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SFPA

Saint Francis 17 at Western Michigan 35

WMU
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadSFPA aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreSFPA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:01 · Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 17 yds to the SFPA 21 for a 1ST down St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Defensive Offside (Damon Horton) declined for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+30.1Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:40: Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +4.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:12: Cole Doyle pass complete to Dawson Snyder for 77 yds for a TD (Macrae Plummer KICK) — SFPA win probability +5.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:43: QuaSean Holmes run for 5 yds for a TD (Macrae Plummer KICK) — SFPA win probability +11.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 2:17: Jack Salopek pass complete to Austin Hence for 9 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +9.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:01: Marshawn Kneeland run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +6.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SFPA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:01WMU 4th & 4 at SFPA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01SFPA 4th & 15 at SFPA 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:01SFPA 4th & 2 at SFPA 16, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 1 at SFPA 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21SFPA 4th & 3 at WMU 3, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:54SFPA 4th & 7 at SFPA 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:19WMU 4th & 13 at SFPA 31, up 18
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:06WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:17SFPA 4th & 16 at SFPA 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:01WMU 4th & 1 at SFPA 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−6.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:48SFPA 4th & 8 at SFPA 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:16WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:13SFPA 4th & 12 at SFPA 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SFPA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:11WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:35WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:40WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:12SFPA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:43SFPA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:17WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:01WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:5081% → 83%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
81.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
81.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 11 yds to the SFPA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
81.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the SFPA 41Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
81.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the SFPA 40Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
81.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the SFPA 38Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+17
81.2%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 17 yds to the SFPA 21 for a 1ST down St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Defensive Offside (Damon Horton) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
81.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the SFPA 16Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
81.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the SFPA 12Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
81.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the SFPA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
81.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the SFPA 5Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
82.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2INT
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:0082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
82.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
82.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+13
82.4%
Jack Salopek run for 13 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
82.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+31
82.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 31 yds to the SFPA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
82.4%
Jack Salopek run for 1 yd to the SFPA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+13
82.4%
Jack Salopek run for 13 yds to the SFPA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
82.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 1 yd to the SFPA 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.4%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the SFPA 10Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.4%
Jack Salopek pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 3Uncategorized
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5918% → 18%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Damon Horton run for no gain to the SFPA 20Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Casey McKinneySimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
82.3%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Dawson SnyderSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-5
82.4%
PENALTY SFU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SFU20 to SFU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
82.3%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1018% → 18%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
81.9%
Jordan Jackson run for 1 yd to the SFPA 9Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+6
82.0%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Damon Horton for 6 yds to the SFPA 15Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+1
82.1%
Cole Doyle run for 1 yd to the SFPA 16Similar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
82.2%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:2683% → 87%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
82.5%
Keshawn King run for 7 yds to the SFPA 49Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
82.5%
Jack Salopek run for 3 yds to the SFPA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
82.6%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the SFPA 42Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
82.6%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 4 yds to the SFPA 38Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
82.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the SFPA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
82.6%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 4 yds to the SFPA 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
82.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
82.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the SFPA 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
81.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the SFPA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
82.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 6 yds to the SFPA 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
82.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+14
82.1%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Keshawn King for 14 yds to the SFPA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
82.4%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the SFPA 2Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.6%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 6FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:1415% → 17%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.7%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Damon HortonSimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
84.7%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Casey McKinney for 4 yds to the SFPA 36Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-5
84.8%
PENALTY SFU False Start (Ramil,Jesse) 5 yards from SFU36 to SFU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+41
85.0%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Mekhi Workman for 41 yds to the WMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
83.6%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Casey McKinney for 23 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.6%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Dawson SnyderSimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
83.6%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Damon Horton for 3 yds to the WMU 2Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.0%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Damon Horton for 1 yd to the WMU 3Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
82.6%
Macrae Plummer 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:4184% → 90%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
84.1%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 4 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+6
84.1%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Kadinn Morris for 6 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
84.1%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
84.7%
Keshawn King run for 7 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
84.8%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Keshawn KingSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
84.6%
Jack Salopek run for 11 yds to the SFPA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
84.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 7 yds to the SFPA 37Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+9
84.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the SFPA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
84.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 20 yds to the SFPA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
84.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the SFPA 3Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4611% → 10%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
