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BGSU

Bowling Green 49 at Kent State 19

KENT
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2023 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU38 for loss of 2 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:16: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:18: Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 45 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:51: Camden Orth run for 2 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:00: Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Hayden Junker for 21 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +11.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:36: Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KENT win probability +5.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:58KENT 4th & 14 at BGSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:13BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:25KENT 4th & 18 at KENT 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:39KENT 4th & 3 at BGSU 14, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:23BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:38KENT 4th & 4 at BGSU 18, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%−0.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:15KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 35, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:15BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 40, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:38BGSU 4th & 1 at KENT 5, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−1.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:32KENT 4th & 11 at BGSU 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:54BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 9, up 22
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 3 at KENT 37, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:36KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:00KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:26KENT 4th & 5 at BGSU 42, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 2:01BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:16BGSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:18BGSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:51BGSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:00KENT Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:55BGSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:36KENT Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:00BGSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:01BGSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:5623% → 26%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
22.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 8 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
22.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
22.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 7 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
22.7%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the BGSU 49Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+11
22.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
22.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jack Coulson for 5 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
22.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the BGSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
22.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
22.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jack CoulsonSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 24
-6
22.7%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+48
25.9%
Andrew Glass 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4574% → 72%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
26.0%
Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+9
26.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 9 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+1
26.1%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 1 yd to the BGSU 37Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
26.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai IbrahimSimilar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
28.5%
Jackson Kleather punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2328% → 28%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
27.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 17Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-5
27.7%
PENALTY KENT False Start (Morell,Dustyn) 5 yards from KENT17 to KENT12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+11
27.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 23Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+8
28.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds Trell Harris fumbled, recovered by BGSU Darren Anders No Huddle-Shotgun Ulatowski,Tommy pass complete short left to Harris,Trell for 8 yards to the KENT31 fumbled by Harris,Trell at KENT29 forced by Anders,Darren recovered by BGSU Anders,Darren at KENT31, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:4972% → 75%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+12
28.4%
Ta'ron Keith run for 12 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
27.7%
Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+22
28.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 22 yds to the KENT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.7%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 2 yds to the KENT 1Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.5%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2828% → 27%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
28.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 4 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
28.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-12
27.7%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the KENT 32Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 18
OWN 32
+40
26.8%
Josh Smith punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 47 , Jhaylin Embry returns for 40 yds to the KENT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
1 play · 47 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
22.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:2123% → 25%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
23.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
23.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+41
23.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Justin Holmes for 41 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
24.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the BGSU 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
24.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the BGSU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+1
24.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BGSU 14Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
24.9%
Andrew Glass 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1676% → 75%
Q2 11:39
2ND & 26
OWN 9
+7
24.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 7 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+12
24.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 12 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
25.0%
Jackson Kleather punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:4524% → 24%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
24.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jack Coulson for 5 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+29
25.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 29 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
26.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
26.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the BGSU 18Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
26.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the BGSU 17Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+1
26.0%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the BGSU 18Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
24.0%
Andrew Glass 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2077% → 83%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
23.2%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 6 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+29
22.5%
Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 29 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
16.6%
Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 45 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5818% → 18%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
18.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
18.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
18.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+10
17.9%
Josh Smith punt for 51 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 10 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:2484% → 93%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
16.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 37Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
16.3%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 3 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
15.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+17
16.6%
Jackson Kleather run for 17 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
15.6%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Mattheus Carroll for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 48Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+34
15.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 34 yds to the KENT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
15.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 12 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.9%
Camden Orth run for 2 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:4412% → 13%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
11.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 12 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
12.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 12 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
13.1%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the BGSU 48Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+10
13.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Justin Holmes for 10 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
13.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
12.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:1592% → 93%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
8.3%
Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+24
8.2%
Ta'ron Keith run for 24 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
7.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 7 yds to the KENT 7Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
7.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
7.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Levi GazarekSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
7.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 30 yds to the KENT 14 Ta'ron Keith fumbled, recovered by BGSU Ta'ron Keith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
6.6%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd to the KENT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:0610% → 5%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
9.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 8Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+15
9.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Trell Harris for 15 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
9.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 9 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+13
10.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 13 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
10.8%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Trell Harris for 11 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
11.1%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 16
50
+5
10.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
10.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
5.4%
Josh Smith punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3896% → 97%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 11
OWN 1
0
4.3%
Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the BGSU 1Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
3.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+8
3.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 8 yds to the BGSU 9Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
3.4%
Jackson Kleather punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:546% → 17%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
5.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
5.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BGSU 31Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
5.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
16.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Hayden Junker for 21 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:0590% → 99%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.5%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
10.5%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 15 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
10.0%
Camden Orth run for no gain to the BGSU 41Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
10.0%
Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 4 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+11
10.0%
Camden Orth run for 11 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
9.7%
PENALTY KENT Offside (Duran,Javier) 5 yards from KENT44 to KENT39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
9.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 5 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
5.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
6.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+14
6.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 14 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
5.8%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd to the KENT 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+20
5.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Finn Hogan for 20 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.5%
Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-15
2.3%
Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 9
OWN 28
0
2.3%
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tommy Ulatowski) to the KENT 17Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 20
OWN 17
0
2.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 20
OWN 17
+6
2.2%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 6 yds to the KENT 23Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
2.0%
Josh Smith punt for 43 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for no gain to the BGSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
1.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 15 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
1.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 49Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
1.2%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:382% → 8%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
2.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 4 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
2.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
2.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
2.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
2.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Trell Harris for 28 yds to the BGSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
2.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the BGSU 2Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:2597% → 99%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
3.5%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the KENT 39Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
3.5%
Camden Orth run for 2 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+25
3.5%
Ta'ron Keith run for 25 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
3.5%
Camden Orth run for 9 yds to the KENT 3Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
0.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
0.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Justin Holmes for 10 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+6
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 6 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
0.5%
Jamal Johnson run for 4 yds to the KENT 11Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
0.5%
Lucian Anderson III run for 9 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.5%
Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.4%
Lucian Anderson III run for no gain to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Lucian Anderson III run for 1 yd for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
0.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 10 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
0.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
0.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
0.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
0.1%
Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU40 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-2
0.1%
Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU38 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:00
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Hayden Junker for 21 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 0:51
Camden Orth run for 2 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)
-8.5
TD · Q2 5:18
Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 45 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com