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LIU

Long Island University 10 at Ohio 27

OHIO
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:48 · Jared Wheatley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the LIU 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+27.1Home team on offense+25.9Score differential+14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+15.6Garbage-time factor+8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:30: CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 3 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:21: Parker Navarro pass complete to Bryce Butler for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:50: Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:21: Luca Stanzani pass complete to Davon Wells for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Coney KICK) — LIU win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: LIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:21: Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31 — OHIO win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:54LIU 4th & 1 at LIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:57LIU 4th & 13 at OHIO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:44OHIO 4th & 4 at LIU 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49LIU 4th & 11 at LIU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:16LIU 4th & 1 at LIU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:21LIU 4th & 1 at OHIO 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:13LIU 4th & 11 at LIU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:48OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:13OHIO 4th & 7 at LIU 8, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:25LIU 4th & 6 at LIU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53OHIO 4th & 6 at LIU 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:43LIU 4th & 21 at LIU 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:41OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:59LIU 4th & 13 at OHIO 40, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    34% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LIU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 10:30OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:21OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:50OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:21LIU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIUDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 6:572% → 3%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Davon Wells for 5 yds to the LIU 37Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
97.9%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
97.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Owen Glascoe for 4 yds to the LIU 41Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
97.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Quincy McDuffie for 19 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.9%
Davon Wells run for 5 yds to the OHIO 6Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
97.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Owen Glascoe for no gain to the OHIO 6Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-8
97.9%
Luca Stanzani sacked by Rayyan Buell for a loss of 8 yards to the OHIO 14Similar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
97.9%
Maurice Smith run for 2 yds to the LIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
97.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Davon Wells for 13 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
97.9%
Luca Stanzani run for 9 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
97.9%
Ohio Penalty, Offsides (Bryce Houston) to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
96.9%
Michael Coney 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:1397% → 96%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+13
96.9%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 13 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
96.9%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
50
+4
97.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the LIU 46Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+20
97.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 20 yds to the LIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
97.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 13 yds to the LIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
97.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the LIU 10Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-1
97.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 11Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+5
97.0%
HARRIS, CJ pass to the right incomplete intended for CROSS, Miles broken up by NARTEY, Caleb at the LIU0. PENALTY LIU Offsides on O'NEILL, Eric enforced 5 yards from the LIU11 to the LIU6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-1
97.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 7Similar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
96.1%
Gianni Spetic 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:554% → 4%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.1%
Pat Bowen run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 24Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
96.1%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
96.0%
Will Lynch punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 6:1996% → 96%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
96.0%
CJ Harris run for 23 yds to the LIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
96.1%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+4
95.7%
CJ Harris pass complete to Keegan Wilburn for 4 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+8
95.6%
CJ Harris run for 8 yds to the LIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
95.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the LIU 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
95.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the LIU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
95.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the LIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
95.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the LIU 6Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
94.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the LIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.7%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 3 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:145% → 5%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.4%
HOWELL, Chris pass to the left complete for 10 yards to RHODES, Zach caught at the LIU32 and advanced to the LIU35 (WEAVER, Bradley). PENALTY LIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BATTEN, Elias enforced 5 yards from the LIU25 to the LIU20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
95.5%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Quincy McDuffie for 3 yds to the LIU 23Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
95.6%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Zachary Rhodes for 11 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
95.2%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Owen Glascoe for a loss of 2 yards to the LIU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:5595% → 98%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
95.3%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 35Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+10
95.2%
Parker Navarro run for 10 yds to the LIU 25Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
95.2%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the LIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
95.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the LIU 20Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+7
95.3%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the LIU 13Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
95.2%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the LIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Bryce Butler for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 7INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:293% → 4%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.7%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Zachary Rhodes for 9 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
96.3%
