presley for 8 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
38.7%
Kiael Kelly pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:4863% → 66%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
36.9%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for 3 yds to the BALL 10Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
34.3%
Cade McDonald 10 Yd pass from Aveon Smith (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4735% → 36%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
35.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
35.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
35.6%
Lucas Borrow punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:0464% → 70%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
35.6%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 15 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
35.0%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
34.8%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 8 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
34.5%
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
34.3%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 28 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.8%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
29.8%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 28 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:3331% → 37%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
31.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
31.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
30.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 7 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
31.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
32.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
32.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
32.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 18 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
33.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the M-OH 30Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
32.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the M-OH 27Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
32.0%
pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
36.7%
Jackson Courville 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0965% → 65%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Amos,Rashad rush middle (Strickland,Loren).Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
34.3%
Rashad Amos run for 11 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.6%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr., broken up by Loren StricklandSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
33.9%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 2 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
33.8%
pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
35.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 48 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10FG
16 plays · 81 yds · 5:2935% → 42%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
34.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 19 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
34.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
35.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
35.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+4
37.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
37.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
37.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+2
37.4%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 2 yds to the M-OH 43Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+6
36.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
37.9%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 11 yds to the M-OH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
39.7%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the M-OH 23Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
39.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 8 yds to the M-OH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
39.3%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
39.2%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards, broken up by Michael DowellSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+5
37.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the M-OH 11Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
41.5%
Jackson Courville 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:2363% → 61%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
36.9%
Smith,Aveon rush left , out-of-bounds.Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
37.5%
pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
38.7%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Cade McDonald, broken up by Jordan RileySimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+5
40.2%
Ball State Penalty, off-side (DeJuan Echoles Jr.) to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
39.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 45 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4640% → 39%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
40.8%
Cooper,Marquez rush left (McKee,Yahsyn;Salopek,Matt).Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
39.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 1 yd to the BALL 28Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+54
38.7%
Lucas Borrow punt for 44 yds Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive holding (Caiden Woullard) to the M-OH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:1761% → 61%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
38.7%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 20Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
39.1%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 25Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+7
40.1%
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
38.8%
Aveon Smith run for 1 yd to the M-OH 33Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+9
39.4%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
37.7%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Cade McDonald, broken up by Tyler PottsSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
38.5%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 40Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+11
40.4%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 11 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
39.4%
Aveon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:5046% → 46%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
50
+3
45.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
46.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
46.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
48.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
48.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the M-OH 26Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-2
48.7%
Kiael Kelly sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 28Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+15
45.7%
Kiael Kelly pass intercepted for a 1ST down Ball State Penalty, personal foul (Taran Tyo) to the BALL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5065% → 69%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
34.6%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 24Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-1
35.6%
Kenny Tracy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 25Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+5
38.4%
Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the BALL 20Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
31.0%
Graham Nicholson 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 4:2834% → 33%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
34.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
34.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 34Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
32.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
35.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
36.4%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 39Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
33.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
32.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5972% → 70%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
28.4%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the M-OH 29Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
28.5%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-10
27.2%
Amos,Rashad rush (Charity,Damion), PENALTY MIA holding (Young,John) 10 yards to the MIA47. Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive holding (John Young) to the M-OH 27Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
28.8%
pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
30.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:4374% → 78%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
26.1%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Cade McDonald for 36 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
22.3%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the BALL 38Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
22.0%
pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
22.5%
Aveon Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19FG
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:1330% → 45%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
29.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 14Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+6
28.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
28.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
31.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+55
29.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 55 yds to the M-OH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
35.6%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 15Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+3
35.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Nick Munson for 3 yds to the M-OH 12Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
32.7%
pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
44.5%
Jackson Courville 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0872% → 72%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
28.0%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 22Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
28.3%
Aveon Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4651% → 91%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
51.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the M-OH 15Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-1
50.1%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-10
47.8%
Kelly,Kiael rush , TOUCHDOWN, PENALTY BSU holding (Stewart,Corey) 10 yards to the MIA06. Ball State Penalty, Offensive holding (Corey Stewart) to the M-OH 26Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 20
OPP 26
+1
44.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the M-OH 25Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 19
OPP 25
+42
90.9%
Jackson Courville 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0620% → 24%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.6%
Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
75.6%
Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:5372% → 72%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
72.2%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 27 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Damon Kaylor Kelly,Kiael rush middle for loss of 7 yards to the BSU27, fumble by Kelly,Kiael recovered by BSU Kaylor,Damon, Kaylor,Damon rush.Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+4
71.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+6
70.6%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 6 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+12
71.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 25 , Cade McDonald returns for 12 yds to the M-OH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-71.5
TD · Q4 1:04
Jackson Courville 42 yd FG MISSED
+46.6
FG · Q4 3:09
Jackson Courville 29 yd FG GOOD
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com