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HOW

Howard 23 at Eastern Michigan 33

EMU
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.1EMU 96.2%Aaron Bickerton 38 Yd Field GoalAWAY 9 - HOME 30 · Q2 0:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:32 · Aaron Bickerton 38 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+25.5Home team on offense+17.1Score differential+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:20: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 08:20 — HOW win probability +2.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:20: Tanner Knue 20 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Kenyon Bowyer Kick) — EMU win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:32: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 09:32 — EMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:00: Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 23 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK) — HOW win probability +12.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:04: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 04:04 — HOW win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HOW made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:10HOW 4th & 6 at HOW 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14HOW 4th & 3 at EMU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28EMU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:51HOW 4th & 2 at HOW 33, down 16
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:36HOW 4th & 8 at EMU 32, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:57EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26HOW 4th & 1 at EMU 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32HOW 4th & 18 at EMU 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:10EMU 4th & 10 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:43EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:27EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:33HOW 4th & 26 at HOW 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:04EMU 4th & 1 at HOW 7, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:07HOW 4th & 20 at HOW 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HOW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:17EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:07EMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20EMU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:45HOW Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:00HOW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4124% → 28%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
75.8%
Kasey Hawthorne run for 27 yds to the HOW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
72.5%
Ian Wheeler run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
50
+21
71.6%
Ian Wheeler run for 21 yds to the EMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+26
69.2%
Ian Wheeler run for 26 yds to the EMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.4%
Ian Wheeler run for no gain to the EMU 3Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
68.1%
PENALTY HOW False Start (Hines,Jamal) 5 yards from EMU03 to EMU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
67.8%
Kasey Hawthorne run for 6 yds to the EMU 2Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.9%
Kasey Hawthorne 2 Yd Run (Dylan West Kick)Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
71.9%
PENALTY EMU Leaping (Hines,Tristen) 15 yards from HOW35 to HOW50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:508% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.9%
PENALTY HOW Delay Of Game 5 yards from HOW25 to HOW20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
91.9%
Eden James run for 9 yds to the HOW 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
91.8%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Nah'shawn HezekiahSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
91.8%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie IlarrazaSimilar
Q1 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+29
91.7%
Aaron Bickerton punt for 50 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 29 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:4192% → 92%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
50
+21
91.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 21 yds to the HOW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
91.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the HOW 26Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
91.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the HOW 20Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+16
91.4%
Samson Evans run for 16 yds to the HOW 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.3%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the HOW 2Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.6%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Kenyon Bowyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:549% → 9%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
91.4%
Eden James run for 1 yd to the HOW 17Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+55
91.3%
Eden James run for 55 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
90.9%
Quinton Williams run for 5 yds to the EMU 33 Quinton Williams fumbled, recovered by HOW Quinton WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 15
OPP 33
-5
91.0%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass incomplete deep left to Ebron,Jamarr PENALTY HOW False Start 5 yards from EMU33 to EMU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+11
91.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 11 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+6
90.8%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 6 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 3
OPP 21
0
90.8%
Ian Wheeler run for no gain to the EMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:4091% → 90%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
90.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
90.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
90.7%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+10
90.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 10 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
90.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
90.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 6 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
90.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 2
50
0
90.6%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 2
50
0
90.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamarr Ebron at the HOW 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6SF
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:0410% → 10%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
90.0%
Eden James run for 1 yd to the HOW 9Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
89.9%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Jr. Wayne DennisSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 11
OWN 9
-4
90.0%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass complete short right to James,Eden for 11 yards to the HOW20 (Jefferson,Justin; Hernandez,Korey) PENALTY HOW Holding (Fox,Darius) 4 yards from HOW09 to HOW05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
89.9%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to One WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 15
OWN 5
+5
90.5%
A. Bickerton run for 5 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:129% → 9%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Eden JamesSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.4%
Kasey Hawthorne run for 6 yds to the HOW 31Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
91.3%
Kasey Hawthorne run for 2 yds to the HOW 33Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
91.3%
Aaron Bickerton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1993% → 96%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.7%
Bryson Moss run for 8 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
92.8%
PENALTY HOW Offside (Martin III,Emerson) 5 yards from EMU33 to EMU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
93.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 16 yds to the HOW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
93.1%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the HOW 40Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+8
93.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 8 yds to the HOW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jere GetzingerSimilar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
93.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 9 yds to the HOW 23Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
93.2%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the HOW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.1%
Tanner Knue 20 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Kenyon Bowyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:235% → 7%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.1%
Ian Wheeler run for 7 yds to the HOW 27Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
95.2%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 2 yds to the HOW 25Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
95.5%
Quinton Williams pass complete to One Williams for 5 yds to the HOW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
95.4%
Ian Wheeler run for 1 yd to the HOW 31Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+69
93.1%
Jamarr Ebron 69 Yd pass from Quinton Williams (Dylan West PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 10DOWNS
15 plays · 45 yds · 3:564% → 4%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.7%
PENALTY HOW False Start (Harris,Gavin) 5 yards from HOW25 to HOW20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
95.7%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Gavin Harris for 13 yds to the HOW 33Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.5%
Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the HOW 34Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.7%
Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the HOW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.5%
Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the HOW 41Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
95.4%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie IlarrazaSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
