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BUF

Buffalo 13 at Akron 10

AKR
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2OTQ2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-2.1AKR 57.0%Owen Wiley 38 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 10 · Q2 0:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:21 · Owen Wiley 38 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+19.0+9.50−9.5−19.0Q1Q2OTQ2Q3Q4OTPlay 71Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense+1.2Score differential−0.6Time remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:21: Boobie Curry 9 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick) — BUF win probability +10.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:33: Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 40 — BUF win probability +12.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:59: Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 46 — AKR win probability +14.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the BUFF 24 — BUF win probability +13.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: pass incomplete to Myles Walker — BUF win probability +12.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BUF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:48AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03BUF 4th & 12 at BUF 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:11AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25BUF 4th & 27 at BUF 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:38AKR 4th & 1 at BUF 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:21AKR 4th & 19 at BUF 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:22BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:31AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:46BUF 4th & 1 at AKR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−3.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−12.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:30BUF 4th & 9 at AKR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−11.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54AKR 4th & 12 at BUF 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:42BUF 4th & 12 at BUF 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−4.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:51AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−6.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:24BUF 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:10BUF 4th & 2 at AKR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−9.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−6.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:26AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:18BUF 4th & 20 at BUF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−18.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BUF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:38AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:21BUF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:1257% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.1%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
57.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Myles Walker for 8 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
57.2%
Akron Penalty, false start (Tyhler Williams) to the AKR 29Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
57.2%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
57.2%
Dante Jackson punt for 35 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for no gain to the BUFF 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3743% → 42%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
57.2%
pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
57.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 3 yds to the BUFF 36Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-5
57.3%
Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BUFF 31Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
57.6%
Anthony Venneri punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4557% → 57%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
57.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Bobby Golden for 9 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-1
57.5%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 23Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-1
57.3%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 22Similar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
57.0%
Dante Jackson punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:4143% → 42%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
56.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the BUFF 48Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
56.7%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
56.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 11 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
56.5%
pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-15
56.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity Buffalo Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Boobie Curry) to the BUFF 49Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 25
OWN 49
0
57.0%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity, broken up by Corey Thomas Jr.Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 25
OWN 49
-2
57.2%
Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 47Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 27
OWN 47
0
57.7%
Anthony Venneri punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 5:4457% → 63%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
57.3%
pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+47
57.3%
DJ Irons run for 47 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
50
+3
58.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the BUFF 47Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-3
58.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 10
50
+16
57.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Myles Walker for 16 yds to the BUFF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
59.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Myles Walker for 14 yds to the BUFF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
59.1%
pass incomplete to Caleb AndersonSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
59.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 10 yds to the BUFF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
59.3%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the BUFF 3Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
59.5%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the BUFF 2Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the BUFF 1Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.1%
Drake Anderson 1 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Owen Wiley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6TD
19 plays · 79 yds · 9:1038% → 47%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
62.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cameron Ball for 11 yds to the BUFF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.3%
Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-4
62.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 28Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+15
64.0%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 15 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
62.6%
pass incomplete to Chance MorrowSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
62.7%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the BUFF 47Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+7
62.4%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 8 yards to the AKR 39 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, personal foul (Antonio Smith) to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
62.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Caelan Shepard) to the BUFF 44Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 20
OWN 44
-5
63.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Andrew Schnackenberg Buffalo Penalty, illegal formation (Caelan Shepard) to the BUFF 39Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 25
OWN 39
+14
63.9%
Cole Snyder run for 14 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+4
63.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+16
63.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Chance Morrow for 16 yds to the AKR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
61.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
62.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the AKR 23Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+6
63.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 6 yds to the AKR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
62.6%
pass incomplete to Chance MorrowSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
62.8%
Lamar Sperling run for 8 yds to the AKR 9Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
52.8%
Boobie Curry 9 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole HarritySimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+3
42.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the AKR 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+3
41.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the AKR 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
44.3%
pass incomplete to Cole HarritySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 6:0058% → 57%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 5 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
58.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 10 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
59.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
50
+5
60.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 5 yds to the BUFF 45Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
61.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Drake Anderson for 7 yds to the BUFF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
61.2%
DJ Irons run for 15 yds to the BUFF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
61.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jake Newell, broken up by Marcus FuquaSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
