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OHIO

Ohio 13 at Northern Illinois 23

NIU
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · R. Lombardi takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:22: Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:54: Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 58 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +17.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:12: Kanon Woodill 31 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +5.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:31: Kanon Woodill 37 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +14.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 10:31: Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 10:31 — OHIO win probability +5.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:28NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:23OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04OHIO 4th & 5 at NIU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:07NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07OHIO 4th & 2 at NIU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−1.3
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:04OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:02OHIO 4th & 4 at NIU 43, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.2%−3.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:12NIU 4th & 2 at OHIO 14, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%−1.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−15.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:42OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:31NIU 4th & 6 at OHIO 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−15.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:09NIU 4th & 5 at OHIO 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−11.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:40NIU 4th & 4 at OHIO 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:18NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:22OHIO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:54NIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2532% → 33%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.9%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 22Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
32.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Brock LampeSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+11
32.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 11 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
32.5%
Tom Foley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5767% → 67%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
32.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
33.0%
Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Walton) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
33.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:0333% → 38%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
32.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
33.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 9 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
33.3%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
33.7%
(10:53) Shotgun Brown,Antario rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NIU29 (Houston,Bryce) PENALTY OHIO Offside 5 yards from NIU27 to NIU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 5
OWN 32
+3
34.1%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+11
34.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 11 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
34.9%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 1 yd to the NIU 47Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+53
37.5%
Gavin Williams run for 53 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 5:0163% → 62%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
36.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
37.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 5 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+8
37.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 8 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
37.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 14 yds to the NIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
37.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 9 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+7
37.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler FosterSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
38.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the NIU 11Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-5
39.0%
PENALTY OHIO Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NIU11 to NIU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+7
39.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
37.7%
Gianni Spetic 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1938% → 37%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
38.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Billy DozierSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
38.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis PattersonSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
37.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis PattersonSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
37.3%
Tom Foley punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
15 plays · 60 yds · 6:5462% → 65%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
38.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 39Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+9
38.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 9 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+8
38.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
38.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 4 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
38.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 5 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
38.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
38.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+2
38.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
38.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+4
38.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
39.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the NIU 1Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the NIU 1Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:0835% → 34%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.1%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 25Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 8 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
35.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
35.7%
Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
36.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 6 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
36.7%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the OHIO 45Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
36.4%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
33.8%
Tom Foley punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
19 plays · 69 yds · 5:5564% → 65%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
35.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 13Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
36.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+9
37.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 9 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
36.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 7 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
35.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
36.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler FosterSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
36.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+15
36.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 15 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
34.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
33.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
33.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
32.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 10 yds to the NIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
32.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 5 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
32.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler FosterSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+3
33.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 3 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
34.9%
Gianni Spetic 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.1%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4869% → 67%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
31.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
32.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
33.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 1:0235% → 51%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
34.5%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 35Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
34.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 7 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+58
51.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 58 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:4051% → 51%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
48.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
48.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
48.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 14 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
46.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the NIU 47Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
46.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 4 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
47.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
49.4%
Jack Wilson punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:3551% → 64%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
51.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 4 yds to the NIU 22Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+2
51.6%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+28
50.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 28 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
56.1%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 47Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+1
54.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 1 yd to the NIU 48Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+5
53.2%
PENALTY OHIO Offside 5 yards from NIU48 to OHIO47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+15
56.6%
Rocky Lombardi run for 15 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
58.8%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
59.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
59.7%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
60.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+7
58.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the OHIO 14Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
64.1%
Kanon Woodill 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0341% → 37%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the OHIO 23 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by OHIO Kurtis RourkeSimilar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
60.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
61.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler FosterSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
62.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:2967% → 82%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
67.3%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+12
67.7%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 12 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
69.0%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
69.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+11
68.9%
Brock Lampe run for 11 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
70.9%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the OHIO 23Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-4
71.4%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 27Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+7
68.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the OHIO 20Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
82.4%
Kanon Woodill 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
76.8%
Ohio Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Shedrick Rhodes Jr.) to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5785% → 90%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
85.1%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+9
85.2%
Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the OHIO 12Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
85.1%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
89.5%
Kanon Woodill 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:3314% → 12%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
86.2%
Ohio Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the OHIO 22Similar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 13
OWN 22
0
87.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
87.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4295% → 96%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
95.3%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
95.6%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the OHIO 14Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
96.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 14
0
95.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:2210% → 12%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
89.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 9 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+15
88.3%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Rourke,Kurtis pass incomplete deep middle to Kacmarek,Will PENALTY NIU Pass Interference 15 yards from OHIO23 to OHIO38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
87.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 4 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
87.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
88.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21END OF GAME
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:5796% → 99%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
96.4%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 21Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+1
96.9%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 22Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+15
96.9%
PENALTY OHIO Personal Foul 15 yards from NIU22 to NIU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.5%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
97.9%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
98.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 5 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
98.7%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-1
98.8%
R. Lombardi takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:54
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 58 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
+17
FG · Q4 10:31
Kanon Woodill 37 yd FG GOOD
+14.1
FG · Q3 2:12
Kanon Woodill 31 yd FG GOOD
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com