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AKR

Akron 27 at Eastern Michigan 30

EMU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 14, 2023 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:23 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bobby Golden at the AKR 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+2.9Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:00: Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +7.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:49: Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK) — AKR win probability +7.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +10.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Offense has -7 timeouts left).
  4. FG · Q4 8:00: Owen Wiley 23 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +14.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:10: Jesus Gomez 32 yd FG GOOD Akron Penalty, Illegal Formation (KJ Martin) declined — EMU win probability +36.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:57EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29EMU 4th & 8 at AKR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:51AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:45EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:28AKR 4th & 8 at EMU 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:25AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−3.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:15EMU 4th & 9 at AKR 38, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:45AKR 4th & 12 at EMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−1.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:23EMU 4th & 22 at EMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−5.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:00AKR 4th & 2 at EMU 5, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%−4.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−27.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:49EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−4.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:31AKR 4th & 11 at EMU 32, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.1 ptsPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−2.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:10EMU 4th & 9 at AKR 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−23.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−33.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:27AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:00EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:49AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 5:1360% → 60%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
60.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
60.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
60.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+9
60.3%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.7%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 43Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+11
60.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 11 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
60.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
61.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the AKR 44Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
60.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
60.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 5:3040% → 40%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
60.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 8 yds to the AKR 12Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+1
60.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the AKR 13Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+2
60.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
60.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 17Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+5
60.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the AKR 22Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+12
60.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 12 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
59.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
59.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-9
60.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the AKR 24Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 20
OWN 24
0
60.5%
Dante Jackson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0261% → 60%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
61.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
61.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
60.8%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+13
60.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Bobby Golden returns for 13 yds to the AKR 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 6:1141% → 51%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
59.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 8 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+2
58.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
58.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jake Newell for 5 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
57.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
57.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
57.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 6
50
+15
57.2%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
56.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+20
56.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to TJ Banks for 20 yds to the EMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
55.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
55.7%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jake Newell for 6 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
18 plays · 78 yds · 6:1652% → 64%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
51.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
51.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 9 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+32
57.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 32 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
59.4%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
59.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 3 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+14
56.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 14 yds to the AKR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
57.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the AKR 19Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
57.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the AKR 13Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
56.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the AKR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
57.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
57.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the AKR 6Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
56.2%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short right to Knue,Tanner PENALTY AKR Pass Interference (Golden-Nelson,Devonte) 4 yards from AKR06 to AKR02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.6%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 2:5742% → 51%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
57.7%
Tahj Bullock run for no gain to the AKR 23Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
57.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+46
58.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 46 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
53.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for no gain to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
53.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Lorenzo LingardSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+2
54.8%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+22
56.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 15 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joe Sparacio) to the EMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
48.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 1:2043% → 57%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
43.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short left to Knue,Tanner for 5 yards to the EMU46 (Durant,Tyson) PENALTY EMU Holding (Conti,Zack) 10 yards from EMU41 to EMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+10
41.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
42.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
41.5%
Akron Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
44.8%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
44.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+11
43.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the AKR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
46.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 12 yds to the AKR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
46.0%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the AKR 15Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
45.9%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short left to El-Zayat,Hamze broken up by Martin,KJ PENALTY AKR Pass Interference (Lewis,Darrian) 13 yards from AKR15 to AKR02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.8%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0058% → 60%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
58.4%
J. Undercuffler Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
60.3%
PENALTY AKR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Fish,Antavious) 15 yards from EMU35 to EMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2144% → 41%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
56.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the AKR 23Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-6
56.2%
Tahj Bullock sacked by Joey Zelinsky for a loss of 6 yards to the AKR 17Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
57.8%
Akron Penalty, Offensive Holding (KJ Martin) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+2
58.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 51 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 2 yds to the EMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 4:0260% → 59%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
60.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
62.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 6 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the AKR 47Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+8
62.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 8 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
63.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
63.1%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the AKR 38Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
62.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jaylon JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+56
59.2%
Jesus Gomez 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:3047% → 44%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
53.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the AKR 39Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
53.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 4 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+15
52.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 15 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
50.9%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Tyhler) 5 yards from EMU42 to EMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+3
52.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
52.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
53.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
56.1%
Dante Jackson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:2258% → 56%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
58.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+34
57.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 34 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
62.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-13
62.6%
Austin Smith sacked by Shammond Cooper for a loss of 13 yards to the EMU 46Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+2
57.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 2 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 22
OWN 44
0
55.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bobby Golden at the AKR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FG
19 plays · 75 yds · 9:1847% → 70%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
53.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 15 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jasaiah Gathings) to the AKR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
53.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 1 yd to the AKR 21Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
53.7%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Undercuffler,Jeff pass incomplete deep middle to George,Daniel PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Walker,Bennett) 15 yards from AKR21 to AKR36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
51.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
49.0%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
51.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
47.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 6 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
45.7%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+14
46.1%
Tahj Bullock run for 14 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
44.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
43.0%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+13
44.9%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 13 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
42.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
42.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 3 yds to the EMU 6Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+1
44.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the EMU 5Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+23
29.9%
Owen Wiley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5433% → 30%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
33.4%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 13
OWN 4
0
32.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
30.6%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 13
OWN 4
0
29.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:1371% → 82%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
29.0%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the AKR 31Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+12
26.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jake Newell for 12 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
23.1%
PENALTY AKR Delay Of Game (Undercuffler,Jeff) 5 yards from AKR43 to AKR38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+3
25.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. run for 3 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+3
25.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the AKR 38Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+31
22.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 31 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
15.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
18.7%
Tahj Bullock run for no gain to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+4
15.0%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 4 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 11
OPP 32
0
18.4%
Dante Jackson punt for 32 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:1324% → 57%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
24.3%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
24.8%
Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
21.8%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
20.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
19.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 6 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
19.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+34
18.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 34 yds to the AKR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
27.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the AKR 13Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
25.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-1
20.7%
Austin Smith sacked by Nate Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 14Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
57.2%
Jesus Gomez 32 yd FG GOOD Akron Penalty, Illegal Formation (KJ Martin) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
53.0%
J. Undercuffler Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+47
FG · Q4 0:10
Jesus Gomez 32 yd FG GOOD Akron Penalty, Illegal Formation (KJ Martin) declined
+36.5
FG · Q4 8:00
Owen Wiley 23 yd FG GOOD
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com