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OHIO

Ohio 20 at Buffalo 10

BUF
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2023 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:01 · Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 11 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior−0.4Home team on offense−31.1Score differential−10.8Garbage-time factor−14.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:46: Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +15.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:30: CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) Ohio Penalty, off-side (Justin Birchette) to the OHIO 1 — BUF win probability +22.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:52: Gianni Spetic 25 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +10.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:00: Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BUFF 27 — OHIO win probability +13.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:55: Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +14.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 6 of 9OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:23OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00BUF 4th & 1 at OHIO 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:20BUF 4th & 1 at OHIO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:46BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:15OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:24BUF 4th & 5 at OHIO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:21OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21BUF 4th & 1 at OHIO 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−3.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:02BUF 4th & 13 at OHIO 37, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    45.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:48OHIO 4th & 11 at BUF 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−10.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:38BUF 4th & 5 at BUF 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:46OHIO 4th & 2 at BUF 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−17.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:52OHIO 4th & 9 at BUF 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−21.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:01BUF 4th & 5 at BUF 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:32BUF 4th & 11 at BUF 46, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 2:46OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:30BUF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:55OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1271% → 69%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-9
29.2%
Kurtis Rourke sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OHIO 5Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+6
29.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 11Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+5
29.4%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the OHIO 16Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
30.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 7:4026% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.7%
pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
25.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 19 yds to the BUFF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
25.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUFF 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
25.7%
CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the BUFF 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+7
25.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 7 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
25.7%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
25.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-2
25.7%
CJ Ogbonna run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
25.7%
Buffalo Penalty, delay of game (Yards) to the OHIO 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+5
25.7%
Ohio Penalty, off-side (Jay Crable) to the OHIO 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+12
25.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 12 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
25.7%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 9 yds to the OHIO 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-2
25.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
25.7%
CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the OHIO 14Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 14
0
29.7%
Washington,Mike rush middle (Mathews,Rodney).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:3731% → 32%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
30.5%
Cook,Ron rush (Henderson,Bralen), PENALTY BUF holding (Brock,Trevor), PENALTY OHI off-side (Weaver,Bradley). Ohio Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevor Brock) to the BUFF 32Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
30.5%
Ogbonna,CJ rush middle (Weaver,Bradley).Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
30.4%
CJ Ogbonna run for 9 yds to the BUFF 41Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
30.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
31.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUFF 40Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
30.5%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr., broken up by Bryce HoustonSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+3
30.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 3 yds to the BUFF 43Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+42
31.8%
Anthony Venneri punt for 42 yds Ohio Penalty, off-side (Aramoni Rhone) to the OHIO 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:3168% → 66%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
31.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 16Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+9
31.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
32.2%
Ohio Penalty, false start (Kurt Danneker) to the OHIO 20Similar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
32.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
32.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
32.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 12 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
31.5%
pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
31.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+2
32.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 2 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
34.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:5135% → 41%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
34.6%
CJ Ogbonna run for 7 yds to the BUFF 13Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 13
-4
34.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 9Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+48
33.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 48 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
36.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 7 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+8
36.7%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
37.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the OHIO 23 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Darrell Harding Jr.) to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+3
36.6%
Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+3
36.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 3 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+4
36.4%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
41.4%
Alex McNulty 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0360% → 57%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
39.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles Cross, broken up by Jaylon BassSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
40.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler Foster, broken up by Devin GrantSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
42.6%
Jack Wilson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:1942% → 44%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
41.8%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the BUFF 38Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
42.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 37Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
41.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Nik McMillan for 10 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
43.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
44.1%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
43.5%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+10
42.2%
CJ Ogbonna run for 10 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
44.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
44.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Nik McMillan for 5 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-9
47.6%
Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OHIO 37Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 13
OPP 37
+55
43.5%
Alex McNulty 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:1255% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
44.8%
pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+25
45.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 25 yds to the BUFF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
41.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 11 yds to the BUFF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
41.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 14 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
40.3%
Ohio Penalty, false start (Tyler Foster) to the BUFF 29Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+1
41.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BUFF 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
42.1%
pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+14
43.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 14 yds to the BUFF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
40.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 6 yds to the BUFF 8Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
40.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the BUFF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
40.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BUFF 3Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
40.5%
pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-8
41.7%
Kurtis Rourke sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the BUFF 11Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
40.9%
Gianni Spetic 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0644% → 43%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
44.2%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BUFF 7Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 7
-1
44.0%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 6Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+5
42.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 5 yds to the BUFF 11Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 5
OWN 11
+5
43.1%
Anthony Venneri punt for 32 yds , Tyler Walton returns for 5 yds to the BUFF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:5261% → 77%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
38.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the BUFF 33Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+6
37.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 6 yds to the BUFF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
37.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 17 yds to the BUFF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
37.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BUFF 6Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
37.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the BUFF 2Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.6%
Bangura,Sieh rush middle (Murdock,Red).Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1628% → 57%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+52
27.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 52 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
33.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 7 yds to the OHIO 16Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+4
33.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the OHIO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
33.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 7 yds to the OHIO 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
32.1%
CJ Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the OHIO 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the OHIO 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
32.1%
Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 2Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) Ohio Penalty, off-side (Justin Birchette) to the OHIO 1Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.9%
Ohio Penalty, off-side (Justin Birchette) to the OHIO 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:3854% → 69%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+29
43.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 29 yds to the BUFF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
41.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BUFF 35Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+16
39.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 16 yds to the BUFF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
39.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 11 yds to the BUFF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
39.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 10Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
39.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the BUFF 9Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
41.5%
pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+25
31.0%
Gianni Spetic 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:4837% → 37%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
37.4%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 6 yds to the BUFF 27Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
38.4%
Ogbonna,CJ rush middle (Houston,Bryce).Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+6
36.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the BUFF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
37.1%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 29 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by OHIO Keye Thompson Snyder,Cole rush middle for loss of 4 yards to the BUF29, fumble by Snyder,Cole recovered by OHI Thompson,Keye, Thompson,Keye rush.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 5:0576% → 95%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
24.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BUFF 27Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
24.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 4 yds to the BUFF 23Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+10
25.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the BUFF 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
24.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 4 yds to the BUFF 9Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
19.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BUFF 5Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
20.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BUFF 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
19.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BUFF 1Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 26 yds · 1:186% → 5%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
6.2%
pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
6.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 4 yds to the BUFF 24Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
5.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 7 yds to the BUFF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
6.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 6 yds to the BUFF 37Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-1
7.0%
Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 36Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
5.7%
pass incomplete to Cole HarritySimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+11
5.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 11 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.6%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson, broken up by Jeremiah WoodSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
6.4%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Walter ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
5.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 6
OPP 49
-5
5.6%
Buffalo Penalty, false start (Marlyn Johnson) to the BUFF 46Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
5.1%
pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:30
CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) Ohio Penalty, off-side (Justin Birchette) to the OHIO 1
+22.8
TD · Q3 2:46
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q4 1:55
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com