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TXSO

Texas Southern 3 at Toledo 71

TOL
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:30 · Emilio Duran punt for 38 yds, downed at the TXSO 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+29.4Home team on offense+30.1Score differential+26.5Blowout margin+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Garbage-time factor+9.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:12: Peny Boone run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:42: Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 37 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:55: Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:37: Peny Boone run for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:44: Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 16 yds for a TD Texas Southern Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WILLIAMS, Jacob of (Jacob Williams) to the TXSO 0 (Luke Pawlak KICK) — TOL win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TXSO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:04TXSO 4th & 15 at TXSO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31TXSO 4th & 5 at TXSO 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:47TXSO 4th & 16 at TXSO 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:55TXSO 4th & 14 at TOL 16, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49TXSO 4th & 13 at TXSO 7, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:44TXSO 4th & 5 at TXSO 30, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:30TOL 4th & 8 at TXSO 45, up 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:33TXSO 4th & 22 at TXSO 18, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:12TXSO 4th & 12 at TXSO 33, down 61
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:01TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:12TOL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:42TOL Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55TOL Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:37TOL Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:44TOL Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:20TOL Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:02TOL Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:38TOL Touchdown, up 60 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:42TOL Touchdown, up 67 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TXSO 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
Texas Southern Penalty, False Start (Aidan Hemphill) to the TXSO 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Patrick Hellen punt for 37 yds, downed at the TOL 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:0399% → 99%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
98.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 1 yd to the TOL 47Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+17
98.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 17 yds to the TXSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
98.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 12 yds to the TXSO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
98.8%
Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the TXSO 18Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
98.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the TXSO 15Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+7
98.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 7 yds to the TXSO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.8%
Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the TXSO 1Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd for a TD (A. Torres Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:042% → 2%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.5%
Jacorey Howard run for 2 yds to the TXSO 19Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
98.5%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+8
98.5%
Jace Wilson run for 8 yds to the TXSO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.5%
Jace Wilson pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 3 yds to the TXSO 30Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Jace Wilson run for no gain to the TXSO 30Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+2
98.5%
Jacorey Howard run for 2 yds to the TXSO 32Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Patrick Hellen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Adam BealeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1998% → 98%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.3%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the TOL 38Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
98.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 1 yd to the TOL 39Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+13
98.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 13 yds to the TXSO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.4%
Texas Southern Penalty, Offsides (Elinus Noel III) to the TXSO 43Similar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+21
98.4%
Texas Southern Penalty, Personal Foul (Calvin Henderson) to the TXSO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-9
98.4%
Dequan Finn run for a loss of 9 yards to the TXSO 20 Dequan Finn fumbled, recovered by TOL Dequan FinnSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 19
OPP 20
+19
98.1%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Justin Stephens for 19 yds to the TXSO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:252% → 2%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.3%
LaDarius Owens run for 11 yds to the TXSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.3%
Jace Wilson pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 9 yds to the TXSO 45Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
98.2%
Jace Wilson pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 6 yds to the TOL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
98.2%
Jace Wilson sacked by Cavon Butler and Martez Poynter for a loss of 2 yards to the TXSO 49Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+11
98.3%
Jace Wilson pass complete to AJ Bennett for 11 yds to the TOL 40Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-10
98.2%
QB Keeper WILSON, Jace rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the TOL31 (GANT, Dallas). PENALTY TSU Holding on HEMPHILL, Aiden enforced 10 yards from the TOL40 to the TSU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 11
50
-5
98.3%
Jace Wilson sacked by Judge Culpepper for a loss of 5 yards to the TXSO 45Similar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
97.9%
punt blocked by Doran Ray Jr., recovered by TSU Jacorey Howard at the TOL 48, return for 0 yds. PENALTY TSU Personal Foul on Jacorey Howard, enforced 15 yds from the end of the play at the TOL 48 to the TSU 37. Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6TD
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
98.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 37 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Jace Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.8%
QB Keeper GLEASON, Tucker rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the TSU6 (PIPPENS, Viramontes;PORTER, DeMichael). PENALTY Before the snap, TSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the TSU10 to the TSU5. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0699% → 99%
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.8%
Jerjuan Newton run for 2 yds to the TXSO 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 9FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:001% → 1%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Jacorey Howard run for 3 yds to the TXSO 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+23
99.3%
Jace Wilson pass complete to Quay Davis for 23 yds to the TOL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.2%
Jacorey Howard run for 7 yds to the TOL 42Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
99.2%
Jace Wilson run for 3 yds to the TOL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.2%
Jacorey Howard run for 3 yds to the TOL 36Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+11
99.2%
Toledo Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeremiah Peters) to the TOL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
99.2%
WILSON, Jace pass to the right incomplete intended for OWENS, LaDarius thrown to the TOL3. PENALTY TSU Holding on BROWN, III, Thomas enforced 10 yards from the TOL12 to the TOL22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+6
99.2%
Jace Wilson run for 6 yds to the TOL 16Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 14
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+34
99.0%
Curtis Falkenburg 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.6%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the TOL 33Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+25
98.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 25 yds to the TXSO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
98.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to CC Ezirim for 25 yds to the TXSO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.0%
Peny Boone run for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
99.5%
Jace Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXSO 9Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-7
99.5%
Jace Wilson sacked by Terrance Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the TXSO 2Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+5
