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NIU

Northern Illinois 37 at Kent State 27

KENT
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jacob Finley 0 Yd Fumble Return
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:05: Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 16 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +9.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:12: Andrew Glass 25 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +8.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:37: Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +19.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:23: Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +32.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:45: Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +30.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:27NIU 4th & 5 at KENT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 8 at NIU 22, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:01NIU 4th & 7 at KENT 27, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:01KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:11NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:54KENT 4th & 3 at NIU 3, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:15NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:12KENT 4th & 7 at NIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−9.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:33NIU 4th & 2 at KENT 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−4.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:04KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:03NIU 4th & 3 at KENT 26, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−1.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−11.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:49KENT 4th & 2 at NIU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−6.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−13.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:43NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 45, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:07NIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:09KENT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:53KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:05NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:37NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:23KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:45NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:3393% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
7.5%
Antario Brown run for 39 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
7.5%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
7.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cam Thompson for 6 yds to the KENT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
7.5%
Kyle Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
7.5%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the KENT 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
7.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
8.7%
Kanon Woodill 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:289% → 10%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
8.8%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
8.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 10 yds to the KENT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
8.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the KENT 48Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
8.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
8.8%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
9.6%
Josh Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 4:4290% → 90%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
9.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kyle ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
9.7%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+10
9.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
9.6%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 32Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+29
9.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 29 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
9.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 11 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+9
9.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the KENT 24Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
9.8%
Antario Brown run for 24 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 6:5210% → 16%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
10.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 24Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
10.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 23Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+11
10.1%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
10.4%
Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+31
10.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 31 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
10.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the NIU 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
11.4%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
11.1%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+8
10.7%
Andrew Glass run for 8 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
11.4%
PENALTY KENT False Start (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from NOIL14 to NOIL19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+6
11.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the NIU 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
11.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
15.8%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:0886% → 85%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
14.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kyle Thomas for 45 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
13.5%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
13.4%
Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
13.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+5
15.5%
Tom Foley run for 5 yds to the KENT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0016% → 16%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
16.1%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
16.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
15.7%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
15.7%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:5784% → 85%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
15.9%
Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
15.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NIU 13 Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by NIU D.J. Miller Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NOIL33 fumbled by Lombardi,Rocky at NOIL33 recovered by KENT Miller,D.J. at NOIL33 Miller,D.J. return 20 yards to the NOIL13 (Dozier,Billy).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
23.4%
Luke Floriea run for 13 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4279% → 77%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.1%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
21.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
21.6%
Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
23.0%
Tom Foley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10FG
18 plays · 69 yds · 5:1723% → 36%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
23.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
23.0%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+12
22.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 12 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
23.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+40
24.6%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 40 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
25.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the NIU 14Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
29.7%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 14Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+8
29.4%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
30.2%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 6Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
32.4%
PENALTY KENT False Start (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from NOIL06 to NOIL11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
32.4%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the NIU 7Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
31.4%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the NIU 3Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
36.4%
Andrew Glass 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:2962% → 61%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
37.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 12 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
37.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
38.4%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
39.5%
Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
38.8%
Kneel down by Kent St. at KENT17 for loss of 6 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:5069% → 78%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
30.9%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the KENT 16Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
30.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
21.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 16 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:5327% → 38%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
26.7%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
27.4%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 37Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
27.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 38Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
26.6%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+45
28.8%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 45 yds to the NIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
29.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the NIU 7Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
29.9%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 7Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.9%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
37.5%
Andrew Glass 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:2865% → 83%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
34.9%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+15
33.3%
Gavin Williams run for 15 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
31.9%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
31.7%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
32.1%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 43Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+3
36.8%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
34.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the KENT 46Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 16
OPP 46
0
36.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3324% → 24%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
24.3%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
23.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
23.5%
Josh Smith punt for 34 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for no gain to the NIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 3:0179% → 78%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.7%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+26
19.5%
Gavin Williams run for 26 yds to the KENT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
18.4%
Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
18.0%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
19.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
21.9%
Kanon Woodill 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:4027% → 62%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
27.1%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
27.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
26.4%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+12
25.1%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 12 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
30.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 47Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
30.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 7
50
+50
62.0%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3845% → 85%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.1%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
54.5%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
54.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 12 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
50.5%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+34
49.2%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 34 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
46.0%
Gavin Williams run for 16 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.0%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.0%
Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:4927% → 30%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
26.5%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
27.3%
Luke Floriea pass complete to Luke Floriea for 17 yds to the KENT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
32.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
33.3%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
34.6%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 7 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
34.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
34.0%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Justin Holmes for 1 yd to the NIU 36Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
29.5%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:0690% → 94%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
10.3%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+4
10.5%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
10.5%
Gavin Williams run for 9 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
6.1%
Tom Foley punt for 48 yds , Luke Floriea returns for 2 yds to the KENT 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
2.8%
Jacob Finley 0 Yd Fumble Return Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:23
Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
+32
TD · Q4 4:45
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
-30.5
TD · Q3 3:37
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com