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AKR

Akron 10 at Central Michigan 17

CMU
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:32 · Jase Bauer run for 6 yds to the AKR 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+8.3Home team on offense+10.7Garbage-time factor+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:58: Tristan Mattson 58 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: 4th down).
  2. TD · Q3 12:12: Jase Bauer run for 5 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK) — CMU win probability +9.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:01: Myles Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK) — CMU win probability +10.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:35: Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 14 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK) — AKR win probability +11.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:28: Dante Jackson kickoff for 59 yds , Marion Lukes return for 13 yds to the CMU 48 Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (9 Yards) to the CMU 10 — AKR win probability +5.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:36CMU 4th & 14 at AKR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17AKR 4th & 6 at CMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:56CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:53AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:07CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:25AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−3.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:39CMU 4th & 5 at AKR 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:03AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:58CMU 4th & 14 at AKR 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    32% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:37AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:32CMU 4th & 3 at AKR 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−1.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:24CMU 4th & 2 at AKR 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−9.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:54CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:24AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 49, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:42CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:42CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:00AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 13, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:16CMU 4th & 14 at AKR 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:07AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.3%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 12:12CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:01CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:35AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:1374% → 73%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
73.6%
Jase Bauer run for 11 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
73.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 36 yds to the AKR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
73.6%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
73.6%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Bauer,Jase rush right for 12 yards gain to the AKR15 (Lewis,Darrian; Thomas, Jr.,Corey) PENALTY CMU Holding (Serapiglia III,Dominic) 10 yards from AKR27 to AKR37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+6
73.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 6 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 14
OPP 31
0
73.3%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt IIISimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
73.0%
Tristan Mattson 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4827% → 27%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
73.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the AKR 32Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-10
73.0%
Tahj Bullock sacked by Maurice White for a loss of 10 yards to the AKR 22Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 19
OWN 22
+11
73.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 11 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
72.9%
Dante Jackson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3INT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:5373% → 72%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
72.8%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
72.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 12 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
72.9%
Jase Bauer run for 4 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
72.9%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
72.5%
Sam Hicks run for 8 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.1%
Sam Hicks run for no gain to the AKR 49Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
73.0%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
72.2%
Jase Bauer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:0629% → 29%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
71.3%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Drake Anderson for 11 yds to the CMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
70.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the CMU 25Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
70.2%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+3
70.5%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the CMU 22Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
70.6%
Noah Perez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5INT
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:5369% → 68%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
69.3%
Myles Bailey run for 6 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+6
69.1%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
68.8%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 3 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
68.6%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
68.1%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
68.2%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
68.0%
Jase Bauer run for no gain to the CMU 31Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+24
67.1%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 24 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
69.1%
Jase Bauer sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 46Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
68.6%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+17
68.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Javorian Wimberly for 17 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
68.9%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
68.8%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
67.7%
Jase Bauer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6INT
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:0433% → 35%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+27
67.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 27 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
65.5%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 2 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
65.3%
Tahj Bullock pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3765% → 64%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
65.4%
Marion Lukes run for 8 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
66.0%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.1%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
64.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 4 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
64.2%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
63.9%
Jake Walrath punt for 43 yds , Bobby Golden returns for no gain to the AKR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5534% → 34%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
65.9%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 23 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.4%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
64.7%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-10
64.2%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Bullock,Tahj rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AKR48 (Heldman,Michael) PENALTY AKR Holding (Frank,Ben) 10 yards from AKR47 to AKR37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 18
OWN 37
0
65.4%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
66.0%
Dante Jackson punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1465% → 62%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
65.1%
Jase Bauer run for 8 yds to the CMU 31 Jase Bauer fumbled, recovered by CMU Jase BauerSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+2
63.0%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+5
61.8%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Mitchel Collier for 5 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
61.7%
Jake Walrath punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 2:3638% → 35%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
61.8%
(07:08) Shotgun Adams,Alex rush right for 11 yards gain to the AKR31 (McKinney,Da'Raun) PENALTY AKR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Kilbane,Brian) 5 yards from AKR20 to AKR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+1
63.4%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the AKR 16Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+2
63.2%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Alex Adams for 2 yds to the AKR 18Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-5
64.0%
PENALTY AKR Delay Of Game 5 yards from AKR18 to AKR13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+6
64.0%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 6 yds to the AKR 7Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 23
OWN 7
0
64.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4165% → 60%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
64.5%
(04:25) Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass incomplete short right to Parker,Chris broken up by Martin,KJ QB hurried by Nunnally,CJ PENALTY CMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Serapiglia III,Dominic) 5 yards from AKR39 to AKR44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+9
62.9%
Jase Bauer run for 9 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
63.9%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+1
62.5%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the AKR 34Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+52
60.4%