95.5%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass incomplete short left to Ilarraza,Richie QB hurried by Jefferson,Justin PENALTY EMU Personal Foul (Jefferson,Justin) 15 yards from HOW41 to EMU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.2%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Breylin SmithSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
95.4%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Jamarr Ebron for 10 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.2%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Nah'shawn HezekiahSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
95.2%
Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
95.4%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Jr. Wayne DennisSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+2
95.6%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 2 yds to the EMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1998% → 98%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
97.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 4 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
97.3%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
97.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 6 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 2:294% → 4%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.1%
Eden James run for 3 yds to the HOW 38Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
96.2%
Quinton Williams pass complete to One Williams for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
50
+7
96.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 7 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
95.7%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to One WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
95.9%
Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
96.0%
Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.8%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.5%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Eden JamesSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
95.6%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass incomplete deep middle to Smith,Breylin PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Hernandez,Korey) 14 yards from EMU27 to EMU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.5%
Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-5
95.5%
PENALTY HOW False Start (Hines,Jamal) 5 yards from EMU11 to EMU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 13
OPP 16
-5
95.8%
Quinton Williams sacked by Tim Grant-Randall for a loss of 5 yards to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 18
OPP 21
0
96.1%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Nah'shawn HezekiahSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
96.2%
Aaron Bickerton 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.5%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14Uncategorized
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3997% → 97%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
97.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 32Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+18
97.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 49Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+6
97.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the HOW 45Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
97.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 5
OPP 45
-5
97.0%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Cameron,Luke) 5 yards from HOW45 to HOW50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 10
50
0
97.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2793% → 93%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for no gain to the EMU 25Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
93.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HOW 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3510% → 22%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.3%
Eden James run for 4 yds to the HOW 42Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
90.0%
Eden James run for 5 yds to the HOW 47Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
89.8%
Breylin Smith run for 6 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.9%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Jamarr EbronSimilar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
90.3%
Eden James run for 12 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
89.2%
Eden James run for 8 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
89.5%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to AJ ChandlerSimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
90.0%
Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
78.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 23 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1887% → 86%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
86.9%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+4
86.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 4 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+5
85.9%
PENALTY HOW Offside (White,Ian) 5 yards from EMU28 to EMU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
86.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
85.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 26 yds · 4:4615% → 12%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
85.1%
Kasey Hawthorne run for 1 yd to the HOW 18Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
85.4%
Howard Penalty, Illegal Formation (Jr. Kenny Gallop) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+12
86.3%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 12 yds to the HOW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.5%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Brennan BrownSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.1%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 9 yds to the HOW 39Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
82.9%
Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
85.1%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass incomplete deep left to Harris,Gavin PENALTY HOW Illegal Formation (Weatherspoon,Da'Metrius) 5 yards from HOW42 to HOW37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+7
86.3%
Jarett Hunter run for 7 yds to the HOW 44Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+15
84.7%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass incomplete deep right to Hezekiah,Nah'Shawn PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Gulley,Keylen) 15 yards from HOW44 to EMU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
83.2%
Kasey Hawthorne run for 3 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-15
83.0%
Howard Penalty, Intentional Grounding Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the HOW 34Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 35
OWN 34
+9
87.6%
Ian Wheeler run for 9 yds to the HOW 43Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 26
OWN 43
+13
87.7%
Aaron Bickerton punt for 50 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 13 yds to the EMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19FG
17 plays · 73 yds · 7:2289% → 98%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.7%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMU 20Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
89.2%
Austin Smith run for 22 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
91.2%
Hamze El-Zayat run for 6 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+12
91.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 12 yds to the HOW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.6%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the HOW 36Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+9
93.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 9 yds to the HOW 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
95.1%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the HOW 24Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
95.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the HOW 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
95.5%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the HOW 13Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
95.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Max Reese for 6 yds to the HOW 7Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
95.3%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the HOW 7Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+25
98.0%
Kenyon Bowyer 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:495% → 3%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the HOW 26Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
95.7%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 5 yds to the HOW 31Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
96.2%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Quinton pass incomplete short left to Williams,One QB hurried by Price,Peyton PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Gulley,Keylen) 15 yards from HOW31 to HOW46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
95.7%
Quinton Williams sacked by Mikah Coleman for a loss of 10 yards to the HOW 36Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 20
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie IlarrazaSimilar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 20
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Howard Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 20
OWN 36
-5
97.5%
Quinton Williams sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the HOW 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
98.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the HOW 27Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
98.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the HOW 23Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+5
98.9%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the HOW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
98.9%
A. Smith takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:00
Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 23 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK)
-12
TD · Q2 12:20
Tanner Knue 20 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Kenyon Bowyer Kick)
+2.9
FG · Q4 4:04
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 04:04
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com