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WMU

Western Michigan 45 at Eastern Michigan 21

EMU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:48 · Hayden Wolff run for no gain to the EMU 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense−20.3Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Pregame prior−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:42: Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:27: Samson Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — EMU win probability +10.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:54: CJ Hester run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +7.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:14: Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 68 yds for a TD (S. Evans Run For Two-point Conversion) — EMU win probability +12.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:14: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 11:14 — WMU win probability +7.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:15EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:55EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:19WMU 4th & 4 at EMU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04EMU 4th & 9 at WMU 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:53WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.9%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:29WMU 4th & 1 at EMU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−0.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WMU 4th & 6 at EMU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:54WMU 4th & 9 at EMU 49, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:48WMU 4th & 1 at EMU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−4.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−14.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:44WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:13WMU 4th & 15 at EMU 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−3.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:50EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 20, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:33WMU 4th & 4 at EMU 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:40EMU 4th & 2 at WMU 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 6:04WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:57WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:42WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:29EMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27EMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:54WMU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:14EMU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:55WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4143% → 43%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.1%
Ike Udengwu III pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 24Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-6
43.3%
Ike Udengwu III sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 18Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
43.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for no gain to the WMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4557% → 56%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
43.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
43.5%
Hayden Wolff run for no gain to the WMU 46Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
43.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-5
43.7%
PENALTY WMU Delay Of Game (Voss,Carson) 5 yards from WMU46 to WMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
43.9%
Carson Voss punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1944% → 44%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
43.8%
Ike Udengwu III run for 5 yds to the EMU 10Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+8
44.0%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 8 yds to the EMU 18Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
43.9%
Ike Udengwu III pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
43.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 4:4356% → 60%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
44.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 12 yds to the WMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
44.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 2 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
44.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
44.3%
(10:00) PENALTY EMU Offside (Grant-Randall,Tim) 5 yards from WMU42 to WMU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
44.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 9 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
44.1%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
44.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+9
43.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
43.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 5 yds to the EMU 18Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+16
44.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 16 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the EMU 3Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:2140% → 40%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
40.4%
Ike Udengwu III run for 3 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
40.2%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+10
39.9%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 10 yds Hamze El-Zayat fumbled, recovered by WMU SaVeon Brown (04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Udengwu,Ike pass complete short middle to El-Zayat,Hamze for 10 yards to the EMU35 fumbled by El-Zayat,Hamze at EMU34 forced by Wofford,Aaron recovered by WMU Brown,SaVeon at EMU35, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2760% → 65%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
39.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
39.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+3
39.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+9
40.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 9 yds to the EMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
34.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 20 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:2833% → 32%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
33.3%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the EMU 12Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
32.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMU 12Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+12
31.9%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 12 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
31.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+17
31.5%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 17 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
32.2%
Ike Udengwu III run for 15 yds to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
32.4%
Ike Udengwu III pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
32.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
31.8%
Ike Udengwu III pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
31.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:0367% → 69%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
33.2%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the WMU 15Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+7
32.8%
Leroy Thomas run for 7 yds to the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
32.5%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Wolff,Hayden pass incomplete deep right to Dieudonne,Malique QB hurried by Kline,Chase PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Walker,Bennett) 15 yards from WMU22 to WMU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
31.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 8 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
31.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
31.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
31.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:1429% → 28%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
29.1%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 5 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
28.8%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 3 yds to the WMU 43Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
28.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass intercepted by Aaron Wofford return for loss of 1 yd to the WMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:3772% → 83%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
27.9%
Keshawn King run for 7 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
26.2%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the WMU 46Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-10
24.8%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Keshawn rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EMU44 (Smith,Cameron) PENALTY WMU Holding (West,Addison) 10 yards from WMU46 to WMU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+31
25.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 31 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
24.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+3
23.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
23.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+18
23.3%
Leroy Thomas run for 18 yds to the EMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
23.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 1:5518% → 23%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
17.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+50
16.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 50 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
18.8%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete deep left to Knue,Tanner PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Kone,Bilhal) 15 yards from WMU35 to WMU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
19.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
20.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 5 yds to the WMU 15Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
22.5%
Samson Evans run for 15 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12MISSED FG
19 plays · 41 yds · 3:1479% → 85%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
21.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-5
21.3%
(02:56) PENALTY WMU False Start (Kushi,Tedi) 5 yards from EMU47 to WMU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
21.1%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 48Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+17
