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MORG

Morgan State 21 at Akron 24

AKR
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:13 · punt for no gain , Noel Roach returns for 7 yds to the MORG 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+43.1Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:32: Dominique Anthony pass complete to Matt Lowe for 8 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK) — MORG win probability +7.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:50: Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 29 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK) — AKR win probability +11.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:23: Duce Taylor pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 31 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK) — MORG win probability +15.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 1:55: Duce Taylor pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 12 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK) — MORG win probability +32.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:52: Bryan McCoy 13 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Perez Kick) — AKR win probability +69.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MORG made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:13MORG 4th & 20 at MORG 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18AKR 4th & 4 at MORG 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:17MORG 4th & 7 at MORG 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:04MORG 4th & 15 at MORG 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:35AKR 4th & 2 at MORG 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07MORG 4th & 4 at MORG 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:32AKR 4th & 3 at MORG 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:49MORG 4th & 1 at MORG 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:49MORG 4th & 2 at AKR 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:26MORG 4th & 15 at AKR 33, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:59MORG 4th & 4 at MORG 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:37MORG 4th & 12 at AKR 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:57AKR 4th & 7 at MORG 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:56MORG 4th & 7 at AKR 42, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−3.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:13MORG 4th & 10 at MORG 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.3%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MORG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 5:32MORG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:50AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14AKR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:23MORG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:55MORG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:52AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−3.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MORGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:376% → 7%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
93.8%
Carson Baker sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MORG 35Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 16
OWN 35
-4
93.7%
Carson Baker sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 31Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 20
OWN 31
0
93.5%
pass incomplete to Jabriel JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 20
OWN 31
+7
93.5%
punt for no gain , Noel Roach returns for 7 yds to the MORG 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2993% → 93%
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.4%
Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
93.4%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the MORG 4Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.2%
Similar
Q1 11:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
93.1%
Noah Perez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:527% → 7%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
93.0%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MORG 27Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
92.9%
pass incomplete to Tyler WilkinsSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
92.9%
pass incomplete to Jabriel JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
93.0%
Shane Messenger punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 13 yds · 6:1393% → 91%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
92.8%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+11
92.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 11 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
92.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Drake Anderson for 3 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+14
92.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 14 yds to the MORG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
92.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 3 yds to the MORG 40Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
92.5%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the MORG 36Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
92.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 6 yds to the MORG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
92.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Caleb Anderson Akron Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Phaizon Wilson) to the MORG 45Similar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+5
92.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Caleb Anderson for 5 yds to the MORG 40Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 20
OPP 40
-20
91.9%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line Akron Penalty, Offensive holding (Keon Kindred) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 30
50
-10
91.7%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the AKR 40Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 40
OWN 40
0
91.3%
Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 40
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Dante Jackson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:419% → 9%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
91.3%
Carson Baker pass incomplete to Treveyon Pratt Morgan State Penalty, personal foul (Jarin Davis) to the MORG 11Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+6
91.3%
Carson Baker pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 6 yds to the MORG 17Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 14
OWN 17
-1
91.1%
Carson Baker sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 16Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
90.9%
pass incomplete to Treveyon PrattSimilar
Q1 2:04
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+6
91.0%
Shane Messenger punt for 42 yds , Bobby Golden returns for 6 yds to the AKR 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1691% → 90%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
90.9%
Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
90.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jake Newell for 8 yds to the MORG 45Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
90.6%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Bobby Golden, broken up by Nana AsanteSimilar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
90.2%
Dante Jackson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1910% → 10%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
90.3%
Jabriel Johnson run for 2 yds to the MORG 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+4
90.2%
Carson Baker pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 4 yds to the MORG 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
90.3%
Carson Baker pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins, broken up by Tyson DurantSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
90.3%
Shane Messenger punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 12:3289% → 86%
Q2 12:32
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-9
89.2%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MORG 39Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
86.1%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Alex Adams, broken up by Jae'Veyon MortonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
86.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 9 yds to the MORG 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-2
85.7%
Tahj Bullock run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 9TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 10:4912% → 26%
Q2 10:49
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
88.3%
Jarin Davis run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
50
+6
87.8%
Jabriel Johnson run for 6 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
87.7%
Jabriel Johnson run for 6 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
87.8%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
87.4%
Jarin Davis run for 3 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+2
87.8%