61.6%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Adrian Norton Buffalo Penalty, off-side (Clevester Hines III) to the BUFF 18Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+7
61.7%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the BUFF 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-7
61.7%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BUFF 18Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 17
OPP 18
+3
61.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 3 yds to the BUFF 15Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 14
OPP 15
-5
59.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for a loss of 5 yards to the BUFF 20Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+38
57.0%
Owen Wiley 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2945% → 43%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
54.8%
pass incomplete to Cole HarritySimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
55.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 7 yds to the BUFF 21Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 21
-7
55.7%
Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BUFF 14Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
57.2%
Anthony Venneri punt for 63 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4058% → 57%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
58.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
59.6%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the AKR 31Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
57.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 1 yd to the AKR 32Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
56.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 7:4046% → 47%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
54.5%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 9 yds to the BUFF 38Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+4
52.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUFF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
52.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the BUFF 46Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
51.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 2
50
+3
51.6%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.9%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity, broken up by Corey Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
51.3%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
50.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the AKR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
50.8%
Lamar Sperling run for 4 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
49.0%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
50.4%
Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
52.3%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
48.1%
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the AKR 25Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
48.3%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry, broken up by Joey HunterSimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
50.3%
Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
53.2%
Alex McNulty 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:3658% → 57%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 4 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
58.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 5 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
58.5%
DJ Irons run for 14 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
61.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 17 yds to the BUFF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.7%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings, broken up by Jayden OliverSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
63.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Myles Walker for 2 yds to the BUFF 33Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-4
62.1%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 37Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
56.8%
Dante Jackson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:4345% → 43%
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
55.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 3Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+29
56.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Chance Morrow for 29 yds to the BUFF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
52.3%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity, broken up by Tyson Durant Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Doty) to the BUFF 22Similar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+4
53.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 4 yds to the BUFF 26Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+4
54.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 4 yds to the BUFF 30Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
55.3%
pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+20
57.2%
Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds , Bobby Golden returns for 20 yds to the AKR 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:3962% → 55%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.7%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Myles Walker, broken up by Charles McCartherensSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
60.3%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Daniel George, broken up by Jayden OliverSimilar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-6
58.0%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the AKR 38Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 16
OWN 38
+3
54.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 37 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 3 yds to the BUFF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2147% → 48%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
52.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUFF 31Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+14
52.1%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 14 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
49.1%
pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
50.3%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUFF 46Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
51.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 5
50
0
52.0%
Anthony Venneri punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:2658% → 61%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
57.5%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+20
57.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 20 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
58.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 11 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
62.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Bobby Golden for 17 yds to the BUFF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
63.6%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 42Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+4
60.9%
DJ Irons run for 4 yds to the BUFF 38 DJ Irons fumbled, recovered by BUFF Max Michel Akron Penalty, Defensive holding (Lorenzo Lingard) to the BUFF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2351% → 52%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
48.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 40Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
47.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BUFF 41Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+7
49.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 7 yds to the BUFF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
45.9%
pass incomplete to Cameron BallSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
46.9%
pass incomplete to Cameron BallSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+8
49.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 8 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
48.2%
pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3363% → 58%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
62.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 46Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
62.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 48Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
61.0%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
57.5%
Dante Jackson punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5749% → 45%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
50.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 8 yds to the BUFF 27Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+10
48.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 10 yds to the BUFF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
49.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry Buffalo Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Boobie Curry) to the BUFF 22Similar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 25
OWN 22
0
51.2%
pass incomplete to Cameron BallSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+6
51.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the BUFF 28Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 19
OWN 28
-1
53.6%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 27Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 20
OWN 27
0
55.5%
Anthony Venneri punt for 50 yds , Bobby Golden returns for no gain to the AKR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 24%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
42.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the BUFF 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-6
40.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BUFF 30Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
28.7%
pass incomplete to Myles WalkerSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+48
24.0%
Owen Wiley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-24
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:59
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 46
+14.3
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the BUFF 24
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com