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EMU

Eastern Michigan 24 at Buffalo 11

BUF
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2023 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:32 · Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 12 yds to the EMU 36 Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Peyton Price) to the EMU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense−23.7Pregame prior+3.7Score differential−11.8Garbage-time factor−8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:41: Jaylon Jackson 19 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +9.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:21: Jesus Gomez 29 Yd Field Goal — EMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:07: Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:45: Ron Cook Jr. 6 Yd Run (Cole Snyder Pass to Cameron Ball for Two-Point Conversion) — BUF win probability +16.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:57: pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat — EMU win probability +7.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 6 of 9EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:07EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:38EMU 4th & 6 at BUF 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52BUF 4th & 4 at EMU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:34EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:26EMU 4th & 2 at BUF 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−1.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−8.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:21EMU 4th & 4 at BUF 11, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−8.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23BUF 4th & 9 at BUF 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:46BUF 4th & 5 at EMU 9, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−12.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:33EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 9, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:44EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:12BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:32BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:57BUF 4th & 1 at EMU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−2.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−10.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:21EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:01BUF 4th & 13 at EMU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−3.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:44EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.9%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 0 of 1EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:20EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:41EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:07EMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:45BUF Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1732% → 32%
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
67.8%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, false start (Mickey Rewolinski) to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+1
67.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 1 yd to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
67.7%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+52
67.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 52 yds , Cole Harrity returns for no gain to the BUFF 10 , Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. returns for no gain to the BUFF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2168% → 67%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
67.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 12Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
67.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 4 yds to the BUFF 16Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
67.4%
pass incomplete to Boobie Curry Buffalo Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Mike Washington) to the BUFF 16Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
67.2%
Anthony Venneri punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 4:0933% → 37%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
67.3%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
67.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
66.9%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
66.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the BUFF 47Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+35
66.4%
Samson Evans run for 35 yds to the BUFF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
66.1%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the BUFF 3Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 1
OPP 3
-2
66.1%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 5Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
63.2%
Austin Smith 5 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3064% → 63%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.2%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 27Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
63.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUFF 31Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
63.5%
pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
63.1%
Anthony Venneri run for 9 yds to the BUFF 40 Anthony Venneri fumbled, recovered by EMU Soloman Bell Venneri,Anthony rush middle for 9 yards to the BUF40, fumble by Venneri,Anthony recovered by EMU Bell,Soloman, Bell,Soloman rush.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5MISSED FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1138% → 38%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
62.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 16 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
61.9%
pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
62.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the BUFF 20Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
61.8%
pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
62.2%
Jesus Gomez 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4663% → 63%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+37
62.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 37 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
63.8%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the EMU 42Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
63.5%
pass incomplete to Cameron BallSimilar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+5
63.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale Eastern Michigan Penalty, off-side (Mikah Coleman) to the EMU 37Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
63.2%
pass incomplete to Jacqez BarksdaleSimilar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-2
62.6%
Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1140% → 40%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
60.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
60.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jere Getzinger, broken up by Joe AndreessenSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
60.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
60.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:3761% → 62%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
60.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUFF 22Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+10
60.5%
CJ Ogbonna run for 10 yds to the BUFF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
60.2%
CJ Ogbonna run for 15 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+39
61.0%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 39 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
61.8%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 14 yds to the EMU 20 Jacqez Barksdale fumbled, recovered by BUFF Barksdale,Jacqez rush middle for 14 yards to the EMU00, fumble by Barksdale,Jacqez.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:4941% → 56%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
58.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 11 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
57.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+13
58.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 13 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
56.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 3
50
+5
55.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 5 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
55.5%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the BUFF 36Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-1
55.1%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 37Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
55.0%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BUFF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
54.1%
Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the BUFF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
53.7%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BUFF 19Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
44.1%
Jaylon Jackson 19 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:0856% → 65%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
44.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BUFF 30Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-10
44.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (Andreas Paaske) to the BUFF 40Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+2
43.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 2 yds to the BUFF 38Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+13
43.5%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the BUFF 25Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+8
43.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 8 yds to the BUFF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
41.3%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the BUFF 13Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+5
40.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 5 yds to the BUFF 8Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-3
