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INST

Indiana State 7 at Ball State 45

BALL
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:33 · Harry Traum punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+38.8Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:13: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 16 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +1.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:45: Rico Barfield run for 24 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +5.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:48: Elijah Owens pass complete to Dakota Caton for 49 yds for a TD (Stephen Ruiz KICK) — INST win probability +7.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:12: Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +6.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:32: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5INST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:12BALL 4th & 15 at BALL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22INST 4th & 10 at INST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:32BALL 4th & 12 at INST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:33INST 4th & 26 at INST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:55INST 4th & 13 at BALL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:58INST 4th & 11 at BALL 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:34BALL 4th & 6 at INST 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50INST 4th & 7 at INST 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:47INST 4th & 9 at INST 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:23BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:09INST 4th & 16 at INST 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−1.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:37INST 4th & 7 at INST 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:02BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6INST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:13BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:45BALL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:48INST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:12BALL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:32BALL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:20BALL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:13BALL Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
94.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 13 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
94.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
94.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 8 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
94.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
94.0%
Lucas Borrow punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:446% → 7%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.0%
Tee Hodge run for 1 yd to the INST 21Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
93.9%
Tee Hodge run for 2 yds to the INST 23Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
93.7%
Elijah Owens run for 10 yds to the INST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
93.5%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Dakota Caton for 10 yds to the INST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.3%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
93.4%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
93.4%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
93.4%
Harry Traum punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:3993% → 92%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
93.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 8 yds to the BALL 18Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+6
93.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
93.2%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Mosier,Cole) 5 yards from BSU24 to BSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+16
92.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
92.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 21 yds to the INST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
92.9%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Garret Ollendieck for a loss of 8 yards to the BALL 48 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by BALL Kadin Semonza , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 18
OWN 48
0
92.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 18
OWN 48
+6
92.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the INST 46Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Lucas Borrow punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:488% → 9%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
92.3%
Elijah Owens run for 6 yds to the INST 22Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
92.1%
Tee Hodge run for 2 yds to the INST 24Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
92.0%
Tee Hodge run for 2 yds to the INST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+32
91.8%
Tee Hodge run for 32 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
91.2%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Tee HodgeSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-11
91.2%
Elijah Owens sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the INST 47Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 21
OWN 47
-5
91.3%
Elijah Owens sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the INST 42Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 26
OWN 42
0
91.1%
Harry Traum punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:2091% → 92%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
91.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
91.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 17 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
91.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 4 yds to the INST 41Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
91.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the INST 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+10
91.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the INST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the INST 20Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
91.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Maximus WebsterSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+5
90.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 5 yds to the INST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
90.8%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the INST 15Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
90.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Maximus Webster for 1 yd to the INST 16Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+16
92.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 16 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:138% → 9%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Tee HodgeSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
Tee Hodge run for 2 yds to the INST 27Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+41
91.6%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 41 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
90.3%
Elijah Owens run for 15 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.1%
Tee Hodge run for no gain to the BALL 17Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
90.0%
Korbin Allen run for 4 yds to the BALL 21Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 14
OPP 21
+1
90.6%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Korbin Allen for 1 yd to the BALL 20Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+38
91.2%
Stephen Ruiz 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3291% → 91%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
91.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-5
91.4%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Tyo,Taran) 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
91.1%
Kadin Semonza run for no gain to the BALL 24 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by INST Jarin JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:2111% → 9%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
89.3%
Tee Hodge run for 1 yd to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
89.3%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
89.9%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+43
90.7%
Stephen Ruiz 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:1591% → 92%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
90.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 19 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
91.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 45Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+26
91.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 26 yds to the INST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
91.4%
Rico Barfield run for 7 yds to the INST 22Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+14
91.3%
Rico Barfield run for 14 yds to the INST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