Ohio Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryce Houston) to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.3%
Pat Bowen run for 3 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
96.3%
Luca Stanzani run for 6 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+5
96.3%
Pat Bowen run for 5 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.1%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
96.1%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 1 yd to the OHIO 32Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
95.9%
Luca Stanzani pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:3297% → 97%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
97.4%
Long Island University Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
97.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 13 yds to the LIU 47 Sieh Bangura fumbled, recovered by LIU Ja'Nyus MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 9FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:094% → 5%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
96.0%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Quincy McDuffie for 21 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
95.4%
Pat Bowen run for 3 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+41
94.7%
Michael Coney 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1096% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 14 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
96.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
96.3%
Tyler Walton run for 7 yds to the LIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
96.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the LIU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
96.3%
NAVARRO, Parker pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WINTERS, Jacob thrown to the LIU12. PENALTY LIU Offsides on LUMPKINS, Qualil enforced 5 yards from the LIU43 to the LIU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+6
96.3%
Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the LIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.2%
Luca Stanzani sacked by Adonis Williams Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LIU 18Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+6
98.2%
Chris Howell run for 6 yds to the LIU 24Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.2%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
98.3%
Will Lynch punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:2099% → 99%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.5%
CJ Harris run for 5 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
98.6%
CJ Harris pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
98.6%
CJ Harris sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 8 yards to the OHIO 40Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 18
OWN 40
-5
98.6%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sieh Bangura for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 35Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 23
OWN 35
+8
98.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Jared Wheatley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the LIU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:392% → 2%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.3%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 8 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
98.2%
Luca Stanzani pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIU 13Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+8
99.1%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the LIU 5Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-3
99.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 8Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
99.4%
Gianni Spetic 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.7%
Ethan Greenwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 24Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
98.7%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Owen Glascoe for 5 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Will Lynch punt for 30 yds, downed at the OHIO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 7 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
99.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the LIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-10
99.5%
ALLISON, O'Shaan rush to the right for a gain of 18 yards to the LIU28 (NARTEY, Caleb;HIBBERT, Leisaan). PENALTY OHI Holding on ATKINSON, Christophe enforced 10 yards from the LIU46 to the OHI44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+11
99.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 11 yds to the LIU 45Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+3
99.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the LIU 42Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+5
99.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the LIU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 3:101% → 1%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.0%
Davon Wells run for 8 yds to the LIU 45Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
99.0%
Chris Howell run for 4 yds to the LIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.0%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
99.0%
Chris Howell run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIU 46Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 46
-8
99.1%
Luca Stanzani run for a loss of 8 yards to the LIU 38Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 21
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Will Lynch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:28100% → 99%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 32Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
99.7%
Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Parker Navarro pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
99.0%
STANZANI, Luca scrambles up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the OHI27, End of Play. PENALTY LIU Holding on BATTEN, Elias enforced 10 yards from the OHI35 to the OHI45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:541% → 3%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+7
99.2%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 7 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+4
99.1%
Luca Stanzani run for 4 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+19
99.1%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 19 yds to the OHIO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
96.8%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Davon Wells for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Coney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4099% → 100%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Jared Wheatley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the LIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:422% → 2%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.3%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Davon Wells for 5 yds to the LIU 40Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+12
98.3%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 12 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.3%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 5 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
98.5%
STANZANI, Luca pass to the right incomplete thrown to the OHI35. PENALTY LIU Holding on BATTEN, Elias OHI Holding on WOOD, Jeremiah , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+6
98.5%
Pat Bowen run for 6 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Luca Stanzani run for no gain to the OHIO 37Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
98.4%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 8 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-11
98.4%
Luca Stanzani sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 11 yards to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 13
OPP 40
+12
98.5%
Luca Stanzani run for 12 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.6%
[NH] Kneel down by HARRIS, CJ at OHI26 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
99.5%
[NH] Kneel down by HARRIS, CJ at OHI24 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:21
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31
+2.5
TD · Q2 4:21
Parker Navarro pass complete to Bryce Butler for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q3 11:50
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com