99.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 5 yds to the TXSO 7Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
99.5%
Patrick Hellen punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 10 yds to the TXSO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the TXSO 27Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
99.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Cooper Rusk for 6 yds to the TXSO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 5 yds to the TXSO 16Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 16 yds for a TD Texas Southern Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WILLIAMS, Jacob of (Jacob Williams) to the TXSO 0 (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 13FUMBLE
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.6%
Jace Wilson run for 9 yds to the TXSO 21Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+4
99.6%
LaDarius Owens run for 4 yds to the TXSO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
LaDarius Owens run for 11 yds to the TXSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.6%
LaDarius Owens run for 2 yds to the TXSO 38Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+31
99.6%
Jace Wilson pass complete to Derek Morton for 31 yds to the TOL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.6%
LaDarius Owens run for 2 yds to the TOL 29Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-8
99.6%
Jace Wilson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TOL 37, fumble on the sack (forced by Judge Culpepper), recovered by TOL Judge Culpepper at the TOL 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.6%
Micah Kelly run for 1 yd to the TOL 38Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
99.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Micah Kelly for 5 yds to the TOL 43Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
99.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 6 yds to the TOL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.7%
Micah Kelly run for 7 yds to the TXSO 44Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+41
99.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to CC Ezirim for 41 yds to the TXSO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Dalton Andrews for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Jacorey Howard run for 4 yds to the TXSO 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Jacorey Howard run for 4 yds to the TXSO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Cooper Rusk for 4 yds to the TOL 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
99.8%
Connor Walendzak run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 39Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+11
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Cooper Rusk for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.8%
Toledo Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the TOL 45Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+7
99.8%
Connor Walendzak run for 7 yds to the TXSO 48Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+12
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 12 yds to the TXSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Don Munnerlyn for 14 yds to the TXSO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.8%
Willie Shaw III run for 6 yds to the TXSO 16Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+5
99.8%
Willie Shaw III run for 5 yds to the TXSO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.8%
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the TXSO 10Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Larry Stephens for 10 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
LaDarius Owens run for 2 yds to the TXSO 27Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Jace Wilson pass complete to AJ Bennett for 3 yds to the TXSO 30Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Patrick Hellen punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the TOL 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+63
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 73 yds Toledo Penalty, Offensive Holding (Don Munnerlyn) to the TOL 21Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 16
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the TOL 25Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
GLEASON, Tucker pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to EZIRIM, CC caught at the TOL38 and advanced to the TOL38 (HENDERSON, Calvin). PENALTY TSU Personal Foul on COOK, Quinton enforced 15 yards from the TOL38 to the TSU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Connor Walendzak run for 5 yds to the TXSO 42Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-3
99.9%
Connor Walendzak run for a loss of 3 yards to the TXSO 45Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Emilio Duran punt for 38 yds, downed at the TXSO 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:570% → 0%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
99.9%
Jacorey Howard run for 10 yds to the TXSO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TXSO 17Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.9%
Jacorey Howard run for 8 yds to the TXSO 25Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
LaDarius Owens run for 5 yds to the TXSO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
LaDarius Owens run for no gain to the TXSO 30Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-12
99.9%
Jace Wilson sacked by Jeremiah Peters for a loss of 12 yards to the TXSO 18Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 22
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Patrick Hellen punt for 41 yds, downed at the TOL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 6 yds to the TOL 47Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 6 yds to the TXSO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TXSO 45Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+16
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jediyah Willoughby for 16 yds to the TXSO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TXSO 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Tucker Gleason run for 6 yds to the TXSO 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
99.9%
Texas Southern Penalty, Face mask (2 yards) (Elinus Noel III) to the TXSO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Mike Drennen II run for 1 yd to the TXSO 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Cooper Rusk for 10 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
100.0%
Da'Veon Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the TXSO 32Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Jace Wilson pass complete to Tavaris Achane for 6 yds to the TXSO 38Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Jace Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-5
100.0%
Texas Southern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TXSO 33Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Patrick Hellen punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Julian Allen at the TOL 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 7:30100% → 100%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Mike Drennen II run for 3 yds to the TOL 18Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+33
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Cooper Rusk for 33 yds to the TXSO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Mike Drennen II run for 2 yds to the TXSO 47Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Mike Drennen II run for 8 yds to the TXSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Bryce McMahon run for 1 yd to the TXSO 38Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Mike Drennen II for 9 yds to the TXSO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Mike Drennen II run for 4 yds to the TXSO 25Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Bryce McMahon run for 7 yds to the TXSO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.9%
Bryce McMahon run for 1 yd to the TXSO 17Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Mike Drennen II run for 3 yds to the TXSO 14Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+7
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Mike Drennen II for 7 yds to the TXSO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Mike Drennen II run for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Quigley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 62 yds · 4:420% → 0%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Jordan Davis run for 12 yds to the TXSO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
100.0%
Da'Veon Ford run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
50
+6
100.0%
Da'Veon Ford run for 6 yds to the TOL 44Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Da'Veon Ford run for 5 yds to the TOL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
100.0%
Da'Veon Ford run for 6 yds to the TOL 33Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+10
100.0%
Jordan Davis run for 10 yds to the TOL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
100.0%
Da'Veon Ford run for 6 yds to the TOL 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
Jordan Davis run for 4 yds to the TOL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:42
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 37 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 14:55
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 9:37
Peny Boone run for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com