91.2%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the INST 8Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
90.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the INST 9Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
90.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 3 yds to the INST 6Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
91.5%
Jackson Courville 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:239% → 8%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.1%
Dakota Caton run for no gain to the INST 45Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.4%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Tyce Ferrell for 3 yds to the INST 48Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
91.3%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
91.7%
Harry Traum punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:5092% → 92%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
91.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 18 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
92.0%
Kadin Semonza run for 11 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Rico BarfieldSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
92.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the INST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+53
92.1%
Jackson Courville 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5610% → 9%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
90.3%
Tee Hodge run for 6 yds to the INST 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
89.8%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Dakota Caton for no gain to the INST 29Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-5
90.8%
Elijah Owens sacked by Jack Sape for a loss of 5 yards to the INST 24Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
91.4%
Harry Traum punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1491% → 90%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
91.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-7
90.9%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Gianini Belizaire for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 36Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Lucas Borrow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zavion Taylor at the INST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:0710% → 9%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.4%
Korbin Allen run for no gain to the INST 23Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
90.4%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Kevin BarnettSimilar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+14
90.8%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Harrison Stomps for 14 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
90.0%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Allen,Korbin rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU37 (Newson,Keionte; Riley,Jordan) PENALTY ISU Personal Foul (Comer,Griffin) 15 yards from ISU37 to ISU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+3
90.4%
Korbin Allen run for 3 yds to the INST 25Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 22
OWN 25
+6
90.4%
Elijah Owens run for 6 yds to the INST 31Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
91.0%
Harry Traum punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:1591% → 97%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
91.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 31 yds to the INST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.5%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the INST 24Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
96.5%
Rico Barfield run for 24 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 16TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:395% → 12%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
95.4%
Elijah Owens run for 12 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
88.4%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Dakota Caton for 49 yds for a TD (Stephen Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:2291% → 98%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
90.5%
(05:38) Shotgun Cooper,Marquez rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU29 (Hoover,Ethan; Blackwell,Maddix) PENALTY BSU Holding (Crowe,Ethan) 10 yards from BSU25 to BSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
90.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 17Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+15
90.4%
(04:43) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete deep left to Edwards,Ahmad PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Chatman,Malik) 15 yards from BSU17 to BSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
90.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
90.5%
Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+16
90.0%
Kadin Semonza run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
50
+1
91.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the INST 49Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+14
91.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the INST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Nick Munson for no gain to the INST 35Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
92.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the INST 26Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
92.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the INST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
92.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the INST 28Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+11
92.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 11 yds to the INST 17Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
92.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the INST 16Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
91.8%
(13:33) Cooper,Marquez rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU12 (Blackwell,Maddix) PENALTY ISU Offside (Edwards,Johnathan) 5 yards from ISU16 to ISU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 18INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:353% → 3%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Korbin Allen run for 2 yds to the INST 27Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Elijah Owens pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3598% → 99%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 12
OPP 23
+15
97.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 15 yds to the INST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 20FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:591% → 0%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Elijah Owens run for no gain to the INST 25Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Korbin Allen run for 1 yd to the INST 26Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+36
99.2%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 36 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.2%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Owens,Elijah pass incomplete short right to Vollmer,Ray PENALTY BSU Roughing The Passer (Pearce,Cole) 15 yards from BSU38 to BSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+66
99.9%
Keionte Newson 66 Yd Fumble Return (Jackson Courville Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Korbin Allen run for no gain to the INST 25Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Elijah Owens pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Elijah Owens pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 3 yds to the INST 28Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Anthony Beacom punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Rico Barfield run for 3 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-6
99.9%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Antoineo Harris Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 26Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 44 yds , Zavion Taylor returns for 5 yds to the INST 35 Zavion Taylor fumbled, recovered by BALL Dalton ElrodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the INST 35Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 11 yds to the INST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 5 yds to the INST 19Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+18
99.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 18 yds to the INST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 20Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 18Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+39
100.0%
Plez Lawrence run for 39 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the BALL 43Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the BALL 44Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the BALL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:48
Elijah Owens pass complete to Dakota Caton for 49 yds for a TD (Stephen Ruiz KICK)
-7
TD · Q4 13:12
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 6:45
Rico Barfield run for 24 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com