Try the model
WMU

Western Michigan 0 at Northern Illinois 24

NIU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 14, 2023 · Huskie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:07 · Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Austin Hence
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+30.8Score differential+22.3Pregame prior+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Garbage-time factor+7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:16: Antario Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +4.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:03: Antario Brown run for 66 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +6.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:50: Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 37 — WMU win probability +4.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:23: Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 05:23 — NIU win probability +5.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 2:32: Carson Voss punt for 33 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 55 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +8.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 9:04NIU 4th & 6 at WMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:00WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:58NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:12WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 25, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:23WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:23WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:33NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:02WMU 4th & 17 at NIU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:24WMU 4th & 10 at NIU 35, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:59NIU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:32WMU 4th & 11 at WMU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:08WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:35NIU 4th & 4 at WMU 8, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:07WMU 4th & 11 at NIU 16, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:16NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:03NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:4562% → 62%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
61.7%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 18Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+3
61.7%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+5
61.6%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Kneeland,Marshawn) 5 yards from NIU21 to NIU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
61.6%
Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the NIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
61.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
61.7%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+10
61.7%
Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
62.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 16 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
62.2%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 16
OPP 44
0
61.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+10
61.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 10 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
61.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:1939% → 38%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
61.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 11 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
60.8%
Hayden Wolff run for 5 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+6
61.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 6 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
61.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 9
OWN 46
-5
61.5%
PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from WMU46 to WMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
61.6%
Carson Voss punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 83 yds · 7:1561% → 69%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
61.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
61.3%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 3 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
61.0%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
61.2%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
61.2%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 9 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+28
61.5%
Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Bilhal Kone) to the WMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
62.6%
Trayvon Rudolph pass complete to Billy Dozier for 7 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+1
62.7%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the WMU 26Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+5
62.4%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the WMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
62.9%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the WMU 14Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+13
63.0%
Rocky Lombardi run for 13 yds to the WMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.3%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
69.0%
(00:16) Seibert,Jake onside kickoff 11 yards to the NIU46 PENALTY NIU Illegal Block in Back (Lafayette,Devin) 5 yards from NIU35 to NIU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0035% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
65.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
65.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Austin Hence for 3 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
65.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
66.5%
Carson Voss punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:5669% → 70%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
69.1%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
69.3%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
69.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the NIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
70.2%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
71.4%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
71.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 6 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
72.4%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 47Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
71.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
71.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Billy DozierSimilar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
70.0%
Tom Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2831% → 30%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
68.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 8 yds to the WMU 24Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-5
68.0%
PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from WMU24 to WMU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
68.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 21Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+4
69.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the WMU 25Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
70.4%
Carson Voss punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
81.1%
Antario Brown run for 66 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2723% → 22%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
76.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
76.5%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 37Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
77.5%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 37Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
78.0%
Cameron Peasley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 25Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
78.0%
Cameron Peasley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:4283% → 85%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
83.2%
Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
83.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for no gain to the NIU 39Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
82.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 4 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
85.0%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 44Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
85.5%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
84.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
84.5%
Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:2317% → 16%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+33
83.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 33 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
81.6%
PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 15 yards from WMU49 to NIU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
80.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 3 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-7
80.7%
Hayden Wolff sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+3
83.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 3 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
84.0%
Cameron Peasley punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
85.3%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2319% → 17%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
81.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn King for 13 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 3 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
80.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+18
80.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 18 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
79.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the NIU 34Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
79.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the NIU 33Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+2
81.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
82.9%
Carson Voss punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 48 yds · 7:1781% → 87%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
81.2%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 8Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+9
81.4%
Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
83.2%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 19Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
83.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 7 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
83.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
85.2%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
85.3%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 31Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+15
85.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Billy Dozier for 15 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.3%
Trayvon Rudolph run for no gain to the NIU 46Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
87.7%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 6
50
0
87.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 6
50
0
87.3%
Tom Foley punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:2113% → 4%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
87.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+14
87.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 14 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
86.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 1 yd to the WMU 22Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
87.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
87.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+55
96.3%
Carson Voss punt for 33 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 55 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:083% → 2%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
96.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 7Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
97.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 9
OWN 7
+15
97.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 15 yds to the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
97.2%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Muhammed Jammeh for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 17Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+7
97.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 7 yds to the WMU 24Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
97.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
97.8%
Cameron Peasley punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:2599% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
98.8%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
98.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 4 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+33
99.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Christion Carter for 33 yds to the WMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.1%
Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the WMU 13Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
99.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the WMU 7Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
99.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 1 yd to the WMU 8Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
99.2%
Kanon Woodill 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17DOWNS
17 plays · 76 yds · 5:131% → 1%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
98.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 7Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+12
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 12 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
98.6%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Wolff,Hayden pass complete short right to Buckley,Jalen for 9 yards to the WMU28 (Byrd,JaVaughn) PENALTY WMU Holding 9 yards from WMU19 to WMU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+7
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 7 yds to the WMU 17Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+32
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 32 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
98.7%
PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from WMU49 to WMU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+7
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+15
98.8%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Wolff,Hayden pass incomplete deep left to Bosma,Blake PENALTY NIU Pass Interference 15 yards from NIU49 to NIU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 4 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+15
98.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 15 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
98.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
99.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 11
OPP 16
0
99.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18END OF GAME
10 plays · 72 yds · 5:58100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
99.6%
Gavin Williams run for 21 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.6%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
99.6%
Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+11
99.7%
Jaylen Poe run for 11 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 2 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+21
99.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 21 yds to the WMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.8%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
99.8%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q3 2:32
Carson Voss punt for 33 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 55 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q2 7:03
Antario Brown run for 66 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
+6.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 5:23
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 05:23
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com