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BALL

Ball State 24 at Western Michigan 42

WMU
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:22 · Carson Voss punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+21.2Pregame prior+3.1Score differential+9.8Garbage-time factor+10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:50: Jalen Buckley run for 12 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +7.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:04: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Maximus Webster for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +7.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:14: Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 31 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:15: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 57 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +11.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:53: Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +9.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 8:37BALL 4th & 3 at WMU 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q3 1:50BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:03BALL 4th & 29 at BALL 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 13:02WMU 4th & 8 at BALL 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:07WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:28BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:37BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 46, down 18
    Close callPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:22WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 32, up 18
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:53WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:15BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:31BALL 4th & 10 at WMU 47, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:41WMU 4th & 5 at BALL 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:16BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:06WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:50WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:04BALL Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:01WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:52BALL Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:14WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:15BALL Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:53WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2541% → 42%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
59.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 5 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
59.3%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BALL 25Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
59.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
59.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 25 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
59.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 7 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+20
59.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 20 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
59.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
59.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 8 yds to the WMU 9Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
59.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the WMU 10Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
58.5%
Jackson Courville 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 3:5761% → 69%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
60.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Austin Hence for 17 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
60.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Austin Hence for 32 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
62.2%
Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Cole Pearce) to the BALL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
62.4%
Treyson Bourguet run for 3 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
62.9%
Anthony Sambucci run for 9 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
62.9%
Treyson Bourguet run for 7 yds to the BALL 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+12
62.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 12 yds to the BALL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BALL 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 3:3220% → 15%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
80.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 38Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
79.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 9 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
78.8%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Donald Willis for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 40Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+11
80.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 11 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-5
78.5%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Jacob Wahlberg for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 46Similar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
85.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3163% → 65%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Austin Hence for 7 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
62.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 33Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
62.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 8 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
62.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+39
62.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 39 yds to the BALL 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
62.7%
Treyson Bourguet run for 4 yds to the BALL 18Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
65.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 18 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5Uncategorized
8 plays · -1 yds · 3:0337% → 34%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
63.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 9 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+9
62.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
62.6%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
62.8%
Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the BALL 45Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-13
63.2%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Boone Bonnema for a loss of 13 yards to the BALL 32Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 24
OWN 32
-5
63.9%
PENALTY BSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BSU32 to BSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 29
OWN 27
0
66.2%
Lucas Borrow punt for 65 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6Uncategorized
8 plays · 30 yds · 13:0260% → 67%
Q1 13:02
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
60.2%
Carson Voss punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
66.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+28
66.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 13 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST down Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Layne Hatcher) to the WMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
67.6%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Buckley,Jalen) 5 yards from WMU49 to WMU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+9
67.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 9 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
67.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+3
67.1%
Treyson Bourguet run for 3 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-5
66.5%
PENALTY WMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BSU44 to BSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:4732% → 31%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hatcher,Layne pass incomplete deep right to Gillie,Malcolm PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Bussell,Dashon) 15 yards from BSU25 to BSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
66.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 39Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+13
67.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 13 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
66.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
66.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-10
66.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hatcher,Layne pass complete short left to Magwood,Qian for 12 yards to the WMU33, out of bounds at WMU33 PENALTY BSU Holding (Crowe,Ethan) 10 yards from WMU45 to BSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+1
69.2%
Layne Hatcher run for 1 yd to the BALL 43 Layne Hatcher fumbled, recovered by WMU Damari RobersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:2972% → 79%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
71.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
71.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
71.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 5 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
71.9%
Treyson Bourguet run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+12
71.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 12 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
71.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 3 yds to the BALL 12Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
78.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 12 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:4522% → 32%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
77.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 15 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 45Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+29
76.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 29 yds to the WMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
74.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 23 yds to the WMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
74.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the WMU 2Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Maximus Webster for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:5772% → 73%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
