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CMU

Central Michigan 20 at Ohio 34

OHIO
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2023 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:36 · Jack Wilson punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the CMU 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+23.6Home team on offense+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6Garbage-time factor+1.2Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:19: O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: Kurtis Rourke run for 16 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +8.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:40: Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 62 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK) — CMU win probability +7.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:11: O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +12.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:18: Marion Lukes run for 14 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson PAT MISSED) — CMU win probability +11.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:45CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49OHIO 4th & 2 at CMU 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:06CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:42CMU 4th & 16 at CMU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:36OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:57CMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:39CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:35OHIO 4th & 3 at CMU 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:33OHIO 4th & 1 at CMU 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−2.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−7.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:03OHIO 4th & 6 at CMU 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:07CMU 4th & 16 at CMU 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:32OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:47CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:07OHIO 4th & 4 at CMU 11, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00OHIO 4th & 28 at OHIO 23, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:19OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:19OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:38CMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:34OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:40CMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:11OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:18CMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0720% → 20%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.1%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
80.1%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
80.1%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
79.9%
Jake Walrath punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:5680% → 79%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
79.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+8
79.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 8 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
80.0%
ROURKE, Kurtis scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the CMU34 (SPANN, Caleb), out of bounds. PENALTY OU Holding on DANNEKER, Kurt enforced 10 yards from the CMU46 to the OU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+26
79.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 26 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
80.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the CMU 29Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
80.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the CMU 22Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
79.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
79.3%
Gianni Spetic 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3721% → 21%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
79.1%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Deiyantei Powell-Woods) to the CMU 17Similar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
79.1%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+1
79.2%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMU 18Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+4
79.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 4 yds to the CMU 22Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
79.3%
Jake Walrath punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3979% → 78%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
79.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
79.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-6
79.0%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Jacques Bristol for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 24Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
78.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 52 yds, downed at the CMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-21
79.9%
Shane Bonner 21 Yd Interception Return (Gianni Spetic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3320% → 19%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
79.8%
Marion Lukes run for 8 yds to the CMU 41Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+6
79.6%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
79.6%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-10
79.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Thomas Pannunzio for a loss of 10 yards to the CMU 41Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 16
OWN 41
0
80.1%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
80.6%
Jake Walrath punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:0684% → 84%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
84.3%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WIGLUSZ, Sam thrown to the OU41. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on KENT, Donte enforced 15 yards to the OU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
84.6%
Ohio Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Foster) to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
84.6%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Robi Stuart for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 34Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-5
84.2%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (Parker Titsworth) to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+3
84.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 3 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+14
84.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 14 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
83.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the CMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:3920% → 20%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
80.3%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Stephan Bracey Jr.) to the CMU 3Similar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+48
80.3%
Myles Bailey run for 48 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
79.2%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+23
79.1%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 23 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
78.5%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
78.5%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+4
79.0%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 13Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
79.6%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the OHIO 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 4:3885% → 92%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
84.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 10Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+14
83.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 14 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
84.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 24Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+25
84.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 25 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
85.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 30 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
85.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 20 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:3614% → 18%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.5%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
86.7%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 46Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
87.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 47Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+4
87.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
86.6%
Marion Lukes run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 48Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+2
87.5%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 11
50
+50
82.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 50 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:0386% → 86%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
85.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
85.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
86.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
85.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
86.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3516% → 15%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
83.9%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 20Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
84.1%
Jase Bauer run for 4 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+5
85.2%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
84.9%
Jase Bauer sacked by Shane Bonner and Tristan Cox for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
85.2%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+11
85.4%
Marion Lukes run for 11 yds to the CMU 38 Marion Lukes fumbled, recovered by CMU Marion LukesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2083% → 93%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
82.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 14 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+11
84.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 11 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
84.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 14 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
84.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+12
84.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 12 yds to the CMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 16 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:4710% → 18%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.8%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+62
82.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 62 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:2283% → 96%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+35
83.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 35 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
84.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the CMU 32Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
84.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
84.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
84.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 9 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
84.9%
Miles Cross pass complete to Kurtis Rourke for 7 yds to the CMU 8Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
84.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMU 6Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
84.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the CMU 6Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+5
83.5%
Tyler Walton run for 5 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:487% → 18%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.8%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
92.7%
Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
92.5%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
92.5%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
92.7%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+15
92.5%
BAUER, Jase sacked for a loss of 30 yards at the CMU36, fumble on the sack (forced by HOUSTON, Bryce), recovered by OU HOUSTON, Bryce at the CMU36, returned 0 yards to the CMU36, End of Play. PENALTY OU Personal Foul on COX JR., Torrie enforced 15 yards from the OU34 to the OU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
91.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-2
93.0%
Jase Bauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-10
93.8%
BAUER, Jase pass to the right complete for 8 yards to TEMPLE, Decorion caught at the OU13 and advanced to the OU11; QB hurried by BONNER, Shane (PARODIE, Roman), out of bounds. PENALTY CMU Holding on HEINZEN, Davis enforced 10 yards from the OU19 to the OU29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
82.1%
Marion Lukes run for 14 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:1591% → 95%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+18
91.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 18 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
92.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the CMU 46Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
91.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the CMU 45Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+15
91.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 15 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 4 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
95.3%
Gianni Spetic 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:5610% → 8%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
89.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 7 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
88.4%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-5
89.3%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Brayden Swartout) to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-8
90.7%
Jase Bauer sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 8 yards to the CMU 20Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
91.7%
Jake Walrath punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:3597% → 97%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
96.6%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (Parker Titsworth) to the OHIO 39Similar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
96.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+2
96.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+4
96.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 4 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
97.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 47 yds, downed at the CMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:457% → 5%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
93.1%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
93.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 8 yds to the CMU 16Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+1
94.2%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 17Similar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
94.4%
PENALTY OU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WOOD, Jeremiah CMU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on POWELL-WOODS, Deiyantei , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
94.6%
Jase Bauer run for no gain to the CMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
97.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the CMU 16Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
98.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the CMU 13Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+2
98.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the CMU 11Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+33
99.1%
Gianni Spetic 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
96.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 36Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+22
96.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 22 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
96.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 8 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+9
95.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 9 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
96.9%
Jase Bauer sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · -12 yds · 8:5099% → 99%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.0%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
98.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OU31 (team loss of 9).Similar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 35Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
99.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 20
OWN 31
0
99.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OU23 (team loss of 8).Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 28
OWN 23
0
99.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OU16 (team loss of 7); OU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:11
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q4 14:18
Marion Lukes run for 14 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson PAT MISSED)
-11.8
TD · Q3 10:34
Kurtis Rourke run for 16 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com