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KENT

Kent State 27 at Akron 31

AKR
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2023 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 3 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense−25.6Pregame prior+4.7Score differential−12.5Garbage-time factor−9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:38: Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 19 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +14.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:18: Chrishon McCray 27 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Andrew Glass Kick) — KENT win probability +14.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:12: Jasaiah Gathings 22 Yd pass from Jeff Undercuffler Jr. (Owen Wiley Kick) — AKR win probability +13.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:32: Lorenzo Lingard 37 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick) — AKR win probability +29.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:26: Jeff Undercuffler Jr. 5 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick) — AKR win probability +44.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:16KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:36AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:35AKR 4th & 22 at AKR 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 35, down 1
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:55AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:55KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 34, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:50AKR 4th & 8 at KENT 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:42KENT 4th & 1 at AKR 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%−2.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:06AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:43AKR 4th & 1 at KENT 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−2.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−4.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:43AKR 4th & 6 at KENT 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:44KENT 4th & 3 at AKR 45, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−3.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.3%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:01KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−2.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:09KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−6.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:05KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 44, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 4.7 ptsWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%−4.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:21KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:48AKR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:36KENT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:38KENT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:18KENT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:12AKR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:32AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:26AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2032% → 32%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
68.4%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
68.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
68.3%
pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr. Kent State Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Jameel Gardner Jr.) to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+8
68.3%
Josh Smith punt for 42 yds , Bobby Golden returns for 8 yds to the AKR 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3131% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
68.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 7 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
68.9%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 4 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
68.9%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
68.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jaylen Thomas, broken up by Judson Tallandier IISimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
68.7%
Josh Smith punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5369% → 68%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
68.6%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
68.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings, broken up by Alex BranchSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+8
68.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
68.3%
Dante Jackson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:4168% → 68%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.3%
Akron Penalty, false start (Ronan Chambers) to the AKR 20Similar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
68.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 22Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
68.3%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-9
68.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the AKR 13Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
67.5%
Dante Jackson punt for 36 yds , Luke Floriea returns for no gain to the KENT 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 2:1433% → 35%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+37
67.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 37 yds to the AKR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
67.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the AKR 12Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
67.1%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 7 yds to the AKR 5Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
65.3%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:2666% → 69%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
65.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jake Newell for 29 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
66.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 9 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+6
67.0%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 6 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
66.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 6 yds to the KENT 22Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
66.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the KENT 19 Lingard,Lorenzo rush middle for 3 yards to the KSU19, Lingard,Lorenzo rush middle (Fortkamp,Chase).Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+7
66.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
66.8%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 14Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+14
69.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 14 yds for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5632% → 32%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
67.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 27Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
67.8%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 3 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+5
68.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+4
67.9%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Bobby Golden returns for 4 yds to the AKR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:0568% → 67%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
67.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+8
67.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Adrian Norton for 8 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.9%
Lingard,Lorenzo rush left (West,CJ).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
67.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
66.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Drake Anderson for 5 yds to the AKR 40Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
66.9%
Dante Jackson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:1933% → 44%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
67.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Justin Holmes for 5 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
66.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Judson Tallandier IISimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-5
67.4%
Kent State Penalty, false start (Cameron Golden) to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+6
68.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Justin Holmes for 6 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+30
68.1%
Justin Holmes run for 30 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
55.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) Akron Penalty, off-side (KJ Martin) to the AKR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:3959% → 62%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+39
59.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 39 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
62.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+14
62.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Daniel George for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (D.J. Miller Jr.) to the KENT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
62.2%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
62.2%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
61.2%
pass incomplete to Drake AndersonSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
61.7%
Owen Wiley 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:0440% → 57%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
59.8%
for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, personal foul (Terray Jones) to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
58.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 9 yds to the AKR 48Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+6
57.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
58.1%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the AKR 41Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
58.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 7 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
58.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the AKR 33Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+9
59.7%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 9 yds to the AKR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
57.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke Floriea, broken up by CJ Nunnally IVSimilar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
57.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the AKR 18Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+6
58.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the AKR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
57.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the AKR 9Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-10
57.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Hayden Junker Kent State Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Bryan) to the AKR 19Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+19
42.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 19 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2545% → 42%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
45.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 8 yds to the AKR 45Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
45.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings, broken up by Capone BlueSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-9
45.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the AKR 36Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
42.1%
Dante Jackson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:2560% → 77%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+42
40.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 42 yds to the AKR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.5%
Ulatowski,Tommy rush middle (Jones,Terray).Similar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.3%
Akron Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Judson Tallandier II) to the AKR 3Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
23.2%
Chrishon McCray 27 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.7%
Akron Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Judson Tallandier II) to the AKR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:1133% → 31%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
32.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Daniel George, broken up by D.J. Miller Jr.Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+39
32.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 39 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
35.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 9 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
36.4%
Lingard,Lorenzo rush middle (Daley,Stephen).Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
35.8%
Lingard,Lorenzo rush middle (West,CJ).Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
31.4%
Lingard,Lorenzo rush middle (West,CJ).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2927% → 25%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
26.6%
Charles Kellom run for 2 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+13
27.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 13 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
28.4%
Kellom,Charles rush middle (Fortkamp,Chase).Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
28.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
28.3%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
25.2%
Dante Jackson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 6:5978% → 88%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
22.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 15Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+8
22.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
21.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+12
21.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 12 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
21.2%
Kent State Penalty, false start (Jameel Gardner Jr.) to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-4
21.9%
Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 28Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 19
OWN 28
0
22.2%
pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+20
22.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 20 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
20.4%
Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 47Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+2
20.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+6
20.8%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 6 yds to the AKR 45Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
12.5%
Josh Smith punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 6:3215% → 23%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
15.0%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
15.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 9 yds to the AKR 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
15.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
14.8%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
14.6%
pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+9
14.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 9 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+3
15.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 3 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
16.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 17 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
16.9%
Lingard,Lorenzo rush left (Williams,Macyo;West,CJ).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
16.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the KENT 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
17.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
9.2%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
9.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the KENT 24Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+2
9.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the KENT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
9.4%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
22.8%
Jasaiah Gathings 22 Yd pass from Jeff Undercuffler Jr. (Owen Wiley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 4:1183% → 87%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
17.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 7 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
17.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
16.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 35Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-1
17.7%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 34Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
18.5%
Thomas,Jaylen rush middle (Jones,Terray).Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
12.6%
Josh Smith punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:2912% → 44%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
12.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
11.7%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+28
10.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 13 yds to the KENT 39 Kent State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Capone Blue) to the KENT 46Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
15.3%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
14.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+37
44.4%
Lorenzo Lingard 37 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2274% → 71%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
26.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 25Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+1
26.5%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
27.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Judson Tallandier IISimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+8
28.8%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds , Bobby Golden returns for 8 yds to the AKR 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:4342% → 92%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
42.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
44.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
44.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
47.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
47.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Defensive holding (Capone Blue) to the KENT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
47.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the KENT 19Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+10
47.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 10 yds to the KENT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
47.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. 5 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:1625% → 19%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
74.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Tyson DurantSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
76.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the AKR 49Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-7
73.3%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 44Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 10
OWN 44
-5
80.9%
Devin Kargman sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:26
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. 5 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)
+44.8
TD · Q4 3:32
Lorenzo Lingard 37 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)
+29.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com