72.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 1 yd to the WMU 31Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
71.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 8 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
72.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.3%
Treyson Bourguet run for no gain to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.8%
Treyson Bourguet run for no gain to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
71.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
73.4%
Carson Voss punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:3926% → 24%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
74.3%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
74.5%
Rico Barfield run for 4 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-10
75.2%
Ball State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BALL 21Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
75.4%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+7
76.3%
Lucas Borrow punt for 45 yds , Anthony Sambucci returns for 7 yds to the WMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 59 yds · 1:2777% → 81%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
76.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 2 yds to the WMU 43Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
76.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+10
75.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short right to Buckley,Jalen PENALTY BSU Holding (Harris,John) 10 yards from WMU43 to BSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
77.2%
Treyson Bourguet run for 3 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+9
77.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 9 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
77.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 8 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+17
79.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 17 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
79.0%
Treyson Bourguet run for 1 yd to the BALL 9Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
78.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
77.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short middle to Dieudonne,Malique PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Harmon,Jahmad) 7 yards from BSU09 to BSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
74.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Zahir Abdus-SalaamSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 2 yds for a TD Ball State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Riley) to the BALL 0 (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0815% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.6%
Western Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Damari Roberson) to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
83.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 2 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
83.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+5
83.3%
No Huddle Hatcher,Layne pass incomplete short left to Edwards,Ahmad, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Bussell,Dashon) 5 yards from WMU48 to WMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
82.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
81.8%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Green,Isaiah) 5 yards from WMU34 to WMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
81.8%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Mason Nelson for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 32Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+32
75.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 32 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3879% → 91%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 26Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+27
78.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 27 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
80.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
80.1%
Ball State Penalty, Targeting (Loren Strickland) to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
91.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 31 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3711% → 10%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.0%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Koziol,Tanner) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
89.2%
Malcolm Gillie run for 2 yds to the BALL 22Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
89.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Christian Abney for 4 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
89.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 12 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for no gain to the BALL 38Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
88.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 45Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
88.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 46Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+9
90.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 39 yds , Anthony Sambucci returns for 9 yds to the WMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1593% → 91%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
92.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 3 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Western Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+5
92.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 5 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
91.3%
Carson Voss punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5793% → 92%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
93.1%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Gideon,Jacob) 5 yards from WMU14 to WMU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+1
91.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 10Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 14
OWN 10
0
91.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 14
OWN 10
0
91.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 14
OWN 10
0
92.1%
Carson Voss punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 2:238% → 15%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-9
92.5%
Layne Hatcher sacked by DaShon Bussell for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 22
+10
93.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Nick Munson for 10 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+11
93.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 11 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
82.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 57 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
85.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Austin HenceSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
85.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
84.9%
Carson Voss punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1517% → 15%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
83.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 9 yds to the BALL 45Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
81.4%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
82.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 44Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
84.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 3:2287% → 97%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
86.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 18Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+8
86.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 8 yds to the WMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
86.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 14 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.9%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 40Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+58
87.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Blake Bosma for 58 yds to the BALL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:224% → 4%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 6 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+10
95.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 10 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22MISSED FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:5098% → 98%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
97.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
97.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+17
97.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 17 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the BALL 28Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+4
97.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
97.5%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the BALL 24Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
98.3%
Palmer Domschke 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:252% → 2%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-11
97.7%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Donald Willis for a loss of 11 yards to the BALL 13Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 21
OWN 13
+8
97.8%
Layne Hatcher run for 8 yds to the BALL 21Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 13
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
98.0%
Lucas Borrow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24Uncategorized
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1699% → 99%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
98.6%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the WMU 24Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
98.6%
CJ Hester run for 9 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
98.7%
CJ Hester run for 8 yds to the WMU 25 CJ Hester fumbled, recovered by WMU Jack SalopekSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 25
0
98.9%
J. Salopek takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:15
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 57 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q3 10:14
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 31 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q4 8:53
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com