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EMU

Eastern Michigan 13 at Northern Illinois 20

NIU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:58 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 68 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+4.1Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:26: Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:14: Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +6.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:28: Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:53: Kanon Woodill 39 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +6.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:11: Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +30.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 4:40NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:38EMU 4th & 8 at NIU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    25.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:57NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:21EMU 4th & 8 at NIU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:09NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:46EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:14NIU 4th & 7 at EMU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−2.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:28EMU 4th & 15 at NIU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−9.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:26NIU 4th & 20 at EMU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:56EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 27, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−12.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:47NIU 4th & 22 at NIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−10.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:58EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−4.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:23NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.7%−8.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:26EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:11NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1879% → 79%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.8%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 7 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
78.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Brock LampeSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+20
78.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 5 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Targeting (Joe Sparacio) to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
78.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
78.6%
(13:35) Shotgun Brown,Antario rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EMU49 (Coleman,Mikah) PENALTY EMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from EMU48 to EMU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+19
78.5%
Antario Brown run for 19 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
78.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 14 yds to the EMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
78.5%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
78.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 2 yds to the EMU 5Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
78.1%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Jalen PENALTY EMU Roughing The Passer 3 yards from EMU05 to EMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.3%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:3621% → 25%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
78.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 4 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
78.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+37
78.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 37 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
78.0%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the NIU 19Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+3
78.0%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the NIU 16Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+4
78.2%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the NIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
77.8%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the NIU 7Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+5
77.6%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the NIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.9%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:4076% → 76%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.1%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
76.0%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
76.2%
Trayvon Rudolph run for no gain to the NIU 29Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Tom Foley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:5424% → 25%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
76.0%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+15
75.8%
Northern Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Javaughn Byrd) to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
75.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 10 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
74.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+4
74.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 4 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
73.8%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
74.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3475% → 74%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
75.4%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+4
75.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 4 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
75.0%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 11Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+10
74.9%
Gavin Williams run for 10 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
74.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
73.8%
Tom Foley punt for 79 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:2726% → 31%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
73.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
73.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
73.1%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
72.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
72.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
71.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
71.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+36
71.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 36 yds Hamze El-Zayat fumbled, recovered by EMU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
69.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the NIU 17Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+1
68.7%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the NIU 16Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
69.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
68.7%
Jesus Gomez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:5669% → 67%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
69.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 4 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
68.7%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 30Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+8
67.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 8 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
68.9%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 44Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
69.9%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
67.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
67.1%
Tom Foley punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 2:1934% → 32%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
66.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the EMU 17Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
65.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 19Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+5
65.6%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
64.2%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMU 24Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
65.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-6
65.7%
Austin Smith sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 18Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 16
OWN 18
+1
67.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 1 yd to the NIU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 2:2566% → 72%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
66.2%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass complete short right to Lampe,Brock for 16 yards to the EMU42 (Kline,Chase) PENALTY NIU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from NIU42 to NIU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+6
64.1%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 6 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-5
66.1%
(01:55) No Huddle Lombardi,Rocky pass complete deep left to Carter,Chris for 36 yards to the EMU21 (Shine,Kempton) PENALTY NIU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from NIU43 to NIU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
64.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+15
63.4%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Cameron Smith) to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
67.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 4 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
67.2%
PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from EMU36 to EMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+6
66.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+14
66.7%
Gavin Williams run for 14 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
68.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
68.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 3 yds to the EMU 18Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
66.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
72.1%
Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 6:3231% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.8%
Austin Smith sacked by James Ester for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 24Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
66.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
66.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 11 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
64.1%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
62.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 3 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
62.7%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+15
62.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner Knue for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Targeting (Nate Valcarcel) to the NIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
60.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the NIU 19Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+5
60.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
60.1%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
59.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-15
61.1%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short left to El-Zayat,Hamze for 10 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:10 PENALTY EMU Tripping (Howie,Alex) 15 yards from NIU10 to NIU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 21
OPP 25
+6
63.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 6 yds to the NIU 19Similar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+37
59.1%
Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:4164% → 56%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
63.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+7
61.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 7 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+10
62.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-10
64.1%
(06:10) Shotgun Brown,Antario rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU28 (Craft,Londyn) PENALTY NIU Holding (Lippe,J.J.) 10 yards from EMU30 to EMU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 20
OPP 40
0
60.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 20
OPP 40
0
58.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Christion CarterSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
56.2%
Rocky Lombardi punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2245% → 44%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
55.3%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMU 20Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
54.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 7 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
53.6%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jere GetzingerSimilar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
56.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:4857% → 66%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
57.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 12 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
59.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 14 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
60.7%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 3 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
57.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-5
56.2%
PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EMU43 to EMU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+20
55.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 20 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
62.1%
Gavin Williams run for 9 yds to the EMU 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
61.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 3 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
58.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
65.6%
Kanon Woodill 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0641% → 42%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
58.9%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
56.0%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
55.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 1 yd to the EMU 43Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+1
56.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
57.7%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:1063% → 58%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-10
62.5%
Shotgun Brown,Antario rush right for 22 yards gain to the EMU43, out of bounds at EMU43 PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU35 to NIU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+2
62.0%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 27
OWN 23
-5
61.8%
PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from NIU23 to NIU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 32
OWN 18
+9
61.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 9 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 23
OWN 27
+1
59.3%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the NIU 28Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 22
OWN 28
0
58.1%
Tom Foley punt for 43 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for no gain to the EMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4443% → 41%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
56.8%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Evans,Samson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU35 (Jackson,Tyler) PENALTY EMU Holding 10 yards from EMU29 to EMU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 20
OWN 19
0
57.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 20
OWN 19
0
57.9%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the EMU 19Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 20
OWN 19
+13
59.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 13 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
59.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 6:4761% → 97%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
61.1%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
61.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the NIU 25Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
58.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
60.9%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 32Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
60.3%
Rocky Lombardi sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+13
56.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 13 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
59.4%
Christian Nash run for 2 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
63.0%
(02:50) Shotgun Williams,Gavin rush left for 2 yards gain to the NIU44 (Kline,Chase) PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU42 to NIU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+3
58.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+3
57.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 3 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+26
58.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 26 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+34
66.1%
Gavin Williams run for 34 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.9%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:008% → 9%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-11
92.8%
Austin Smith sacked by Nevaeh Sanders for a loss of 11 yards to the EMU 41 Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by EMU Chris Mayo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
92.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 11 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.6%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
97.1%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:11
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
+30.8
FG · Q2 0:14
Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
FG · Q4 14:53
Kanon Woodill 39 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com