Try the model
KENT

Kent State 10 at Fresno State 53

FRES
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Valley Children's Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [SG] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FST45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:48: X. Williams run for 18 yds for a TD (A. Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:07: E. Gilliam run for 2 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +0.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:36: M. Keene pass to J. Moss for 12 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:37: E. Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (D. Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:06: M. Keene pass to T. Watson for 2 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 3KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:44KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:16KENT 4th & 17 at FRES 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:36KENT 4th & 3 at FRES 47, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:59KENT 4th & 3 at FRES 34, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:52FRES 4th & 2 at KENT 12, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:00KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 40, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:54KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 23, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:05FRES 4th & 4 at KENT 22, up 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:41KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 30, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:22FRES 4th & 5 at KENT 26, up 46
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:01KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 20, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:06FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:01FRES Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:48KENT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:07FRES Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:36FRES Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:37FRES Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:06FRES Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:104% → 4%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
96.1%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KENT 18Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
96.1%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-3
96.1%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 15Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
95.9%
Charlie Durkin punt for 40 yds, downed at the FRES 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:3896% → 96%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
96.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 1 yd to the FRES 46Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+5
95.9%
KEENE, Mikey pass to the left incomplete intended for BROOKS, Erik thrown to the KST48. PENALTY KST Offsides enforced 5 yards from the FST46 to the KST49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-5
96.0%
Fresno State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FRES 46Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+14
95.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 14 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
95.9%
Erik Brooks 40 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Logan Fife Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:284% → 4%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
95.8%
Kent State Penalty, False Start (Xavier Williams) to the KENT 5Similar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+3
95.8%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 8Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
95.8%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+5
95.8%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KENT 13Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
95.7%
Charlie Durkin punt for 24 yds, downed at the KENT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:2396% → 96%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
95.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 15 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
96.0%
J. Gill pass to E. Gilliam for 32 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:134% → 5%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
Michael Alaimo run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 24Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
95.9%
Kent State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENT 19Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
95.9%
Michael Alaimo run for 3 yds to the KENT 22Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+40
95.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 40 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
95.8%
Jack Coulson run for 15 yds to the FRES 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
95.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the FRES 21Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
95.8%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the FRES 18Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+18
94.9%
X. Williams run for 18 yds for a TD (A. Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:3495% → 96%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.0%
Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 29Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
95.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 11 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
95.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 24 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
95.2%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 20 yds to the KENT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
95.2%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 14 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.8%
E. Gilliam run for 2 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:455% → 6%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
95.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 9 yds to the KENT 24Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+6
95.0%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
95.0%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
94.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
94.9%
Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+13
94.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 13 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
94.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 9 yds to the FRES 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
94.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
94.3%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 16 yds to the FRES 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
94.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the FRES 14Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-15
93.8%
WILLIAMS, Xavier rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the FST0, TOUCHDOWN KST, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:02 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY KST Face mask enforced 15 yards from the FST14 to the FST29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 18
OPP 29
0
94.0%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+1
94.2%
Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the FRES 28Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
94.4%
Andrew Glass 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3295% → 97%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
94.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the FRES 32Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+23
94.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 23 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the KENT 45Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+33
95.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 33 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.6%
M. Keene pass to J. Moss for 12 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:374% → 4%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
96.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 18 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.9%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
95.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the FRES 47Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
95.8%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+6
95.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 6 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
95.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the FRES 40Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
95.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the FRES 36Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-10
95.8%
Kent State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FRES 43Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+9
96.0%
Xavier Williams run for 9 yds to the FRES 34Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
95.7%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:2296% → 99%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+47
96.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 47 yds to the KENT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
96.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the KENT 18Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
96.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the KENT 11Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+4
96.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 4 yds to the KENT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
96.5%
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 8Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.5%
Kent State Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Devin Nicholson) to the KENT 2Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.5%
Kent State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (D.J. Miller Jr.) to the KENT 1Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
E. Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:4699% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
98.8%
Malik Sherrod run for 17 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 2 yds to the FRES 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+11
98.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 11 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
98.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
98.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
98.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 11 yds to the KENT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the KENT 20Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 4 yds to the KENT 16Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+4
98.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+10
98.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 10 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
M. Keene pass to T. Watson for 2 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Gavin Garcia for 3 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Charlie Durkin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.7%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the FRES 30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Kent State Penalty, Encroachment on WEST, CJ enforced (5 Yards) to the FRES 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 5 yds to the FRES 40Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds to the FRES 43Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
99.8%
Elijah Gilliam run for 14 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
99.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 14 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the KENT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Xavier Williams for 1 yd to the KENT 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 23Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Charlie Durkin punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:49100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Devon Rivers run for 1 yd to the FRES 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Devon Rivers run for 1 yd to the KENT 38Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
RIVERS, Devon rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the KST24 (MILLER, D.J.;BAKA, Josh). PENALTY FST Holding on VELEZ, Osmar enforced 10 yards from the KST38 to the KST48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 19
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Devon Rivers run for 4 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+16
99.9%
Logan Fife run for 16 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Devon Rivers run for 2 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the KENT 22Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
99.9%
Dylan Lynch 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
100.0%
Kent State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENT 21Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for 9 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Charlie Durkin punt for 26 yds, downed at the FRES 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 5:19100% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Devon Rivers run for 1 yd to the FRES 45Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Devon Rivers run for 2 yds to the FRES 47Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
FIFE, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BOUST, Jake thrown to the KST41. PENALTY KST Holding on CRADDIETH, Dallas enforced 10 yards from the FST47 to the KST43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Johnathan Arceneaux run for 3 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Johnathan Arceneaux run for 9 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Johnathan Arceneaux run for 1 yd to the KENT 30Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Johnathan Arceneaux run for 3 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Logan Fife run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the KENT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 23Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 21Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 20Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Charlie Durkin punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
[SG] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FST46 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
100.0%
[SG] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FST45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:37
E. Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 9:36
M. Keene pass to J. Moss for 12 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 5:48
X. Williams run for 18 yds for a TD (A. Glass KICK)
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com