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BUF

Buffalo 24 at Kent State 6

KENT
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:04 · Anthony Venneri punt for 56 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior−24.1Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:31: Andrew Glass 37 Yd Field Goal — KENT win probability +2.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:56: Ron Cook Jr. 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick) — BUF win probability +5.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:44: Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down — BUF win probability +5.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q4 10:23: Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the BUFF 49 — BUF win probability +2.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:54: Al-Jay Henderson 2 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick) — BUF win probability +8.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 11 of 12BUF made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:04KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16KENT 4th & 6 at BUF 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:31KENT 4th & 7 at BUF 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:18BUF 4th & 9 at KENT 45, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:18BUF 4th & 9 at KENT 45, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:43KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:02BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:55BUF 4th & 6 at KENT 35, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:37KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:43BUF 4th & 3 at midfield, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:13KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:13KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:46BUF 4th & 7 at BUF 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:08KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 33, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−1.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:42BUF 4th & 5 at KENT 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−6.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:50KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:28BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:23KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:57KENT 4th & 4 at BUF 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:04BUF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:56BUF Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:54BUF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5625% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.7%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.7%
Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
24.7%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
25.1%
Josh Smith punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:0075% → 73%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
25.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 8 yds to the BUFF 35Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
25.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 5 yds to the BUFF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
25.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 9 yds to the BUFF 49Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
25.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the BUFF 49Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
25.1%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the BUFF 44Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
26.6%
Anthony Venneri punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:4827% → 30%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 20Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
26.6%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 14 yds to the KENT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
26.7%
Michael Alaimo run for 6 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
26.9%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 7 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+29
26.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 29 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
27.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BUFF 23Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
27.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the BUFF 18Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+2
29.6%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 2 yds to the BUFF 20Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
30.4%
Andrew Glass 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1070% → 70%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
30.3%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole HarritySimilar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
30.4%
Cole Snyder pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2631% → 34%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
31.3%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the BUFF 20Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
31.3%
Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the BUFF 19Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
31.0%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
33.5%
Andrew Glass 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2767% → 71%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
33.1%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 39 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+32
32.0%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 32 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
31.6%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the KENT 1Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.6%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the KENT 2Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.1%
Andrew Schnackenberg 2 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3431% → 30%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
30.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
30.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
30.0%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the BUFF 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:0470% → 76%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
30.1%
Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the BUFF 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+9
30.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 9 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
29.5%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
30.6%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 3
50
+15
30.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 15 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
29.2%
Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
29.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+28
29.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 28 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the KENT 2Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
29.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the KENT 1Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.7%
Ron Cook Jr. 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:1226% → 29%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
26.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
25.8%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 7 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
26.1%
PENALTY BUFF Offside (Wolo,George) 5 yards from KENT34 to KENT39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
26.9%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+17
28.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for 17 yds to the BUFF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
29.2%
Tommy Ulatowski run for no gain to the BUFF 33Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
28.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:2677% → 76%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
23.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
22.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 12 yds to the BUFF 34 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Doty) to the BUFF 44Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+6
24.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 14
50
+5
23.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 5 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
23.1%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Mike WashingtonSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
23.8%
Anthony Venneri punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 14Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
23.8%
Anthony Venneri punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3525% → 24%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
25.2%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 16Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
25.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 16Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+8
24.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 8 yds to the KENT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
25.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
25.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+2
24.8%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
23.8%
Josh Smith punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUFF 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:4175% → 73%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
25.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
25.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 6 yds to the BUFF 25Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+9
25.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 9 yds to the BUFF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
24.3%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
24.7%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
25.6%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
26.7%
Anthony Venneri punt for 39 yds , Luke Floriea returns for no gain to the KENT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:0225% → 24%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
25.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
24.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+7
24.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 7 yds to the KENT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:5777% → 78%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
22.8%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the BUFF 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
22.6%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 10 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
21.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 16 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
21.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to for no gain to the KENT 39Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
21.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
22.0%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Andrew SchnackenbergSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
21.7%
Alex McNulty 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:1822% → 19%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 4 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
21.4%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 10 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
22.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 40Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-9
22.8%
Michael Alaimo sacked by Jaylon Bass for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 31Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+5
20.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 36Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+17
18.9%
Josh Smith punt for 48 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 17 yds to the BUFF 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5480% → 80%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
20.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass incomplete short middle broken up by Sheppert,Bryce PENALTY BUFF Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Wallace,Gabe) 5 yards from BUFF33 to BUFF28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+3
20.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 3 yds to the BUFF 31Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+12
20.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 12 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
19.0%
Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the BUFF 44Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
18.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUFF 43Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+7
19.4%
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 3
50
0
19.9%
Anthony Venneri punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3020% → 17%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
19.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 8Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 15
OWN 8
0
19.6%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+4
18.7%
Michael Alaimo run for 4 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+32
17.2%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 32 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+32
17.2%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 32 yds to the BUFF 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2782% → 81%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
17.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the BUFF 43Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
17.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for no gain to the BUFF 43Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
18.1%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
19.3%
Anthony Venneri punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3819% → 17%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
18.8%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
17.5%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 8 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
18.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 33Similar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+19
16.6%
Josh Smith punt for 37 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 19 yds to the BUFF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:2684% → 85%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
15.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Mike rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFF50 (Sheppert,Bryce) PENALTY BUFF False Start 5 yards from BUFF49 to BUFF44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+17
16.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 17 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
14.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Andrew Schnackenberg for 6 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+12
13.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Victor Snow for 12 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
13.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 4 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+1
13.9%
Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the KENT 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
14.1%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+34
14.8%
Alex McNulty 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5215% → 13%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.0%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jaylen ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
14.8%
Michael Alaimo run for 4 yds to the KENT 24Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
14.5%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
13.2%
Josh Smith punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2287% → 86%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
12.9%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
13.1%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
13.4%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
14.2%
Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0514% → 11%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
14.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
14.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
13.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for no gain to the KENT 16Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
10.7%
Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the BUFF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 4:2989% → 98%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
10.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the KENT 48Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
10.7%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+32
10.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 32 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
10.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
10.1%
Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the KENT 7Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
10.1%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the KENT 4Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.9%
Al-Jay Henderson 2 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
14 plays · 20 yds · 3:493% → 2%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
2.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
2.6%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 4 yds to the KENT 42Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
2.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
2.7%
Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
2.7%
Michael Alaimo run for 4 yds to the BUFF 49Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+4
2.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 4 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-12
2.3%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the KENT 43Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 22
OWN 43
+5
2.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael rush left for 4 yards gain to the KENT47, out of bounds at KENT47 PENALTY BUFF Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KENT43 to KENT48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 17
OWN 48
0
2.2%
Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the KENT 48Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+13
2.1%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 13 yds to the BUFF 39Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-8
1.7%
Michael Alaimo sacked by Joe Andreessen for a loss of 8 yards to the BUFF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -10 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
0.6%
Kneel down by Buffalo at BUFF43 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-4
0.7%
Kneel down by Buffalo at BUFF39 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 39
-2
0.6%
Kneel down by Buffalo at BUFF37 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:54
Al-Jay Henderson 2 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)
-8.2
TD · Q2 9:56
Ron Cook Jr. 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)
-5.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 6:44
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com