40.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUFF 11Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
35.4%
Jesus Gomez 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:5238% → 37%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+27
38.2%
Mike Washington run for 12 yds to the BUFF 28 Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Chase Kline) to the BUFF 43Similar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
40.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 3 yds to the BUFF 46Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-2
39.4%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 44Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
37.4%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson, broken up by Daiquan WhiteSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
36.6%
Anthony Venneri punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 1:5768% → 84%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
32.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+28
29.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 28 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
27.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the BUFF 46Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+10
26.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 10 yds to the BUFF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
26.4%
Austin Smith run for 24 yds to the BUFF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
25.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the BUFF 10Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+9
27.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 9 yds to the BUFF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.7%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:1024% → 18%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.8%
Cook,Ron rush middle (Zelinsky,Joseph).Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
23.0%
for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Alex Merritt) to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
24.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 5 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+29
23.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 29 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
19.8%
pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
19.7%
pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+5
18.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
17.6%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cameron Ball, broken up by Chase KlineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5188% → 90%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
12.5%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
12.1%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-7
11.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 9Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 10
OWN 9
+47
10.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds Buffalo Penalty, roughing kicker (Darrell Harding Jr.) to the BUFF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:3012% → 27%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
11.8%
CJ Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the BUFF 48Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
11.5%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Nik McMillan, broken up by Joe SparacioSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+13
11.3%
CJ Ogbonna run for 13 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
11.2%
CJ Ogbonna run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 42Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+12
10.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Nik McMillan for 12 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
10.0%
Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
9.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
9.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
9.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMU 6Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
25.5%
Ron Cook Jr. 6 Yd Run (Cole Snyder Pass to Cameron Ball for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
26.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cameron BallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5780% → 81%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
20.3%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
19.6%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
19.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 2 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+34
18.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 yds Eastern Michigan Penalty, illegal formation (Quentavius Scandrett) to the BUFF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1321% → 19%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
21.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Mikah ColemanSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
20.6%
CJ Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the BUFF 34Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+2
19.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 2 yds to the BUFF 36Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
19.4%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity, broken up by David Carter Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:4685% → 88%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
15.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 3 yds to the BUFF 33Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
14.1%
pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+7
14.7%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BUFF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
13.7%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BUFF 25Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
12.3%
pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+5
12.3%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the BUFF 20 Samson Evans fumbled, recovered by BUFF Marcus Fuqua Evans,Samson rush middle for 5 yards to the BUF20, fumble by Evans,Samson recovered by BUF Fuqua,Marcus, Fuqua,Marcus rush.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0117% → 18%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
17.4%
Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the BUFF 21Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
16.5%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the BUFF 24Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
15.9%
pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+27
15.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 12 yds to the EMU 36 Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Peyton Price) to the EMU 49Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
18.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 25 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
19.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry, broken up by Bennett WalkerSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
18.7%
pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+9
17.6%
Mike Washington run for 9 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
17.9%
Washington,Mike rush middle (Merritt,Alex;Zelinsky,Joseph).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3690% → 92%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
10.0%
pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+12
10.0%
Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
9.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
9.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-8
8.6%
Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
8.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:209% → 11%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
8.9%
Nik McMillan run for 18 yds to the BUFF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
9.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 9 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+11
10.1%
Mike Washington run for 11 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
9.6%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bennett Walker) to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
9.7%
pass incomplete to Mike WashingtonSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
9.5%
pass incomplete to Nik McMillanSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-3
8.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+40
10.7%
Alex McNulty 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23Uncategorized
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:2493% → 97%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.6%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
6.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
6.4%
Evans,Samson rush middle (Michel,Max).Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
5.9%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
5.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+14
4.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 39 for a 1ST down Buffalo Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (George Wolo) to the BUFF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
4.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BUFF 43Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
3.6%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the BUFF 40Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+15
3.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 15 yds to the BUFF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
2.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the BUFF 23Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-1
2.6%
Austin Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 24Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-1
2.6%
Austin Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:45
Ron Cook Jr. 6 Yd Run (Cole Snyder Pass to Cameron Ball for Two-Point Conversion)
+16
TD · Q2 0:07
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-11.3
TD · Q2 8:41
Jaylon Jackson 19 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez Kick)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com