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UNH

New Hampshire 42 at Central Michigan 45

CMU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadUNH aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreUNH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:26 · Jake Walrath punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dylan Laube at the UNH 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Home team on offense+19.9Pregame prior+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Garbage-time factor+15.1Score differential+3.0Time remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:10: Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 21 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — UNH win probability +11.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Defense has -2 timeouts left).
  2. TD · Q3 3:51: Myles Thomason run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — UNH win probability +9.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:58: Dylan Laube run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — UNH win probability +11.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:14: Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 71 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — UNH win probability +40.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Tristan Mattson 47 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +32.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 1:54UNH 4th & 11 at UNH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:52CMU 4th & 5 at UNH 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:10CMU 4th & 5 at UNH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:36UNH 4th & 8 at UNH 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:57UNH 4th & 11 at CMU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:01CMU 4th & 16 at CMU 43, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:44CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:03UNH 4th & 5 at UNH 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:03CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:03CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:56UNH 4th & 8 at UNH 32, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:32UNH 4th & 10 at CMU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:26CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44CMU 4th & 1 at UNH 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−8.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−15.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00CMU 4th & 5 at UNH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−13.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−24.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:02CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:58UNH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:23CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:41UNH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:10CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:10UNH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:13CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:51UNH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:08CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:58UNH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:14UNH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4968% → 68%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.6%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
67.6%
Myles Bailey run for 12 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
67.5%
Jr. Bert Emanuel sacked by Dylan Ruiz for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 34Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+66
68.1%
Bert Emanuel Jr. 66 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:5332% → 35%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 3 yds to the UNH 28Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
68.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for no gain to the UNH 28Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
68.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 10 yds to the UNH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.2%
Dylan Laube run for 3 yds to the UNH 41Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+13
68.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 13 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
68.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to DJ Linkins for 10 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
68.4%
Heron Maurisseau run for 9 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
68.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 5 yds to the CMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
68.2%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Joey CorcoranSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
68.2%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Logan TomlinsonSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+5
68.6%
(07:52) Shotgun Brosmer,Max pass intercepted by Rikard,Elijah at CMU00, Touchback PENALTY CMU Offside (White,Maurice) 5 yards from CMU22 to CMU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+9
68.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 9 yds to the CMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.2%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Kyle LepkowskiSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
65.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 8 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3INT
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:5467% → 67%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.8%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
66.9%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass complete to Jr. Stephan Bracey for 1 yd to the CMU 28Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+32
66.3%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass complete to Chris Parker for 32 yds to the UNH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
67.6%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the UNH 37Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+6
67.7%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 6 yds to the UNH 31Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
67.6%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the UNH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
68.0%
Jr. Bert Emanuel sacked by Ryan Toscano for a loss of 6 yards to the UNH 34Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 16
OPP 34
0
67.4%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5734% → 34%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
65.8%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
65.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Joey CorcoranSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+1
65.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 1 yd to the UNH 33Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 11
OWN 33
+12
66.2%
Sean Lehane punt for 52 yds , Jr. Stephan Bracey returns for 12 yds to the CMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1967% → 73%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+56
66.7%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass complete to Chris Parker for 56 yds to the UNH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
68.3%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the UNH 17Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
68.3%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 3 yds to the UNH 14Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+9
67.8%
B.J. Harris run for 9 yds to the UNH 5 B.J. Harris fumbled, recovered by CMU B.J. Harris for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. 5 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 6INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2229% → 29%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.7%
Dylan Laube run for no gain to the UNH 25Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to DJ Linkins for 4 yds to the UNH 29Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.2%
Max Brosmer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5872% → 71%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
50
0
71.9%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
50
0
71.6%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 10
50
+5
70.8%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass complete to Marion Lukes for 5 yds to the UNH 45Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
70.9%
Jake Walrath punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 8TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:0436% → 37%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
63.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 80 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
63.3%
(11:41) Mazzie,Nick kickoff 52 yards to the CMU13 Lukes,Marion return 9 yards to the CMU22 (Seide,Isaac) PENALTY UNH Offside (Thompson,Derek) 5 yards from UNH35 to UNH30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:4228% → 30%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
71.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Kyle Lepkowski for 14 yds to the UNH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
70.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 28 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
69.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Josh Fillion for 9 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
69.2%
Myles Thomason run for no gain to the CMU 24Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+8
70.4%
Max Brosmer run for 8 yds to the CMU 29 Dylan Laube fumbled, recovered by CMU Maurice WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:1976% → 85%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
75.7%
Myles Bailey run for 24 yds to the UNH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
77.6%
Myles Bailey run for 7 yds to the UNH 40Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
77.7%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the UNH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
78.1%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
78.0%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 5 yds to the UNH 31Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
77.5%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for no gain to the UNH 31Similar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+31
85.1%
Tyson Davis 31 Yd pass from Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2820% → 19%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
80.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 17 yds to the UNH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
80.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Dylan LaubeSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
80.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 2 yds to the UNH 44Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
80.6%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Joey CorcoranSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+6
81.2%
Sean Lehane punt for 53 yds , Jr. Stephan Bracey returns for 6 yds to the CMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5087% → 87%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
86.9%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 11Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+11
86.4%
Myles Bailey run for 11 yds to the CMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
86.6%
Jr. Bert Emanuel sacked by Neil Politano for a loss of 11 yards to the CMU 11Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 21
OWN 11
0
87.0%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 21
OWN 11
0
87.0%
Central Michigan Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:1619% → 28%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
81.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Dylan LaubeSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
81.1%
PENALTY UNH False Start (Poirier,Dylan) 5 yards from CMU33 to CMU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
