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BALL

Ball State 21 at Bowling Green 24

BGSU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2023 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:07 · Kiael Kelly pass complete to Christian Abney for 10 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+11.9Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:04: Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +19.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:20: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 10 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +20.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:07: Kiael Kelly run for 44 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +28.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:14: Alan Anaya 22 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +17.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:37: Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 30 — BGSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:02BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40BGSU 4th & 11 at BALL 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40BGSU 4th & 11 at BALL 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:43BGSU 4th & 2 at BALL 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:07BALL 4th & 5 at BGSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:31BGSU 4th & 3 at BALL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:00BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:30BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:57BALL 4th & 16 at BALL 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:31BGSU 4th & 10 at BALL 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:07BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:51BALL 4th & 1 at BGSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−4.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:44BGSU 4th & 4 at BALL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−5.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−6.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:14BGSU 4th & 4 at BALL 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−2.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−29.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:43BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.5%−5.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:20BGSU 4th & 7 at BALL 26, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.4 ptsWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%−2.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−16.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:43BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:06BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:40BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:04BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:20BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:07BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3835% → 35%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
64.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+1
64.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 25Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
64.8%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
64.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds , Ta'ron Keith returns for no gain to the BGSU 39 Ta'ron Keith fumbled, recovered by BALL Jalen Huskey (13:18) Borrow,Lucas punt 40 yards to the BGSU40 Keith,Ta'ron return for loss of 1 yard to the BGSU40 fumbled by Keith,Ta'ron at BGSU40 recovered by BGSU Huskey,Jalen at BGSU39, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3965% → 65%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
64.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 7 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+12
65.0%
Terion Stewart run for 12 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
65.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai IbrahimSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
65.1%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
64.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for no gain to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
64.5%
Jackson Kleather punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
64.5%
punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1036% → 35%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
64.5%
Kiael Kelly sacked by Davon Ferguson for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 18Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
64.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 20Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
64.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the BALL 31 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Davon Ferguson (09:22) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BallSt31 fumbled by Kelly,Kiael at BallSt29 forced by Saad,Ali recovered by BGSU Ferguson,Davon at BallSt31, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:0665% → 67%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
65.1%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
65.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+6
64.9%
Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+23
67.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
19 plays · 74 yds · 8:2033% → 39%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.8%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
67.0%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BALL 26Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
67.4%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
66.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
66.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 1
50
+6
66.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
66.5%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+5
67.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
67.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 5 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+10
67.4%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Christian Abney for 10 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
66.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
65.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BGSU 20Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
66.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
65.9%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
66.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 10 yds to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
66.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BGSU 7Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
66.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BGSU 6Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 5:2664% → 64%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.6%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
63.7%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
63.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 19 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+6
64.1%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 9
50
+8
65.1%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
65.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
65.4%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 40Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+8
65.4%
Ta'ron Keith run for 8 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
65.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
63.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:1040% → 43%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
60.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 3 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
59.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 41Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
58.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
58.2%
Malcolm Gillie run for 8 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
57.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
57.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BGSU 46 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Trent Simms (05:06) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush left for 3 yards loss to the BGSU46 fumbled by Kelly,Kiael at BGSU50 recovered by BGSU Simms,Trent at BGSU46, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:1165% → 73%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
64.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
73.1%
Terion Stewart run for 54 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3029% → 27%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 21Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
71.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
72.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
73.2%
Lucas Borrow punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1974% → 71%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.3%
PaSean Wimberly run for no gain to the BALL 45Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-6
72.3%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Mikhari Sibblis for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 48Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
71.2%
Jackson Kleather punt for 37 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:3027% → 26%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
72.7%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
73.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 2 yds to the BALL 17Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-8
73.7%
Kiael Kelly sacked by Dontrez Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the BALL 9Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
74.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:1876% → 74%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
75.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 23 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
76.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the BALL 31Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
76.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+4
74.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
74.2%
Alan Anaya 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:1728% → 27%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
71.7%
Kiael Kelly sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+7
72.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 7 yds to the BALL 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4273% → 71%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
73.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
73.1%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-9
72.8%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 17Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
71.4%
Jackson Kleather punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 0:4728% → 49%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+2
71.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 45Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
71.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 46Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+8
71.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
70.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
71.0%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BGSU 43Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
71.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
72.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
69.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BGSU 31Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+15
69.4%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 15 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
68.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BGSU 14Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
68.9%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 5 yds to the BGSU 9Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+4
70.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2660% → 86%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.1%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
60.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
59.3%
Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
60.5%
Camden Orth pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
63.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
63.8%
Camden Orth run for 10 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+40
60.4%
Camden Orth pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 40 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
65.7%
Camden Orth run for 8 yds to the BALL 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+12
65.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 12 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
66.0%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the BALL 6Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
65.8%
PaSean Wimberly run for 4 yds to the BALL 10Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
85.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 10 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:0420% → 51%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
80.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
79.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
78.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+10
80.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 10 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
77.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
49.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 44 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:3065% → 81%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
64.7%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BALL 41Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
64.7%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 42Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+5
62.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 5 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+6
60.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
66.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 7 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
66.0%
Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
66.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 20 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.0%
Camden Orth run for no gain to the BALL 1Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
66.0%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 3 yds to the BALL 4Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
80.8%
Alan Anaya 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1929% → 25%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.3%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Maximus WebsterSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
74.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+1
75.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:1791% → 92%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
90.5%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 30Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+1
91.1%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the BALL 29Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+3
90.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 7
OPP 26
-7
91.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21Uncategorized
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:5715% → 19%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
85.4%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 3 yds to the BALL 36Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
86.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+18
87.5%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 18 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
82.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 9 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
82.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Vaughn PembertonSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
80.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Vaughn PembertonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:07
Kiael Kelly run for 44 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-28.7
TD · Q4 13:20
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 10 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)
+20
TD · Q3 5:04
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-19.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com