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NIU

Northern Illinois 55 at Akron 14

AKR
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:08 · Dante Jackson punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense+5.1Pregame prior−6.2Garbage-time factor+1.7Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:11: Tahj Bullock 1 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick) — AKR win probability +2.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:37: Gavin Williams 3 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +0.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:36: Grayson Barnes 34 Yd pass from Rocky Lombardi (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +1.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:15: Kanon Woodill pass incomplete — NIU win probability +2.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:37: Gavin Williams 1 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick) — AKR win probability +2.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 10 of 12NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 3:29NIU 4th & 6 at AKR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:34AKR 4th & 26 at NIU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    49.6%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:17AKR 4th & 8 at NIU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:29AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:15AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:08AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:16AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:31NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:51AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:55AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:09NIU 4th & 4 at AKR 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%−2.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:10AKR 4th & 3 at NIU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−3.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:39AKR 4th & 23 at NIU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−3.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:26NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:19AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 33, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:03NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−4.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:06AKR 4th & 6 at NIU 20, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:52NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:11AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0661% → 61%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
pass incomplete to Billy DozierSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.3%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
39.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
39.7%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 36Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
39.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Terray JonesSimilar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+64
39.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 64 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:2939% → 43%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
39.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the AKR 42Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
39.4%
Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
39.4%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 5 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
39.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
39.7%
Tahj Bullock run for 6 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
39.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
39.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the NIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
39.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 14 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
40.0%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to TJ Banks for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Amariyun Knighten) to the NIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
40.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the NIU 3Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
40.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the NIU 1Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.5%
Tahj Bullock 1 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:3755% → 53%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
44.8%
Trayvon Rudolph run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 24Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+19
45.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 19 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
45.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Izuchukwu Ozoh for 6 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+12
45.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 12 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
45.5%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the AKR 38Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
45.9%
pass incomplete to Billy DozierSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+3
46.1%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-7
46.9%
Rocky Lombardi sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4MISSED FG
17 plays · 29 yds · 6:0849% → 52%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.6%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
48.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+10
48.4%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Myles Walker for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Defensive holding (Jashon Prophete) to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
49.2%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
49.6%
Bobby Golden run for 4 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+8
49.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 8 yds to the NIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
50.7%
Tahj Bullock run for 9 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-10
51.2%
Akron Penalty, Offensive holding (Daniel George) to the NIU 31Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
51.3%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Myles Walker, broken up by Skyler Gill-HowardSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 11
OPP 31
-15
50.6%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings Akron Penalty, personal foul (Ben Frank) to the NIU 46Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 26
OPP 46
0
49.9%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 14:34
4TH & 26
OPP 46
0
49.2%
Dante Jackson punt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
51.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-5
52.3%
Akron Penalty, false start (Keylen Davis) to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-3
52.2%
Tahj Bullock run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIU 36Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+7
51.4%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
51.8%
Owen Wiley 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:4649% → 49%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
51.1%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+66
51.1%
Antario Brown 66 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5753% → 52%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.5%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.4%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Drake Anderson for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
52.2%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
51.6%
Dante Jackson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:4548% → 50%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
51.8%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
51.5%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the AKR 45Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+42
51.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 42 yds to the AKR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.4%
Gavin Williams 3 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1455% → 55%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
54.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 23Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+1
55.8%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the AKR 24Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
55.4%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
54.6%
Dante Jackson punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 1:3547% → 48%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
53.5%
Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
53.6%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+34
52.5%
Grayson Barnes 34 Yd pass from Rocky Lombardi (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1758% → 57%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
57.9%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the AKR 25Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
58.2%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Myles WalkerSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
56.6%
Dante Jackson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:4544% → 43%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
56.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Billy Dozier for 1 yd to the NIU 42Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+58
56.9%
Antario Brown 58 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5260% → 58%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
59.6%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
59.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-8
58.8%
Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the AKR 19Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
57.5%
Dante Jackson punt for 45 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for no gain to the NIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3442% → 39%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
58.2%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
56.6%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-1
57.4%
Antario Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 42Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 2
OWN 42
-5
59.8%
Northern Illinois Penalty, false start (Gabriel Amegatcher) to the NIU 37Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
61.3%
Tom Foley punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:2161% → 63%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
61.4%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 8 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+7
62.7%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 7 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0062% → 60%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
61.8%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 10 yds to the AKR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
62.5%
Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
62.6%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 2 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-6
61.9%
Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the AKR 27Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
60.3%
Dante Jackson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:3140% → 43%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
60.5%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Tyson DurantSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
59.4%
Antario Brown 46 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q3 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
57.1%
Kanon Woodill pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0364% → 62%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.0%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
64.2%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
63.0%
Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+37
62.3%
Dante Jackson punt for 37 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for no gain to the NIU 37 , Jaylen Poe returns for 2 yds to the NIU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:3738% → 39%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
62.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Brock Lampe for 7 yds to the NIU 44Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
61.0%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
50
+50
61.1%
Antario Brown 50 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:1268% → 74%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
68.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 14 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
70.6%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 15 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
72.9%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 6 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+14
73.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 14 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
74.0%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 21 yds for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:5338% → 36%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
50
+2
62.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 2 yds to the AKR 48Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
63.1%
Gavin Williams run for 10 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+36
63.5%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 36 yds to the AKR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.9%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the AKR 1Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.3%
pass incomplete to Brock LampeSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.4%
Gavin Williams 1 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5073% → 72%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
72.7%
pass incomplete to Myles WalkerSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
72.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 20Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
71.9%
Tahj Bullock pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2035% → 30%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
65.5%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
63.3%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the AKR 34Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
67.6%
pass incomplete to Christion CarterSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+51
70.5%
Kanon Woodill 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 5:2878% → 82%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
78.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-5
79.1%
Akron Penalty, false start (Tyhler Williams) to the AKR 31Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
78.3%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+19
78.3%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Adrian Norton for 4 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, roughing passer (George Gumbs) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
50
+2
81.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the NIU 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
82.1%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+5
80.9%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Caleb Anderson for 5 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+5
80.2%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 5 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
83.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the NIU 37Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
83.4%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 10 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
84.4%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-7
84.9%
Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NIU 31Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 14
OPP 31
-9
83.0%
Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 23
OPP 40
0
82.4%
Dante Jackson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:0521% → 20%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
79.0%
Christian Nash run for 16 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
78.7%
Christian Nash run for 6 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
77.9%
Christian Nash run for 2 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
79.0%
pass incomplete to Malik ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
80.2%
Tom Foley punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:5685% → 91%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
85.0%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the AKR 6Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+3
85.7%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the AKR 9Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+15
86.2%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Drake Anderson for 15 yds to the AKR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
87.9%
Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
89.1%
Tahj Bullock run for 7 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
89.2%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 2 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
90.5%
Dante Jackson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1116% → 13%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
84.2%
Christian Nash run for 3 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
84.3%
Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
85.9%
Christian Nash run for 5 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+1
87.0%
Christian Nash run for 1 yd to the NIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:5295% → 93%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
95.0%
Charles Kellom run for 4 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+18
95.6%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Nik Ognenovic for 18 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.8%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
95.8%
Charles Kellom run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 25Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+5
95.7%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Nik Ognenovic for 5 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
93.1%
pass incomplete to Caleb AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-91
TD · Q1 7:11
Tahj Bullock 1 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)
+2.4
TD · Q3 12:15
Kanon Woodill pass incomplete
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com