82.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Dylan LaubeSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+17
83.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 17 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
71.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 21 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:5579% → 75%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
79.1%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 8 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+9
79.5%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 9 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
80.3%
(00:47) Shotgun Emanuel, Jr.,Bert pass incomplete short right to Bracey, Jr.,Stephan QB hurried by Williams,Zedane PENALTY CMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Smith,Keegan) 5 yards from CMU43 to CMU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+1
79.5%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 37Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 16
OWN 37
0
77.4%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
75.4%
Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+18
75.1%
Jake Walrath punt for 51 yds , Dylan Laube returns for 18 yds to the UNH 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:4927% → 24%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
73.2%
Dylan Laube run for 1 yd to the UNH 29Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
73.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Kyle Lepkowski for 8 yds to the UNH 37Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+20
72.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 20 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
71.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Myles Thomason for 3 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
71.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 8 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
69.9%
Dylan Laube run for 1 yd to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
71.4%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to DJ LinkinsSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
74.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Kyle LepkowskiSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+50
75.9%
Nick Mazzie 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:2777% → 90%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
76.8%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 32Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+17
76.5%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Bailey,Myles rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU32 (Toscano,Ryan; Kapongo,Nate) PENALTY UNH Block Below Waist (Shaw,Bryce) 17 yards from CMU32 to CMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
78.9%
Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CMU 40Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+3
78.9%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 16
OWN 43
0
78.1%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Jr. Stephan BraceySimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 16
OWN 43
+17
77.2%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 17 yds to the UNH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+36
80.7%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass complete to Chris Parker for 36 yds to the UNH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
82.5%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the UNH 1Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.6%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the UNH 1Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1013% → 23%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
87.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 22 yds to the UNH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
86.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Colby Ramshaw for 13 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
86.2%
Dylan Laube run for 21 yds to the CMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
85.7%
Heron Maurisseau run for 1 yd to the CMU 18Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
86.2%
Max Brosmer run for 6 yds to the CMU 12Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
76.7%
Myles Thomason run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:5781% → 84%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.4%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 5 yds to the CMU 20Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
81.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Tyson Davis for 11 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
81.1%
(03:08) Shotgun Emanuel, Jr.,Bert pass incomplete deep left to Davis,Tyson PENALTY UNH Roughing The Passer (Perkins,Brandon) 15 yards from CMU31 to CMU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.4%
B.J. Harris run for no gain to the CMU 46Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
83.9%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 6
50
+2
84.0%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 2 yds to the UNH 48Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 4
OPP 48
-5
84.9%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (Walrath,Jake) 5 yards from UNH48 to CMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
84.2%
Jake Walrath punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dylan Laube at the UNH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5717% → 14%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
82.8%
Dylan Laube run for 1 yd to the UNH 11Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
83.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+4
83.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Myles Thomason for 4 yds to the UNH 15Similar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
85.9%
Sean Lehane punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jr. Stephan Bracey at the CMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:0088% → 86%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
87.5%
Shotgun Emanuel, Jr.,Bert rush right for 2 yards gain to the CMU43 (Collins Jr.,Jonathan), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (Swartout,Brayden) 10 yards from CMU41 to CMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+9
86.6%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the CMU 40Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
87.1%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+22
86.3%
Jake Walrath punt for 43 yds , Dylan Laube returns for 22 yds to the UNH 9Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+22
86.3%
Jake Walrath punt for 43 yds , Dylan Laube returns for 22 yds to the UNH 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0714% → 13%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
86.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to DJ Linkins for 21 yds to the UNH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
85.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 7 yds to the UNH 37Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
83.9%
Max Brosmer sacked by Jacques Bristol for a loss of 5 yards to the UNH 32Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
86.5%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Myles ThomasonSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
86.8%
Caleb Burke pass incomplete to Joe EichmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:4891% → 96%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
90.8%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the UNH 32Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
90.8%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Jr. Stephan BraceySimilar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+32
96.4%
Jesse Prewitt III 32 Yd pass from Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:035% → 17%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.0%
(09:07) Shotgun Brosmer,Max pass complete short right to Thomason,Myles for 1 yard to the UNH26 (Whiteside,Justin) PENALTY UNH Holding (Desta,Yodhe) 10 yards from UNH25 to UNH15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+14
95.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 14 yds to the UNH 29Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
94.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
95.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 6 yds to the UNH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.0%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Brosmer,Max pass incomplete deep right to Corcoran,Joey PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Rikard,Elijah) 15 yards from UNH35 to UNH50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
50
+10
94.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Josh Fillion for 10 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to DJ LinkinsSimilar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
95.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
95.2%
Josh Fillion pass incomplete to Josh FillionSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+37
95.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 37 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.7%
(06:06) Shotgun Brosmer,Max pass incomplete short right to Linkins,D.J. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Rikard,Elijah) 1 yard from CMU03 to CMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.2%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4291% → 92%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
90.6%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 29Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
90.8%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+9
92.8%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 9 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
91.6%
Jake Walrath punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dylan Laube at the UNH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 25TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
51.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 71 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 3:0160% → 96%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.8%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Tyson DavisSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
58.7%
Myles Bailey run for 11 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
61.7%
Myles Bailey run for 8 yds to the CMU 47Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
63.0%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the CMU 47Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+8
61.4%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down New Hampshire Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Zedane Williams) to the UNH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.8%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Tyson DavisSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
63.4%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 5 yds to the UNH 42Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
63.1%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 4 yds to the UNH 38Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
60.5%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for 4 yds to the UNH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
67.2%
Jr. Bert Emanuel pass incomplete to Tyson DavisSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
67.1%
Jr. Bert Emanuel run for no gain to the UNH 34Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+5
63.4%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the UNH 29Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
95.7%
Tristan Mattson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:14
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 71 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-40.1
FG · Q4 0:00
Tristan Mattson 47 yd FG GOOD
+32.8
TD · Q2 1:10
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 21 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com