19.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 17 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
18.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Anthony EnechukwuSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
18.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 11 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-7
17.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Justin Jefferson for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+16
18.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 16 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
18.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the EMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
16.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
16.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen BuckleySimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+4
16.6%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the EMU 8Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
14.8%
Palmer Domschke 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0476% → 78%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
23.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 22 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
22.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+17
21.7%
Keshawn King run for 17 yds to the EMU 7 Keshawn King fumbled, recovered by EMU Daiquan White (13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Keshawn rush middle for 17 yards gain to the EMU17 fumbled by King,Keshawn at EMU27 forced by Kline,Chase recovered by EMU White,Daiquan at EMU17 White,Daiquan return for loss of 3 yards to the EMU14, End Of Play PENALTY EMU Illegal Block in Back (Jefferson,Justin) 7 yards from EMU14 to EMU07.Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+17
21.7%
Keshawn King run for 17 yds to the EMU 7 Keshawn King fumbled, recovered by EMU Daiquan White at EMU17 White,Daiquan return for loss of 3 yards to the EMU14, End Of Play PENALTY EMU Illegal Block in Back (Jefferson,Justin) 7 yards from EMU14 to EMU07.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14SF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
22.8%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short right QB hurried by Walker,Corey. Western Mich. SAFETY, clock 13:34 PENALTY EMU Holding (Dooley,Brian) 7 yards from EMU07 to EMU20. NO PLAY. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:3681% → 81%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
50
0
18.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
50
+1
18.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the EMU 49Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
18.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 9
OPP 49
+7
19.3%
Carson Voss punt for 33 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 7 yds to the EMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:1722% → 32%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
21.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
21.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 4 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
21.5%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+5
20.8%
(11:35) No Huddle Smith,Austin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU32 (Wahlberg,Jacob; Kneeland,Marshawn) PENALTY WMU Offside (Gustwiller,Dalton) 5 yards from EMU31 to EMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+39
21.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 39 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bilhal Kone) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
22.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
22.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the WMU 19Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
21.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to for 5 yds to the WMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
21.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 3 yds to the WMU 11Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+9
21.7%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the WMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+3
21.4%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the WMU 5Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.7%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17DOWNS
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:3174% → 79%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
25.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
24.5%
Leroy Thomas run for 3 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
23.3%
(06:10) PENALTY EMU Offside (Tullis,Malik) 5 yards from WMU40 to WMU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+17
23.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 17 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
22.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+15
20.0%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Keylen Gulley) to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
19.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
19.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 1 yd to the EMU 17Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+12
20.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 12 yds to the EMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
19.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the EMU 2Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
18.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the EMU 2Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
19.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.7%
Hayden Wolff run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4117% → 15%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
17.4%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
-1
14.5%
Austin Smith sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:4987% → 97%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
12.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
12.9%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the EMU 45Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+21
12.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 21 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
11.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 8 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
11.5%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the EMU 16Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+29
9.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 13 yds for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (16 Yards) to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.7%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:292% → 18%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
14.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 68 yds for a TD (S. Evans Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
Q4 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
17.9%
Smith,Austin pass attempt failed PENALTY WMU Personal Foul (Green,Isaiah) 2 yards from WMU03 to WMU01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1989% → 91%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
10.6%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
10.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to CJ Hester for 2 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
10.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
9.4%
Carson Voss punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0610% → 10%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
9.9%
Austin Smith pass intercepted by Aaron Wofford at EMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 13 yds · 4:0992% → 97%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
8.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 10 yds to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
7.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+6
6.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the EMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
6.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the EMU 5Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the EMU 5Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
5.5%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Joe Sparacio for a loss of 10 yards to the EMU 15 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by WMU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
2.7%
Palmer Domschke 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:142% → 1%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
1.7%
Austin Smith sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 17Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
1.6%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 20Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
1.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
1.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25FG
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1398% → 99%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
1.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the EMU 19Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
1.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the EMU 19Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
1.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
1.5%
Palmer Domschke 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -22 yds · 0:271% → 0%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
0.2%
Corey Walker 3 Yd Fumble Return (Palmer Domschke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 23Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
0.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
0.1%
Austin Smith run for 12 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
0.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
0.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 13 yds to the WMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+8
0.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 8 yds to the WMU 19Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 2
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
0.2%
H. Wolff takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:14
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 68 yds for a TD (S. Evans Run For Two-point Conversion)
+12
TD · Q3 7:27
Samson Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+10.2
TD · Q4 11:14
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 11:14
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com