88.9%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Dawson SnyderSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
89.1%
Jordan Jackson run for 2 yds to the SFPA 23Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+1
89.2%
Cole Doyle run for 1 yd to the SFPA 24Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
89.6%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:3590% → 90%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
90.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the SFPA 45Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+15
90.0%
St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Eddie Bierals) to the SFPA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
90.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hailey,Jamal rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SFU26 (Glassmyer,Carter) PENALTY WMU Holding (Bosma,Blake) 10 yards from SFU28 to SFU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+7
90.2%
Jamal Hailey run for 7 yds to the SFPA 31Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
90.2%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jamal HaileySimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
89.9%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 13
OPP 31
0
89.5%
Carson Voss punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 10TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 1:0710% → 16%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
90.3%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Mekhi Workman for 4 yds to the SFPA 10Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+2
90.2%
QuaSean Holmes run for 2 yds to the SFPA 12Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+11
89.8%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Mekhi Workman for 11 yds to the SFPA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
84.5%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Dawson Snyder for 77 yds for a TD (Macrae Plummer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 1:0685% → 85%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 12 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
85.5%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 8 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
85.9%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
85.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 4 yds to the SFPA 47Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
86.1%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 3 yds to the SFPA 44Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-7
85.7%
Jack Salopek sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WMU 49Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
84.8%
Carson Voss punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFPA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
85.7%
QuaSean Holmes run for no gain to the SFPA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 13TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 5:1715% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
85.2%
Jordan Jackson run for 10 yds to the SFPA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
85.1%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Casey McKinney for 28 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.7%
Jordan Jackson run for no gain to the WMU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
84.0%
QuaSean Holmes run for 19 yds to the WMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
82.8%
QuaSean Holmes run for 7 yds to the WMU 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+1
82.8%
QuaSean Holmes run for 1 yd to the WMU 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
83.6%
QuaSean Holmes run for 3 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
82.8%
Cole Doyle sacked by Boone Bonnema for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+17
83.5%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Casey McKinney for 17 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.6%
QuaSean Holmes run for 5 yds for a TD (Macrae Plummer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:2677% → 90%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
77.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 8 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
78.2%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
77.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
79.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
78.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
79.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 4
50
+4
78.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the SFPA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
79.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the SFPA 45Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
79.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the SFPA 44Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+18
78.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 18 yds to the SFPA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
80.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short left to Thomas,Leroy PENALTY WMU Illegal Formation 5 yards from SFU26 to SFU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+4
79.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the SFPA 24 Jalen Buckley fumbled, recovered by WMU Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
80.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the SFPA 20Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
79.3%
PENALTY SFU Offside (Martin,Jason) 5 yards from SFU20 to SFU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
80.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the SFPA 16Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+7
80.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the SFPA 9Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
89.5%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Austin Hence for 9 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:0012% → 11%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.1%
QuaSean Holmes run for 5 yds to the SFPA 30Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.1%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Casey McKinneySimilar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+25
87.9%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Dawson Snyder for 10 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (DaShon Bussell) to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.7%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Mekhi WorkmanSimilar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
85.9%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Mekhi WorkmanSimilar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-6
86.7%
Cole Doyle sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SFPA 49Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
88.8%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5990% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+68
89.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 68 yds to the SFPA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
90.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the SFPA 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
90.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the SFPA 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the SFPA 1Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Marshawn Kneeland run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 4:134% → 3%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
Damon Horton run for 8 yds to the SFPA 33Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.1%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Damon Horton for 1 yd to the SFPA 34Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
96.2%
Jordan Jackson run for 3 yds to the SFPA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.1%
QuaSean Holmes run for 2 yds to the SFPA 35Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
96.4%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Mekhi Workman for 6 yds to the SFPA 41Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-2
96.2%
Cole Doyle sacked by Donald Willis for a loss of 2 yards to the SFPA 39Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
97.2%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3298% → 99%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
98.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 4 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
98.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.1%
Jack Salopek run for 2 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
98.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 41Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
98.1%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+14
98.5%
Carson Voss punt for 50 yds , Casey McKinney returns for 14 yds to the SFPA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:032% → 2%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.7%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Dawson SnyderSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.7%
Damon Horton run for 2 yds to the SFPA 21Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Casey McKinneySimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
98.3%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 34 yds · 5:1399% → 99%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
98.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 8 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
98.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
98.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+6
98.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the SFPA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the SFPA 42Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+8
98.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the SFPA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
99.3%
T. Bourguet takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:43
QuaSean Holmes run for 5 yds for a TD (Macrae Plummer KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q3 2:17
Jack Salopek pass complete to Austin Hence for 9 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q4 13:01
Marshawn Kneeland run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com