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WMU

Western Michigan 17 at Ohio 20

OHIO
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.2OHIO 86.8%Gianni Spetic 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 8:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:49 · Gianni Spetic 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialOffense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+35.3Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.1Offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:36: Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +8.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:18: Hayden Wolff run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +15.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 4:36: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +17.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:21: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 8 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +28.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:21: O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31 — OHIO win probability +20.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:40WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49OHIO 4th & 10 at WMU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:48WMU 4th & 8 at OHIO 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:07OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:15WMU 4th & 23 at OHIO 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:10OHIO 4th & 2 at WMU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:03WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:09OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:56WMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−1.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:30OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:36OHIO 4th & 14 at WMU 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:07WMU 4th & 8 at OHIO 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−7.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:40OHIO 4th & 4 at WMU 9, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%−1.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−15.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:41WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−2.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:30WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 2:36OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:18WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:36OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:21WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%−2.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1212% → 12%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
88.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
88.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 9 yds to the WMU 26Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
88.3%
Marshawn Kneeland run for no gain to the WMU 26Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
87.9%
Carson Voss punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:5188% → 87%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
87.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 1 yd to the OHIO 38Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+8
87.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 8 yds to the OHIO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
88.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+6
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 6 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 26 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
88.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the WMU 15 for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Nate Norris) to the WMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
88.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the WMU 5Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
88.0%
Ohio Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMU 10Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
86.8%
Gianni Spetic 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:5513% → 14%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
86.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
86.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 6 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
86.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+26
86.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 26 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
86.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 33Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 13
OPP 33
0
86.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+5
86.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 5 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
85.8%
Palmer Domschke 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4186% → 85%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
85.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+5
85.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
85.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5MISSED FG
19 plays · 35 yds · 5:5215% → 16%
Q1 4:07
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+18
85.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 18 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
84.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 12 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
84.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the OHIO 35Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
84.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+15
84.8%
WOLFF, Hayden sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the OHI39 (THOMPSON, Keye;SUTTON, Kwame). PENALTY OHI Personal Foul on REYNOLDS, Walter enforced 15 yards from the OHI32 to the OHI17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
84.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+9
84.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 9 yds to the OHIO 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
84.5%
Western Michigan Penalty, False Start (Nate Norris) to the OHIO 11Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
85.0%
Western Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMU 37Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-2
85.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 35Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-10
83.1%
WOLFF, Hayden pass short up the middle complete for 6 yards to BARTOL, Mitch caught at the OHI6, BARTOL, Mitch fumbled at OHI5 forced by HOUSTON, Bryce, recovered by WMU BARTOL, Mitch at the OHI5, returned 0 yards to the OHI5, End of Play, clock 00:00 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WMU Holding on GIDEON, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the OHI11 to the OHI21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
-8
83.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 7 yds to the OHIO 14 Western Michigan Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Leroy Thomas) to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 29
+3
83.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 3 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 26
+3
84.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 3 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+41
84.1%
Palmer Domschke 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:0583% → 84%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 23Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
82.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
83.3%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the left incomplete intended for WALTON, Tyler thrown to the WMU49; QB hurried by KNEELAND, Marshawn. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on HALLOCK, Tate enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the WMU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
83.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
83.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-1
83.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
84.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the WMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0716% → 16%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
83.8%
CJ Hester run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 40Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
84.2%
CJ Hester run for 6 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
83.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
84.3%
Hayden Wolff punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5482% → 83%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
81.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 16 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
83.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 2 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
83.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-4
82.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 45Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
82.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:1316% → 18%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
83.9%
CJ Hester run for 12 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
83.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 9 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+1
82.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 1 yd to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
82.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 11 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
81.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 16 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
81.0%
CJ Hester run for 9 yds to the OHIO 22Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
80.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
81.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
82.0%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the OHIO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:2680% → 79%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
80.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 23Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+10
79.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 10 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
80.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 14 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
82.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 6 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
82.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
81.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
80.9%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 48Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
78.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11INT
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:5117% → 19%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
83.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for no gain to the WMU 13Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
83.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 9 yds to the WMU 22Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
83.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
82.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
83.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+11
84.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 11 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
83.4%
Ohio Penalty, Personal Foul (Vonnie Watkins) to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
81.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 9 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
80.9%
Hayden Wolff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FG
9 plays · 80 yds · 0:3781% → 78%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
80.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 17 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
80.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 7 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
73.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+38
75.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 38 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
74.6%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the left incomplete intended for CROSS, Miles thrown to the WMU0. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on ROMPHF, Anthony enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the WMU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
77.6%
Gianni Spetic 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:1884% → 82%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
83.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 11 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
83.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+11
83.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 11 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
85.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
50
+3
85.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 3 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+28
84.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 28 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
85.4%
Tyler Walton run for 5 yds to the WMU 14Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-9
85.4%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Joshua Nobles for a loss of 9 yards to the WMU 23Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 14
OPP 23
0
84.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
81.7%
Gianni Spetic 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2919% → 26%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
80.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 24Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+49
80.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 49 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
76.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
76.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for no gain to the OHIO 23Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-2
77.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 25Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
74.2%
Palmer Domschke 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3177% → 89%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
76.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 12 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
78.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+25
79.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 25 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.5%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WIGLUSZ, Sam thrown to the WMU0. PENALTY WMU Holding on ROMPHF, Anthony declined WMU Pass Interference on ROMPHF, Anthony enforced 15 yards to the WMU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
80.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
80.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the WMU 8Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+6
79.4%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the right incomplete intended for CROSS, Miles thrown to the WMU0. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on ROMPHF, Anthony enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the WMU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the WMU 1Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:0716% → 32%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
84.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 18 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
82.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Austin Hence for 20 yds to the OHIO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
82.6%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the OHIO 3Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
82.8%
WOLFF, Hayden pass short to the right incomplete intended for WOMACK, Kenneth thrown to the OHI0. PENALTY WMU Holding on WEST, Addison enforced 10 yards from the OHI3 to the OHI13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
83.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 10 yds to the OHIO 3Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.3%
Hayden Wolff run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:2073% → 76%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 6 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
74.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 14 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
76.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
79.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
79.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 30 yds to the WMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
79.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the WMU 13Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
79.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+4
78.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the WMU 9Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
75.6%
Gianni Spetic 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5926% → 26%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
73.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 10 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
73.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 2 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
73.0%
WOLFF, Hayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WOMACK, Kenneth thrown to the OHI43. PENALTY OHI Pass Interference on WILLIAMS JR., Adonis enforced 15 yards to the WMU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
71.1%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Torrie Cox Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 45Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
73.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
74.3%
Carson Voss punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 5:0579% → 98%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
78.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 17 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
81.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 16 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
82.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
82.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+22
78.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 22 yds to the WMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
80.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the WMU 12Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
80.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the WMU 7Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
97.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:097% → 37%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 4 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
93.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 5 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+3
93.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
92.9%
Hayden Wolff run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
50
+15
92.3%
WOLFF, Hayden pass short to the right incomplete intended for HENCE, Austin broken up by WILLIAMS JR., Adonis at the OHI48; QB hurried by SUTTON, Kwame. PENALTY OHI Targeting on RYDER, Mekah enforced 15 yards from the WMU50 to the OHI35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
92.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+21
91.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Austin Hence for 21 yds to the OHIO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 8 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:2183% → 95%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
87.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
87.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 35Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
90.2%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OHI33 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
95.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OHI32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:21
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 8 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
-28.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:21
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31
+20.6
TD · Q4 4:36
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com