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EMU

Eastern Michigan 23 at Central Michigan 26

CMU
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:41 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+3.3Home team on offense−8.9Garbage-time factor−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:36: Chris Parker 19 Yd pass from Jase Bauer (Tristan Mattson Kick) — CMU win probability +12.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:24: Tanner Knue 4 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez PAT blocked) — EMU win probability +15.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:22: Tristan Mattson 27 Yd Field Goal — CMU win probability +5.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:14: Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +24.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:55: Marion Lukes 24 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick) — CMU win probability +28.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 3:12CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:12CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:25EMU 4th & 1 at CMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:17EMU 4th & 11 at CMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:34CMU 4th & 7 at EMU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:07EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−1.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:22CMU 4th & 6 at EMU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−10.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:32CMU 4th & 16 at CMU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−4.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:41EMU 4th & 24 at EMU 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−8.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:02EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.3%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:54EMU 4th & 2 at CMU 35, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−11.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:51EMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−11.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−21.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:08CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:24EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:36CMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:24EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:14EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:55CMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 4:3169% → 70%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+23
68.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 23 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
68.7%
Jase Bauer run for 12 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
68.7%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 44Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+19
68.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 19 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
68.8%
Myles Bailey run for 20 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
68.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 1 yd to the EMU 16Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+12
68.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 12 yds to the EMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.8%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the EMU 4Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.3%
Jase Bauer run for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:1430% → 34%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
69.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 23 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
69.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 13 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
69.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+13
69.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
69.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the CMU 5Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
69.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
69.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
69.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMU 1Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.3%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:0167% → 67%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
67.2%
Myles Bailey run for 16 yds to the CMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.2%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.1%
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
66.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
66.5%
Jake Walrath punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
66.5%
Jake Walrath punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:1934% → 35%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
66.3%
Austin Smith run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
50
+6
65.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
64.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
65.0%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
64.6%
Austin Smith run for 24 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
63.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 3 yds to the CMU 12Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
63.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the CMU 13Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+7
64.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the CMU 6Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
64.7%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5INT
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:4966% → 68%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
66.2%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 7Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
66.1%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 10Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+23
65.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 23 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
66.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 7 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+11
67.6%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 11 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
68.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 9 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
68.1%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
68.1%
Jase Bauer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:0236% → 41%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
64.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
62.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
62.3%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+17
63.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
60.2%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+13
61.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 13 yds to the CMU 41Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
59.8%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
59.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
59.5%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Jaylon rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU35 (Pace,Jonah) PENALTY EMU Holding (Dooley,Brian) 10 yards from CMU36 to CMU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+9
60.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 9 yds Jaylon Jackson fumbled, recovered by EMU Jaylon JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
60.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+55
59.1%
Jesus Gomez 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:1860% → 61%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
60.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Myles Bailey for 1 yd to the CMU 39Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+14
60.1%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 14 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
62.0%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass complete short left to Prewitt III,Jesse for 2 yards to the EMU45 (Williams,Elijah), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (Swartout,Brayden) 10 yards from EMU47 to CMU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+3
59.1%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 46Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
59.8%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+10
58.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Decorion Temple for 10 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
60.7%
Jake Walrath punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1941% → 42%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
58.7%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 7Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
57.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the EMU 10Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+1
57.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 1 yd to the EMU 11Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
58.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Javorian Wimberly at the CMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 0:2058% → 73%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
57.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 10 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
58.6%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Marion Lukes for 23 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
60.3%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
72.9%
Chris Parker 19 Yd pass from Jase Bauer (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:1433% → 49%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
67.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 8 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+13
65.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
64.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 15 yds to the CMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
63.5%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the CMU 26Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
63.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 9 yds to the CMU 17Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
64.5%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
64.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CMU 12Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
64.8%
Austin Smith run for 7 yds to the CMU 5Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
66.1%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the CMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.1%
Tanner Knue 4 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:5363% → 70%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
62.8%
Myles Bailey run for 15 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
64.9%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+14
65.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 14 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
66.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 10 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
67.4%
Thomas Pannunzio run for 19 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
67.4%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Young,Marcus) 5 yards from EMU13 to EMU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
67.2%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
66.3%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+9
63.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 9 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
69.5%
Tristan Mattson 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5933% → 63%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
67.2%
Austin Smith run for 12 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
65.5%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+16
64.3%
Austin Smith run for 16 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
63.9%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete deep left to Knue,Tanner PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Kent,Donte) 15 yards from CMU42 to CMU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
62.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 24 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the CMU 2Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.5%
Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:3046% → 42%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
46.1%
Myles Bailey run for 7 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+8
46.6%
Myles Bailey run for 8 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
46.3%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chase Kline) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
49.9%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
50.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 2 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-8
48.1%
Jase Bauer sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the CMU 44Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 16
OWN 44
+13
41.6%
Jake Walrath punt for 39 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 13 yds to the EMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 2:3761% → 61%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
39.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 2 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-10
38.5%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin rush left for 9 yards gain to the EMU41 (Brown,Lawai'a), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Holding (Sunderman,Dan) 10 yards from EMU32 to EMU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+4
39.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 26
-10
39.9%
Austin Smith sacked by Quindario Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the EMU 16Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 24
OWN 16
0
39.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:1546% → 78%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
46.3%
Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
46.9%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
47.4%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
47.0%
Marion Lukes run for 10 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
49.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 11 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
78.2%
Marion Lukes 24 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17MISSED FG
19 plays · 50 yds · 6:5131% → 24%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
68.9%
Austin Smith sacked by Kyle Moretti for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 19Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+6
68.6%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-5
69.1%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Sunderman,Dan) 5 yards from EMU25 to EMU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+15
71.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 15 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
68.1%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
67.7%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
71.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 7 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
68.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+15
68.9%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete deep left to El-Zayat,Hamze PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Jones,Trey) 15 yards from EMU42 to CMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.9%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the CMU 43Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
63.4%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
68.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the CMU 35Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+4
71.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
67.2%
Austin Smith sacked by Kyle Moretti for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 34Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+6
71.0%
Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
71.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+46
75.8%
Jesus Gomez 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:4694% → 96%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
93.5%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the CMU 32Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
93.9%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+10
95.8%
Thomas Pannunzio run for 10 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:55
Marion Lukes 24 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick)
+28.9
TD · Q3 2:14
Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)
-24.6
TD · Q3 9:24
Tanner Knue 4 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez PAT blocked)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com