Jarin Davis run for 2 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+17
88.3%
Dominique Anthony run for 17 yds to the AKR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
87.4%
Jarin Davis run for 5 yds to the AKR 8Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
79.8%
Dominique Anthony pass complete to Matt Lowe for 8 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
74.9%
Dominique Anthony pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 7 yds to the MORG 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
74.3%
Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the MORG 48Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2621% → 25%
Q2 2:26
4TH & 15
OPP 33
0
79.3%
pass incomplete to Jabriel JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
74.6%
Akron Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joey Hunter) to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
73.8%
Jarin Davis run for 1 yd to the AKR 42Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+14
73.8%
Dominique Anthony pass complete to Matt Lowe for 14 yds to the AKR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
72.7%
Jarin Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 32
-1
73.9%
Dominique Anthony run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 33
0
75.2%
pass incomplete to Anthony James Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 0:5087% → 87%
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
86.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 29 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
84.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 5 yds to the AKR 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+20
85.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 20 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
86.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 13 yds Jeff Undercuffler Jr. fumbled, recovered by AKR Jasaiah Gathings for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
86.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jake Newell for 5 yds to the MORG 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-5
86.5%
Akron Penalty, false start (Brian Kilbane) to the MORG 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:1411% → 10%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-50
89.3%
Devonte Golden-Nelson 50 Yd Interception Return (Noah Perez Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.8%
Jarin Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
89.7%
Dominique Anthony pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 11 yds to the MORG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 12:29
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
89.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 15PUNT
1 play · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 10:59
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
90.9%
Shane Messenger punt for 34 yds , Bobby Golden returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Bobby Golden fumbled, recovered by MORG Jeremiah Wynn , return to the 50 yard line , return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5110% → 10%
Q3 9:28
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+5
89.7%
Akron Penalty, off-side (Darrian Lewis) to the AKR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
88.8%
Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
88.8%
pass incomplete to Treveyon PrattSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+3
89.3%
Duce Taylor pass complete to Avery Jones for 3 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 7
OPP 36
-5
89.8%
Morgan State Penalty, delay of game (Jarin Davis) to the AKR 41Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
90.2%
Shane Messenger punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17INT
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 18TD
1 play · 31 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
75.5%
Duce Taylor pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 31 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19INT
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 20TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
50.6%
Duce Taylor pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 12 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 21PUNT
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q4 14:50
4TH & 23
OPP 34
0
54.8%
Dante Jackson punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 22INT
10 plays · 60 yds · 10:0761% → 94%
Q4 10:07
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
39.5%
Duce Taylor pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
4.7%
Jarin Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+17
4.7%
Duce Taylor pass complete to Jarin Davis for 17 yds to the MORG 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
4.7%
Duce Taylor pass complete to Avery Jones for 12 yds to the MORG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
4.2%
Jarin Davis run for 15 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
4.9%
Jarin Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
4.0%
Duce Taylor pass incomplete to Treveyon PrattSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+16
4.3%
Duce Taylor pass complete to Keith Jenkins Jr. for 16 yds to the AKR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
5.6%
Duce Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
5.7%
Duce Taylor pass incomplete to Ja'Son PrevardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 8:5750% → 26%
Q4 8:57
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
50.0%
Noah Perez 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
29.6%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the MORG 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+2
29.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Bobby Golden for 2 yds to the MORG 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
26.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings, broken up by Jae'Veyon MortonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:5670% → 95%
Q4 4:56
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
30.0%
Shane Messenger punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
4.7%
Jarin Davis run for 10 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
4.3%
Jarin Davis run for 4 yds to the MORG 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
5.3%
Jarin Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+6
5.2%
Duce Taylor run for 6 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
4.9%
Jarin Davis run for 1 yd to the AKR 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
4.9%
Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the AKR 42Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
5.1%
pass incomplete to Treveyon PrattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25INT
11 plays · 69 yds · 2:3841% → 24%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
40.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
44.3%
pass incomplete to Caleb AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
41.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the MORG 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
44.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 15 yds to the MORG 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
42.5%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
41.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
17.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 16 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
20.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+4
17.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 4 yds to the AKR 38Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+13
19.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 13 yds to the MORG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
23.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 12 yds to the MORG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 26FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0486% → 18%
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
13.6%
Jarin Davis run for 1 yd to the MORG 21Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+13
82.7%
Bryan McCoy 13 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Perez Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:2721% → 18%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.0%
pass incomplete to Treveyon PrattSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
79.3%
Duce Taylor pass incomplete to Daymond HamlerSimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
82.0%
pass incomplete to Andre CrawleySimilar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 10
OWN 36
-4
83.2%
Duce Taylor sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 32Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
81.8%
Duce Taylor pass complete to for 10 yds to the MORG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:52
Bryan McCoy 13 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Perez Kick)
+69.2
TD · Q3 1:55
Duce Taylor pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 12 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)
-32
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com