Try the model
KENT

Kent State 3 at Ball State 34

BALL
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Scheumann Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:49 · Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+14.0Home team on offense+10.6Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:27: Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +2.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:38: Jackson Courville 48 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +4.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:42: Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +2.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:56: Kiael Kelly run for 22 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +8.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:44: Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:19KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:01KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:58BALL 4th & 4 at KENT 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:07KENT 4th & 2 at BALL 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:16KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:38BALL 4th & 10 at KENT 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:41KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:39BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:59KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:59KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:55BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:58KENT 4th & 3 at BALL 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:42KENT 4th & 17 at BALL 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:49BALL 4th & 3 at KENT 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.7%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:13KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:56KENT 4th & 12 at BALL 12, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:56KENT 4th & 12 at BALL 12, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:32KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:27BALL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:56BALL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:44BALL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:01BALL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2320% → 21%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
79.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 19Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
79.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-9
79.5%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 10Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 17
OWN 10
+5
79.4%
(13:32) Smith,Josh punt 45 yards to the BSU45 PENALTY BSU Running Into The Kicker (Evans,Brayden) 5 yards from KSU10 to KSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+40
79.3%
Josh Smith punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 45 Ball State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Beebe) to the BALL 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1879% → 79%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
79.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
79.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
79.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
78.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4421% → 21%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
78.8%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass complete deep left to Gardner,Jameel for 29 yards to the KSU41 (Potts,Tyler) PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Gardner,Jameel) 6 yards from KSU12 to KSU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 16
OWN 6
+16
78.8%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU13, End Of Play PENALTY BSU Personal Foul (Pearce,Cole) 16 yards from KSU06 to KSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
78.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 8 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+2
78.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Trell Harris for 2 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
78.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+3
78.6%
Josh Smith punt for 34 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 3 yds to the BALL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:5979% → 78%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
78.5%
(09:57) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass complete short middle to Magwood,Qian for 2 yards loss to the BSU39 (Nicholl,Rocco; Daley,Stephen) PENALTY KSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Blue,Capone) 15 yards from BSU41 to KSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
78.7%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KENT 44Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
78.5%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+11
78.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the KENT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
78.5%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
78.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
78.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Nick PresleySimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
78.3%
Jackson Courville 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:3722% → 23%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
78.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 17 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 35Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
77.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 10 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
77.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 46Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
77.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+2
76.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
77.1%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:3077% → 81%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
77.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 16 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+46
77.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 46 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
77.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KENT 13Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+8
77.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 8 yds to the KENT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
77.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KENT 2Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KENT 1Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5920% → 19%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
80.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 23Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
80.7%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Harris,Trell QB hurried by Mims,Kyron PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation offsetting BSU Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
80.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Hayden JunkerSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
81.0%
Josh Smith punt for 36 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the KENT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3181% → 85%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
80.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
81.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+6
80.6%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Maximus Webster for 6 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
81.1%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
81.1%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the KENT 31Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
80.9%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Nick PresleySimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
85.0%
Jackson Courville 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 1:4817% → 16%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
83.2%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass complete short left to Floriea,Luke for 3 yards to the KSU38, End Of Play PENALTY KSU Holding (Page,Andrew) 10 yards from KSU35 to KSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 20
OWN 25
-13
83.8%
PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 13 yards from KSU25 to KSU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 33
OWN 12
+6
83.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the KENT 18Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 27
OWN 18
+15
84.0%
Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Riley) to the KENT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.7%
Tommy Ulatowski run for no gain to the KENT 34Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
83.8%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
84.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+9
84.3%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 9 yds to the BALL 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5886% → 85%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
85.7%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
85.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
85.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Marquez CooperSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+4
84.7%
punt for 49 yds , Luke Floriea returns for 4 yds to the KENT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:3416% → 14%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
84.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
84.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 21Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-5
85.6%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Mikhari Sibblis for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 16Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
85.9%
Josh Smith punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 25Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
85.9%
Josh Smith punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:5787% → 86%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
86.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-9
86.7%
Kiael Kelly sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 22Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+14
86.3%
Lucas Borrow punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Luke Floriea returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FG
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:0915% → 16%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
50
+15
85.0%
Ball State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Loren Strickland) to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
84.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BALL 31Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+7
84.4%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
85.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+5
85.1%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
84.1%
Devin Kargman sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 21Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-6
84.5%
Devin Kargman sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 27Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 17
OPP 27
0
86.5%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+45
84.0%
Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3484% → 83%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Kiael Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
84.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Nick PresleySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0483% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.8%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Mucciolo,Jon) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
82.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
83.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
83.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+2
83.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 41Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+11
83.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 11 yds to the KENT 48Similar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+8
83.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
85.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+15
85.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 15 yds to the KENT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
93.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 22 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:379% → 8%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
90.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 13
OWN 39
-5
91.7%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from KSU39 to KSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+10
91.8%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 10 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+1
91.7%
Josh Smith punt for 46 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 1 yd to the BALL 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 4:2294% → 98%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
93.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 16Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+5
93.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
93.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
94.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 12 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Sayed Abuhamdeh) to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
94.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+29
94.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 29 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.8%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the KENT 4Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:383% → 1%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+18
97.7%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 18 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
97.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+12
97.9%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 12 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the BALL 20Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
98.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 10 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the BALL 12Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.4%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Hayden JunkerSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 6:5599% → 100%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
98.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 19Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 19Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+5
98.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
98.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 13 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
98.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 45 yds to the KENT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.9%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KENT 18Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
99.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the KENT 10Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+9
99.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jack CoulsonSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-9
99.9%
Devin Kargman sacked by Keionte Newson for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 20Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 16
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 47 , Qian Magwood returns for 8 yds to the KENT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 28 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the KENT 48Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 5 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Charlie Spegal for 7 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 4 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Nick Presley for 6 yds to the KENT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 7 yds to the KENT 19Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the KENT 18Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
Kneel down by Ball St. at KSU19 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:56
Kiael Kelly run for 22 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
+8.1
FG · Q2 10:38
Jackson Courville 48 yd FG GOOD
+4.2
TD · Q3 3:44
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com