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EMU

Eastern Michigan 23 at Toledo 49

TOL
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2023 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:52 · Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 24 yds to the EMU 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+32.0Home team on offense+11.4Score differential+8.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:34: Peny Boone run for 9 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +1.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:53: Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 28 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +3.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:36: Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:19: Jacquez Stuart run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:43: Peny Boone run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 5:35EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:00EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:52EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:52TOL 4th & 5 at EMU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:30EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 39, down 28
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:16EMU 4th & 1 at TOL 30, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:42EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 48, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:44EMU 4th & 10 at TOL 27, down 40
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:56TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:34TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:53TOL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:36TOL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:19TOL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:43TOL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:02EMU Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:48TOL Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:27EMU Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:59EMU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:4310% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.2%
Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
90.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 1 yd to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
90.2%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
90.2%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
89.5%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:2190% → 90%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
89.6%
Jacquez Stuart run for 14 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
89.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+12
89.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 12 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
89.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the EMU 10Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
89.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Dalton Andrews for 10 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:2111% → 11%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
89.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 17Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+15
89.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 15 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
89.4%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, False Start (JB Mitchell III) to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+4
89.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+8
89.5%
Austin Smith run for 8 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
89.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
89.4%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
89.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
89.4%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 8
OWN 45
-5
89.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 4:0189% → 91%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+26
89.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 26 yds to the TOL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
89.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 8 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+2
89.3%
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
89.3%
Junior Vandeross III run for 2 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
89.3%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the EMU 43Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+9
89.2%
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
89.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Peny Boone for 25 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.0%
Peny Boone run for 9 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2910% → 9%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
90.1%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, False Start (Zack Conti) to the EMU 12Similar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
90.1%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
90.2%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 15
OWN 12
0
90.6%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 15
OWN 12
0
90.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
93.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 28 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:017% → 6%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.5%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
93.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 8 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.6%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.7%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds, downed at the TOL 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 3:1694% → 97%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.2%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the TOL 13Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+47
94.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 47 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.4%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
94.4%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+2
94.3%
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+24
94.1%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 24 yds to the EMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
94.4%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.4%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
97.2%
Toledo penalty, Offsides (T. Taylor)Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
97.1%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:1197% → 99%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
96.6%
Dequan Finn sacked by Peyton Price for a loss of 3 yards to the TOL 10Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+26
96.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Peny Boone for 26 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 3 yds to the TOL 39Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
96.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 17 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
96.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 14 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
96.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+24
96.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 24 yds to the EMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 4:101% → 1%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-3
98.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 36Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 10 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.0%
JACKSON, Jaylon rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU44 (GANT, Dallas). PENALTY TOL Face mask on GANT, Dallas enforced 15 yards from the EMU46 to the TOL39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the TOL 38Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+6
98.9%
Terry Lockett Jr. run for 6 yds to the TOL 32Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
99.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the TOL 30Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
98.5%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the TOL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.3%
SMITH, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for EL-ZAYAT, Hamze thrown to the TOL21. PENALTY TOL Pass Interference on FULLER, Andre enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the TOL24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
99.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 17 yds to the TOL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
99.3%
Jesus Gomez 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12INT
6 plays · 52 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.9%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the TOL 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+13
98.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 13 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
98.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Anthony Torres for 18 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
98.9%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+9
98.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Anthony Torres for 9 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Dequan Finn pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 17 yds to the TOL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the TOL 48Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-4
99.0%
Austin Smith sacked by Cavon Butler and Adrian Woliver for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the TOL 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:5999% → 100%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
99.4%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the TOL 14Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+5
99.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 5 yds to the TOL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
99.4%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Korey Hernandez) to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.5%
Devin Maddox run for 3 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
99.5%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Chase Kline) to the EMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Peny Boone run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+5
99.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+15
99.7%
EVANS, Samson rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU39 (GANT, Dallas). PENALTY TOL Face mask on FORD, Zachary enforced 15 yards from the EMU41 to the TOL44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 16 yds to the TOL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.7%
Samson Evans pass complete to Elijah Jackson-Anderson for 28 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 8:08100% → 100%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.7%
Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the TOL 29Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+12
99.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 12 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Peny Boone run for no gain to the TOL 41Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 5 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+18
99.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Peny Boone for 18 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.8%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
99.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 4 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 6 yds to the EMU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the EMU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+6
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 6 yds to the EMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Adrian Gonzalez) to the EMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:170% → 0%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the TOL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Max Reese for 2 yds to the TOL 45Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the TOL 39Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+12
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 12 yds to the TOL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-12
99.9%
Austin Smith sacked by Malachi Davis and CJ Wilson Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the TOL 39Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 22
OPP 39
+12
99.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 12 yds to the TOL 27Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the TOL 27Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+13
99.9%
Austin Smith run for 13 yds to the TOL 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
99.9%
Austin Smith run for 8 yds to the TOL 6Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
100.0%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the TOL 34Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Micah Kelly run for 1 yd to the TOL 35Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-11
100.0%
Tucker Gleason sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the TOL 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the TOL 20Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+18
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 18 yds to the TOL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the TOL 2Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the TOL 1Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Dontae McMillan 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.7%
[SG] Kneel down by GLEASON, Tucker at TOL31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:53
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 28 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 10:36
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 4:19
Jacquez Stuart run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com