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OHIO

Ohio 13 at San Diego State 20

SDSU
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:23 · Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense+8.5Pregame prior+2.3Garbage-time factor+2.4Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 13 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 13:32: Jack Browning 21 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:39: Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:59: CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 3 yds for a TD, (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +15.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:54: kickoff for 13 yds — SDSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:53SDSU 4th & 7 at OHIO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:22OHIO 4th & 2 at SDSU 2, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54OHIO 4th & 15 at SDSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:17SDSU 4th & 14 at SDSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:45SDSU 4th & 7 at OHIO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:44OHIO 4th & 5 at SDSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:37SDSU 4th & 19 at SDSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:12OHIO 4th & 4 at SDSU 13, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:02SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:41OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:23SDSU 4th & 2 at OHIO 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−1.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−14.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:32SDSU 4th & 3 at OHIO 4, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%−1.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−16.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:08OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 41, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:39OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:04OHIO 4th & 6 at SDSU 6, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:55SDSU 4th & 3 at OHIO 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:55OHIO 4th & 2 at SDSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:00SDSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:39SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:59OHIO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:0759% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the SDSU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
58.6%
Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
58.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 5 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
58.6%
Kenan Christon run for 8 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
58.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+22
58.6%
Kenan Christon run for 22 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
58.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
58.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
58.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
59.3%
Jack Browning 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
16 plays · 81 yds · 6:2641% → 42%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
59.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 8 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+8
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
59.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+12
59.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 12 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
58.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+13
58.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 13 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
58.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 12 yds to the SDSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
58.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the SDSU 18Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+10
58.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 10 yds to the SDSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
58.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the SDSU 3Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
58.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the SDSU 2Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q1 4:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
58.2%
Gianni Spetic 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:2559% → 60%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
59.3%
Martin Blake run for 2 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+11
59.0%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 11 yds to the SDSU 41Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+8
59.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 8 yds to the SDSU 49 Jaylon Armstead fumbled, recovered by OHIO Austin BrawleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:5743% → 41%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
57.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 3 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
57.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rourke,Kurtis pass incomplete short right to Cross,Miles broken up by Malone,Dez, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SDS Pass Interference (Malone,Dez) 9 yards from SDS46 to SDS37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
57.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rourke,Kurtis pass complete short left to Walton,Ty for 13 yards to the SDS24, out of bounds at SDS24 PENALTY OHU Holding 10 yards from SDS37 to SDS47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+5
57.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+10
58.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 10 yds to the SDSU 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-10
56.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Zyrus Fiaseu for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSU 42Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
58.7%
Jared Wheatley punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3760% → 58%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
59.5%
Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSU 8Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 8
0
59.3%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+1
58.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 1 yd to the SDSU 7Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 14
OWN 7
+11
58.4%
Jack Browning punt for 57 yds , Tyler Walton returns for 11 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
58.2%
CJ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2562% → 61%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
61.5%
Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+15
61.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 15 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
62.1%
Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the OHIO 23Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+2
62.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jay Rudolph for 2 yds to the OHIO 21Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
61.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
60.7%
Jack Browning 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 6:0142% → 47%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
58.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+6
57.8%
CJ Harris run for 6 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
57.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+5
56.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
56.6%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 16 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
56.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the SDSU 32Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
55.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
55.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
55.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
56.3%
CJ Harris run for no gain to the SDSU 23Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
53.1%
Gianni Spetic 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -19 yds · 1:5955% → 52%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
54.9%
Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 31Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
54.9%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSU 36 San Diego State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ross Ulugalu-Maseuli) to the SDSU 21Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 19
OWN 21
0
54.2%
Cam Davis run for no gain to the SDSU 21Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 19
OWN 21
0
53.2%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 19
OWN 21
+3
52.0%
Jack Browning punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 22 , Tyler Walton returns for 3 yds to the OHIO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:5347% → 52%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
53.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
52.9%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+22
52.7%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 22 yds to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
50.4%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 11 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
50.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 14 yds to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
49.5%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
49.6%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 4 yds to the SDSU 19Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
47.9%
