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CCSU

Central Connecticut 10 at Kent State 38

KENT
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadCCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreCCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:56 · Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Isiah Williams
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+34.7Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:57: Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — CCSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:21: Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 40 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +1.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:58: Gavin Garcia run for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:27: Michael Alaimo run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:24: Andrew Glass 24 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CCSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:53KENT 4th & 1 at CCSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41CCSU 4th & 10 at CCSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30CCSU 4th & 9 at KENT 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:56CCSU 4th & 3 at KENT 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:20KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:15CCSU 4th & 11 at KENT 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:01KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:24CCSU 4th & 4 at CCSU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:25KENT 4th & 1 at CCSU 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−1.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:17KENT 4th & 8 at CCSU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:10CCSU 4th & 9 at CCSU 5, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:32CCSU 4th & 12 at CCSU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:24KENT 4th & 4 at CCSU 5, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:11CCSU 4th & 4 at CCSU 38, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:34CCSU 4th & 7 at CCSU 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:21KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 48, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:08CCSU 4th & 5 at KENT 5, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:01KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:57KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:21KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:58KENT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:27KENT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:28KENT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:04CCSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 4:5692% → 91%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+33
91.6%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 33 yds to the CCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
91.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the CCSU 36Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
91.6%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 1 yd to the CCSU 35Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
91.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the CCSU 34Similar
Q1 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
91.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the CCSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
91.6%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the CCSU 34Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+11
91.6%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 11 yds to the CCSU 23Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+11
91.6%
Michael Alaimo run for 11 yds to the CCSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
91.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the CCSU 4Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
91.6%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the CCSU 4Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
91.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the CCSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:169% → 9%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
90.8%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the CCSU 37Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
90.8%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the CCSU 35Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
90.9%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Davion JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.8%
Jake Barnum punt for 37 yds , Luke Floriea returns for 5 yds to the KENT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:2091% → 92%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
90.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
90.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 42Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
90.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
90.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
90.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Hayden Junker for 5 yds to the CCSU 46Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
90.9%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the CCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.0%
Chrishon McCray run for no gain to the CCSU 40Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
92.1%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 40 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:419% → 9%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
91.4%
Matt Jenner run for 7 yds to the CCSU 28Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+25
91.4%
Davion Johnson run for 25 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
91.2%
Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for 1 yd to the KENT 46Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
91.2%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Paul Marsh Jr.Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
91.3%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Paul Marsh Jr.Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Nick Andrade punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0792% → 92%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 6 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
91.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 6 yds to the KENT 20Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
91.7%
PENALTY KENT False Start (Bryan,Nick) 5 yards from KENT20 to KENT15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
91.6%
Michael Alaimo pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:279% → 9%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
91.0%
Matt Jenner run for 8 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
90.7%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Isiah WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
90.9%
Matt Jenner run for 1 yd to the KENT 36Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
91.0%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Isiah WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3692% → 92%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
91.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
92.1%
Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the KENT 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
91.9%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 44Similar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+1
91.7%
Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the KENT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:059% → 9%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
90.7%
Ricky Ortega pass complete to Davion Johnson for 6 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
90.6%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the KENT 38Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+3
90.6%
Ricky Ortega run for 3 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
91.2%
Nick Andrade punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1492% → 92%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
91.8%
Xavier Williams run for 14 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
91.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael pass incomplete short left to McCray,Chrishon PENALTY KENT Holding (Golden,Cameron) 10 yards from KENT28 to KENT18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+9
91.8%
Xavier Williams run for 9 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+1
91.8%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
91.7%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+28
91.5%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds , Tavian Montgomery returns for 28 yds to the CCSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 2:069% → 9%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.0%
