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BALL

Ball State 10 at Eastern Michigan 24

EMU
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.1EMU 60.9%Jackson Courville 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 3:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:06 · Jackson Courville 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorDefense timeouts
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Home team on offense−1.1Pregame prior+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Defense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:57: Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +4.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:36: Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 3 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:36: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 06:36 — BALL win probability +3.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:32: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 13 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +8.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Defense has -3 timeouts left).
  5. TD · Q3 10:33: Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 50 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +11.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:31BALL 4th & 2 at EMU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:54EMU 4th & 21 at BALL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06BALL 4th & 9 at EMU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:27EMU 4th & 1 at BALL 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:36EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:09BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24EMU 4th & 17 at BALL 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:18EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.2%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:28BALL 4th & 13 at EMU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:28EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−2.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:29BALL 4th & 7 at EMU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:17EMU 4th & 24 at BALL 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:01BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:57EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:41BALL 4th & 3 at EMU 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−4.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:38BALL 4th & 7 at EMU 7, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−3.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:10EMU 4th & 24 at EMU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:14BALL 4th & 21 at EMU 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:57EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:36EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:32BALL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:33EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:1438% → 38%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
62.4%
Ahmad Edwards run for 9 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
62.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
62.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 19 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
62.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the EMU 46Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
62.0%
Ball State Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+7
62.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 7 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
62.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 5:2962% → 62%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
62.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
62.6%
Austin Smith run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
50
0
62.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
62.8%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
62.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
62.7%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
62.9%
Austin Smith sacked by Keionte Newson for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 26Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+1
62.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 1 yd to the BALL 27Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 13
OPP 27
-8
62.2%
Austin Smith sacked by Cole Pearce for a loss of 8 yards to the BALL 35 Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by EMU Samson Evans , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 21
OPP 35
+53
62.1%
Jesus Gomez 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:3137% → 39%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
62.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+42
62.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 42 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
61.3%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Maximus WebsterSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
61.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the EMU 20Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
62.0%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
60.9%
Jackson Courville 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:5762% → 69%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
61.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 8 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
62.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
62.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.2%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
63.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+16
62.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 16 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
63.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the BALL 18Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
63.5%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the BALL 15Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
63.0%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BALL 14Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
62.2%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BALL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
63.6%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short left to Knue,Tanner PENALTY BALL Pass Interference (Harmon,Jahmad) 11 yard from BALL13 to BALL02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.6%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:2934% → 34%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
65.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 41Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+6
66.7%
Layne Hatcher run for 6 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
65.8%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 15 yds Qian Magwood fumbled, recovered by EMU David Carter Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:3173% → 81%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
72.9%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+14
73.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
74.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the BALL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
73.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BALL 34Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+9
74.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 9 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+6
73.4%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
74.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 16 yds to the BALL 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
74.5%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the BALL 3Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 3 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:5223% → 31%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
77.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 8 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+19
77.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 19 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
76.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 18 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
76.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
76.6%
Rico Barfield run for no gain to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+6
77.5%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Nick Munson for 6 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
77.3%
Layne Hatcher run for 3 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
69.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 13 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4777% → 76%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
76.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
77.3%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
76.8%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
75.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:2227% → 23%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
73.5%
Rico Barfield run for 4 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-5
76.1%
PENALTY BALL False Start (Barfield,Rico) 5 yards from BALL25 to BALL20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+13
76.6%
Lucas Borrow punt for 49 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 13 yds to the EMU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 0:4079% → 76%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
78.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
79.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 5 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
79.0%
PENALTY BALL Offside (Woodard,Tavion) 5 yards from BALL40 to BALL35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
79.5%
PENALTY BALL Offside (King,Kyle) 5 yards from BALL35 to BALL30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 5
OPP 30
-5
79.0%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short right to Knue,Tanner PENALTY EMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Snively,Owen) 5 yards from BALL30 to BALL35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-9
79.6%
Austin Smith sacked by Cole Pearce for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 19
OPP 44
0
78.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 19
OPP 44
+2
77.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 2 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
76.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
75.2%
L. Hatcher takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1272% → 86%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
72.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
72.1%
Tanner Knue run for 2 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.3%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
73.5%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
74.4%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
74.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
50
+50
85.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 50 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:4217% → 16%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
83.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 26 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
81.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 19 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
80.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
80.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-10
80.8%
Kiael Kelly sacked by Joe Sparacio for a loss of 10 yards to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
84.2%
Lucas Borrow punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5587% → 86%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
86.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+1
86.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 5Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 11
OWN 5
0
86.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
86.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the EMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5319% → 14%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
81.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for no gain to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
82.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for no gain to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+3
85.8%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 3 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
86.0%
Lucas Borrow punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:5190% → 95%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
90.1%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
90.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 13 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
90.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 12 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
91.1%
PENALTY BALL Offside (Harris,John) 5 yards from BALL44 to BALL39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+7
92.9%
Austin Smith run for 7 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
94.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
94.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+6
94.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 6 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
96.1%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 15
OPP 24
-9
95.9%
Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 33Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 24
OPP 33
+51
95.4%
Jesus Gomez 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:089% → 7%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
91.2%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 28Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+17
92.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 17 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.6%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.6%
Ahmad Edwards run for 3 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
92.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.8%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
97.8%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the EMU 18Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
98.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
97.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Qian Magwood at the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:086% → 4%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
94.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+8
94.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the EMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
94.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+7
95.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 7 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+10
95.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the EMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
95.1%
Corey Stewart run for 4 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
95.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Christian Abney for 2 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.9%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 6:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for no gain to the EMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:2199% → 99%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
99.1%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+7
99.0%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-5
99.4%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short left to Knue,Tanner for 15 yards to the EMU43 (Strickland,Loren; Riley,Jordan) PENALTY EMU Illegal Formation 5 yards from EMU28 to EMU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-14
99.4%
Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the EMU 9Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 24
OWN 9
+1
99.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 70 yds , Nick Munson returns for 1 yd to the BALL 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21FUMBLE
13 plays · 47 yds · 2:452% → 2%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 9 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 5 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.9%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 10 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
98.0%
(02:10) Shotgun Hatcher,Layne pass incomplete short middle to Koziol,Tanner PENALTY EMU Targeting (Walker,Bennett) 15 yards from BALL46 to EMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
97.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 4 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
97.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+14
97.8%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 14 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-6
97.6%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Peyton Price for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 27Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 16
OPP 27
-5
98.0%
PENALTY BALL Delay Of Game (Hatcher,Layne) 5 yards from EMU27 to EMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 16
OPP 27
-5
98.1%
PENALTY BALL Delay Of Game (Hatcher,Layne) 5 yards from EMU27 to EMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 21
OPP 32
+1
98.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 1 yd Marquez Cooper fumbled, recovered by EMU Tim Grant-RandallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.5%
A. Smith takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:33
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 50 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q2 2:32
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 13 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q2 6:36
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 3 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com