CJ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 0:4454% → 67%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+37
54.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 22 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, Personal Foul (O'Shaan Allison) to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
58.7%
Shotgun Mayden,Jalen pass complete short right to Christon,Kenan for 2 yards to the OHU32 (Reynolds,Walter) PENALTY SDS Holding 10 yards from OHU34 to OHU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+22
55.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 22 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
58.8%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
58.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 11 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
58.1%
Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the OHIO 13Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
57.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+13
67.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 13 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12MISSED FG
20 plays · 62 yds · 7:4337% → 36%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
63.5%
CJ Harris run for 1 yd to the OHIO 15Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+20
64.0%
CJ Harris pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 20 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.8%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+11
63.5%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 11 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
60.6%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
61.4%
CJ Harris run for 6 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+6
60.5%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 6 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
60.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the SDSU 37Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
60.0%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+7
60.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the SDSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.0%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-9
59.1%
Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the SDSU 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 19
OPP 39
0
61.8%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+20
63.1%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 20 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.7%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
59.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the SDSU 15Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+2
59.9%
Tyler Walton run for 2 yds to the SDSU 13Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
64.1%
Gianni Spetic 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1068% → 66%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.1%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
67.8%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 20Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
66.3%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+9
65.9%
Jack Browning punt for 52 yds , Tyler Walton returns for 9 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2135% → 32%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
65.5%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
62.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
62.4%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
63.8%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 8
OPP 46
-5
66.6%
PENALTY OHU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SDS46 to OHU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
67.9%
Jared Wheatley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 6:0968% → 83%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+48
68.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 48 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
72.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 11 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
72.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 7 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-10
72.6%
Shotgun Armstead,Jaylon rush left for 0 yards to the OHU15 (Parodie,Roman; Brawley,Austin) PENALTY SDS Holding (Redman,Mark) 10 yards from OHU15 to OHU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+7
72.0%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 7 yds to the OHIO 18Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+4
71.2%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jay Rudolph for 4 yds to the OHIO 14Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+3
71.2%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
74.5%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the OHIO 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
74.5%
Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the OHIO 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
73.2%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the OHIO 4Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
83.1%
Jack Browning 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1722% → 21%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
77.8%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 9 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
76.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 41Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
76.2%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
79.3%
Jared Wheatley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 6:2984% → 97%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
83.5%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 26Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+11
83.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 11 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
84.5%
Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSU 41Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+23
85.5%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 23 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
86.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 9 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+12
86.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 12 yds to the OHIO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
86.4%
Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the OHIO 14Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+4
86.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 4 yds to the OHIO 10Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+5
85.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 5 yds to the OHIO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.4%
Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the OHIO 4Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
20 plays · 65 yds · 3:407% → 20%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
93.0%
CJ Harris run for 8 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
92.8%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+6
93.0%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
92.6%
CJ Harris run for 2 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-2
92.4%
CJ Harris sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+15
96.8%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
96.6%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Foster for 7 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+8
96.2%
CJ Harris run for 8 yds to the SDSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
96.2%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+15
96.3%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Will Kacmarek for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cedarious Barfield) to the SDSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.2%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.2%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.4%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.8%
CJ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,CJ pass intercepted by Ratcliffe,Marcus at SDS00 Ratcliffe,Marcus return 100 yards to the OHU00, End Of Play PENALTY SDS Roughing The Passer 3 yards from SDS06 to SDS03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.4%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 3 yds for a TD, (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5995% → 96%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.4%
Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
95.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+5
95.1%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+1
95.8%
Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the OHIO 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:559% → 14%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.2%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
91.6%
CJ Harris pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 10 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.3%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Tyler WaltonSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
90.6%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+8
91.2%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Walton for 8 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+14
90.0%
CJ Harris pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 14 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.7%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
86.5%
CJ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:59
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 3 yds for a TD, (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-15.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+13.5
TD · Q4 5:39
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com