Tristan Mattson 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3039% → 39%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
61.0%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
59.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
61.3%
Dante Jackson punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:0561% → 67%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
60.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 7 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+13
62.5%
Myles Bailey run for 13 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+20
58.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 20 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.6%
Jase Bauer pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
63.6%
(01:27) Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass intercepted by McCoy,Bryan at AKR36 McCoy,Bryan return 11 yards to the AKR47 (Heinzen,Davis) PENALTY AKR Pass Interference (Tallandier II,Judson) 7 yards from AKR44 to AKR37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
63.6%
Jase Bauer sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 41Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 14
OPP 41
0
61.4%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 14
OPP 41
0
60.3%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Decorion TempleSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 14
OPP 41
+58
66.6%
Tristan Mattson 58 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14Uncategorized
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:5133% → 34%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
66.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15INT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5037% → 35%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
63.5%
(14:56) PENALTY AKR False Start (Barkley,Ali) 5 yards from AKR25 to AKR20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
63.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 22Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
63.7%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
64.7%
Tahj Bullock pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:4170% → 80%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
70.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Thomas Pannunzio for 6 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+13
70.3%
Jase Bauer run for 13 yds to the AKR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
70.0%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the AKR 5Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
79.8%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 1:2625% → 22%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.5%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
76.3%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Jake NewellSimilar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+13
77.0%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 13 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
74.5%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the AKR 40Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-5
75.2%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Davis,Keylen) 5 yards from AKR40 to AKR35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
76.4%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Myles WalkerSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
77.4%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
77.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 40 yds , Javorian Wimberly returns for no gain to the CMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18TD
21 plays · 76 yds · 9:2976% → 94%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
76.4%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
76.8%
Myles Bailey run for 6 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.2%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the CMU 37Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
78.7%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
80.2%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
81.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 8 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.7%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the AKR 43Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
81.6%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the AKR 44Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+8
80.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 8 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+6
80.1%
Jase Bauer run for 6 yds to the AKR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
82.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Thomas Pannunzio for 1 yd to the AKR 29Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
82.2%
Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+16
81.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 16 yds to the AKR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
82.5%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the AKR 11Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
83.7%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the AKR 9Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
82.9%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+5
81.4%
PENALTY AKR Offside 5 yards from AKR09 to AKR04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+2
83.4%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the AKR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:1112% → 24%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 4 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
89.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
89.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 6 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
89.1%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Undercuffler,Jeff pass incomplete deep left to George,Daniel PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Sims,Jarvarius) 15 yards from AKR45 to CMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
88.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 9 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+17
87.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 17 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
87.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
87.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
75.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 14 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3185% → 84%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
84.5%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
84.2%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 10Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+5
83.5%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 5
OWN 15
-5
82.7%
(11:14) PENALTY CMU False Start (Ware,Kyren) 5 yards from CMU15 to CMU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
83.5%
Jake Walrath punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1921% → 18%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
79.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 4 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
77.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 6 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
80.3%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Nate) 5 yards from AKR45 to AKR40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Lorenzo LingardSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
82.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+9
83.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the AKR 49Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
82.3%
Dante Jackson punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:3490% → 94%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.1%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Myles BaileySimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
89.8%
Myles Bailey run for 8 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
93.4%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
94.3%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the CMU 42Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
94.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 2 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
94.3%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt IIISimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
93.9%
Jake Walrath punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
93.9%
Jake Walrath punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3713% → 11%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
86.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
87.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. run for 9 yds to the AKR 1 Jeff Undercuffler Jr. fumbled, recovered by AKR Tyhler WilliamsSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 19
OWN 1
+12
88.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Ali Barkley for 12 yds to the AKR 13Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
88.9%
Dante Jackson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 2:3597% → 98%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.6%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
97.2%
Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
97.3%
Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
97.7%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the AKR 42Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the AKR 42Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+3
97.8%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the AKR 45Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Central Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Jake Walrath punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:596% → 5%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to TJ Banks for 8 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+14
93.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to TJ Banks for 14 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
94.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 2 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+2
94.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 2 yds to the AKR 46Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
94.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
98.7%
J. Bauer takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:35
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 14 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q3 1:01
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)
+10
TD · Q3 12:12
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com