Elijah Howard run for no gain to the CCSU 19Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
91.0%
Matt Jenner run for 2 yds to the CCSU 17Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+14
91.2%
Matt Jenner run for 14 yds to the CCSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.0%
Matt Jenner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:5792% → 96%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
91.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the CCSU 38Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+13
91.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the CCSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:345% → 5%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.3%
Malik Thomas run for 4 yds to the CCSU 29Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.1%
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds to the CCSU 31Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
95.2%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Davion JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
95.5%
Nick Andrade punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 4:0796% → 97%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
96.2%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
96.2%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the CCSU 47Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
96.1%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the CCSU 46Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+4
96.4%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the CCSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
96.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the CCSU 41Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+1
96.7%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 1 yd to the CCSU 40Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
97.0%
Josh Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tavian Montgomery at the CCSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
96.3%
Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the CCSU 2Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 12
OWN 2
0
96.3%
Matt Jenner run for no gain to the CCSU 2Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 12
OWN 2
+5
96.2%
PENALTY KENT Offside (Billotte,Oliver) 5 yards from CCSU02 to CCSU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+2
96.2%
Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the CCSU 5Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 9
OWN 5
+11
96.3%
Jake Barnum punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCSU 30 , Luke Floriea returns for 11 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
97.1%
Michael Alaimo run for 3 yds to the CCSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:224% → 3%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.2%
Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the CCSU 42Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
96.1%
Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the CCSU 36Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
96.4%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Isiah WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Nick Andrade punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:0597% → 99%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+43
97.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 43 yds to the CCSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
97.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the CCSU 17Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
97.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the CCSU 15Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+14
97.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 14 yds to the CCSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
97.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the CCSU 3Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Michael Alaimo run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Matt Jenner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:5399% → 100%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.4%
Chrishon McCray run for 8 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+42
99.4%
Gavin Garcia run for 42 yds to the CCSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.4%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the CCSU 7Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
99.4%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the CCSU 2Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+3
99.4%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the CCSU 5Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+24
99.6%
Andrew Glass 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:060% → 1%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
99.6%
PENALTY KENT UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Carroll,Mattheus) 15 yards from CCSU17 to CCSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Ricky Ortega run for 2 yds to the CCSU 34Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
99.5%
Ricky Ortega run for 4 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+8
99.6%
Ricky Ortega run for 8 yds to the CCSU 38Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Nick Andrade punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
99.7%
Xavier Williams run for 14 yds to the KENT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
99.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 34 yds to the CCSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 11 yds to the CCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the CCSU 34Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+11
99.7%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 11 yds to the CCSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 23 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
Ricky Ortega pass complete to Davion Johnson for 4 yds to the CCSU 28Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds to the CCSU 31Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+1
99.8%
Ricky Ortega run for 1 yd to the CCSU 27Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+17
99.9%
Nick Andrade punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 47 , Bryce Sheppert returns for 17 yds to the KENT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 48Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Charlie Durkin punt blocked by Tyler Boatwright blocked by Tyler BoatwrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 24FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.8%
Cortaz Williams run for 8 yds to the KENT 15Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+7
99.8%
Kent State Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Chase Fortkamp) to the KENT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Ricky Ortega run for 2 yds to the KENT 9Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Ricky Ortega pass incomplete to Isiah WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.9%
Davion Johnson run for 4 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.8%
Jake Barnum 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Charlie Durkin punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 26TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:570% → 0%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Malik Thomas run for 1 yd to the CCSU 29Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Isiah WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Matt Jenner pass complete to Delvin Attafah for 11 yds to the CCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the CCSU 38Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+15
99.9%
Matt Jenner pass complete to Michael Plaskon for 15 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Ricky Ortega run for no gain to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+13
100.0%
Matt Jenner pass complete to Jaquan Allen for 13 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Matt Jenner run for 4 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Malik Thomas run for 7 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Malik Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 20Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Ricky Ortega run for 3 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Ricky Ortega 17 Yd Run (Jake Barnum Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Curtis Douglas run for 9 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Curtis Douglas run for no gain to the KENT 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Curtis Douglas run for 7 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:58
Gavin Garcia run for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 10:27
Michael Alaimo run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q1 5:21
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 40 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com