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BGSU

Bowling Green 34 at Western Michigan 10

WMU
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2023 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:54 · Cameron Peasley punt for 38 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 26 yds to the WMU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingRule era
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−36.7Score differential−20.9Garbage-time factor−8.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Rule era−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:55: Jaylon Tillman 35 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick) — BGSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:54: Jordan Oladokun 53 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick) — BGSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:12: Odieu Hiliare 3 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick) — BGSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:57: Ta'ron Keith 7 Yd Run (Alan Anaya Kick) — BGSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:59: Alan Anaya 25 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:04BGSU 4th & 8 at WMU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:58BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:58BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:24WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:24WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:33WMU 4th & 28 at WMU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:33WMU 4th & 28 at WMU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:25WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:25BGSU 4th & 1 at WMU 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−1.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:06WMU 4th & 4 at BGSU 46, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%
    23% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:54WMU 4th & 23 at WMU 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:59BGSU 4th & 7 at WMU 7, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:09WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:08BGSU 4th & 10 at WMU 16, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:08WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:08WMU 4th & 3 at BGSU 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:40BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:55BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:54BGSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:12BGSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:57BGSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:44WMU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:5652% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
48.1%
Ta'ron Keith run for 10 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
48.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+35
48.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 35 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
48.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the WMU 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
48.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the WMU 12Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-5
48.4%
PENALTY BGS False Start (Padgett,Alex) 5 yards from WMU12 to WMU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
48.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
48.5%
Alan Anaya 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0249% → 49%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
48.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 3 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
48.6%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Darius Lorfils return for no gain to the WMU 35Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
48.6%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Darius Lorfils return for no gain to the WMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
46.7%
Jaylon Tillman 35 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0447% → 46%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
47.2%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 18Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+9
47.2%
Hayden Wolff run for 9 yds to the WMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
47.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Dontrez Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 24Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+3
47.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 3 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+7
47.1%
Hayden Wolff run for 7 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
46.4%
Carson Voss punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 20Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
46.4%
Carson Voss punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:5354% → 54%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.0%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the BGSU 21Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+17
46.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 17 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
45.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Ta'ron KeithSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
45.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-9
45.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 31Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+43
45.6%
Jackson Kleather punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 26 Western Michigan Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+43
45.6%
Jackson Kleather punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 26 Western Michigan Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3446% → 43%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
45.9%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 26Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
45.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen BuckleySimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+7
45.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 7 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+3
43.1%
Carson Voss punt for 42 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+3
43.1%
Carson Voss punt for 42 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2456% → 58%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
44.0%
Camden Orth run for 5 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
43.7%
Camden Orth run for 8 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.4%
Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+11
44.3%
Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 11 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
42.3%
Camden Orth pass intercepted Anthony Romphf return for no gain to the WMU 17Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
42.3%
Camden Orth pass intercepted Anthony Romphf return for no gain to the WMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8INT TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:0642% → 36%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
42.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 21Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+17
42.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 17 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
42.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 7 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
43.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
42.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-53
36.4%
Jordan Oladokun 53 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 3 yds · 4:2135% → 31%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
35.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 11 yds to the WMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
35.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
35.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
36.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
36.2%
Anthony Sambucci run for 9 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 19
OWN 37
-4
35.2%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Dierre Kelly for a loss of 4 yards to the WMU 33Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 23
OWN 33
-5
34.9%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jordan Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 28Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 28
OWN 28
0
31.3%
Carson Voss punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 43Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 28
OWN 28
0
31.3%
Carson Voss punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:2172% → 81%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
27.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 11 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
27.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 17 yds to the WMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
27.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
26.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the WMU 3Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.0%
Odieu Hiliare 3 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4723% → 21%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
22.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 28Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
22.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 2 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
21.2%
Cameron Peasley punt for 37 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for no gain to the BGSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:2881% → 95%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
18.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 23 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
18.0%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the WMU 46Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
18.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+10
18.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andrew Bench for 10 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
19.0%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
17.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 12 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
17.4%
Ta'ron Keith run for 10 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
17.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the WMU 7Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
5.3%
Ta'ron Keith 7 Yd Run (Alan Anaya Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:574% → 4%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.0%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
3.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+19
3.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 19 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
4.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-7
4.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jordan Porter for a loss of 7 yards to the WMU 41 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by WMU Hayden Wolff , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+13
3.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 13 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+16
3.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 16 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+48
3.9%
Palmer Domschke 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · -3 yds · 2:066% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
6.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 8 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 32
0
5.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen BuckleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
5.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
6.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
5.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-8
5.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Patrick Day for a loss of 8 yards to the WMU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 26
-5
5.9%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Romphf,Anthony) 5 yards from WMU26 to WMU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 23
OWN 21
+26
5.2%
Cameron Peasley punt for 38 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 26 yds to the WMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:5595% → 96%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
5.3%
Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the WMU 33Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
5.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+10
5.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
5.2%
Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the WMU 17Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+7
5.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the WMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
5.2%
Odieu Hiliare run for 3 yds to the WMU 13Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
5.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 6 yds to the WMU 7Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
5.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q3 8:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
4.0%
Alan Anaya 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:504% → 2%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
3.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Austin Hence for 8 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
3.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 12 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
4.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
3.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 7 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
4.3%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
4.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 3 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
4.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 6 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
4.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
4.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen BuckleySimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
4.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
4.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
2.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the BGSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 6:0197% → 99%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
3.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
3.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 5 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
2.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+11
2.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 11 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
2.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
2.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
2.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 9 yds to the WMU 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+10
0.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 10 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
0.9%
PENALTY BGS False Start (Gazarek,Levi) 5 yards from WMU16 to WMU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
0
0.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 21
0
0.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+5
0.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 5 yds to the WMU 16Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
0.8%
Alan Anaya 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 9:241% → 1%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 1 yd to the WMU 21Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+20
0.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 20 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
0.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
0.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
0.8%
CJ Hester run for 15 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
0.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
0.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
0.8%
PENALTY BGS Offside (Miles,Davonte) 5 yards from BGS30 to BGS25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
0.8%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the BGSU 25Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
0.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
0.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BGSU 20Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
0.8%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the BGSU 18Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+1
0.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 17Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+8
0.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 8 yds to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
1.0%
PENALTY WMU False Start (West,Addison) 5 yards from BGS09 to BGS14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
0.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
1.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 16 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 4:0499% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.7%
Jamal Johnson run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
0.7%
Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
0.6%
Camden Orth run for 5 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
0.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-10
0.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Orth,Camden rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WMU45 (Wilson,Logan) PENALTY BGS Holding (Burns,Jake) 10 yards from BGS48 to BGS38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+5
0.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+12
0.4%
Jackson Kleather punt for 39 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 12 yds to the WMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
0.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the WMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:57
Ta'ron Keith 7 Yd Run (Alan Anaya Kick)
-12.1
TD · Q2 7:12
Odieu Hiliare 3 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick)
-7.8
TD · Q2 13:54
Jordan Oladokun 53 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick)
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com