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UL Monroe 21 at Louisiana 52

UL
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Charlie Norman run for 5 yds to the ULM 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:45: Jiya Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Braxton Guilbeau KICK) — ULM win probability +4.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:25: Dylan Howell 24 Yd Fumble Return (Braxton Guilbeau Kick) — ULM win probability +5.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:51: Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +5.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:32: Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +7.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:20: Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 28 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 13:52ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:24ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:41UL 4th & 5 at ULM 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:33ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 26, down 10
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q4 13:38ULM 4th & 11 at UL 16, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:07UL 4th & 17 at UL 18, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 7:14ULM 4th & 15 at UL 16, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:36UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:45ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:41UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:25ULM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:51UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:32UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:20UL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:06UL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:14ULM Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:37UL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0814% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.1%
Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
86.1%
Blake Murphy pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 3 yds to the ULM 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
86.1%
Blake Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:1686% → 86%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
50
+10
85.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 10 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
85.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 41Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+10
85.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 10 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+13
85.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 13 yds to the ULM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
85.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the ULM 15Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
85.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the ULM 12Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+7
85.8%
Chandler Fields run for 7 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the ULM 5Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.9%
Chandler Fields run for 5 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 7:4415% → 20%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
85.5%
Bennett Galloway run for 3 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
85.5%
Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
85.5%
Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
85.4%
Jiya Wright run for 5 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+11
85.3%
Bennett Galloway run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
50
+8
85.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for 8 yds to the UL 42Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+7
85.2%
Jiya Wright run for 7 yds to the UL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
85.1%
Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+9
85.1%
Bennett Galloway run for 9 yds to the UL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
85.1%
Bennett Galloway run for 6 yds to the UL 15Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+8
85.1%
Bennett Galloway run for 8 yds to the UL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.1%
Louisiana Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the UL 4Similar
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.1%
Jiya Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
85.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the UL 2Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.5%
Jiya Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Braxton Guilbeau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:0483% → 85%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.5%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
82.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Charles Robertson for 3 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+38
82.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 38 yds to the ULM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
82.5%
Zylan Perry run for 8 yds to the ULM 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
0
82.5%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+6
82.1%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 6 yds to the ULM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.2%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:1016% → 16%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
84.1%
Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
84.0%
Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 27Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-20
84.3%
QB Keeper MURPHY, Blake rush up the middle for a gain of 20 yards to the ULM47 (CLARK, Jalen). PENALTY ULM Face mask on LOCKETTE, Tellek enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the ULM27 to the ULM14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+2
84.5%
Bennett Galloway run for 2 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 17
OWN 16
0
84.5%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:4385% → 85%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
84.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 22 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
85.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 20 yds to the ULM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
85.0%
Chandler Fields run for 5 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
85.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the ULM 5Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-2
84.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 7Similar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
84.6%
Kenneth Almendares 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0015% → 15%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
84.9%
Bennett Galloway run for 3 yds to the ULM 21Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
85.0%
Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
84.9%
Blake Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
85.5%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
80.0%
Dylan Howell 24 Yd Fumble Return (Braxton Guilbeau Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 5:2480% → 87%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
79.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 3 yards to the UL 11Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+9
79.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 9 yds to the UL 20Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+4
79.1%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Trayv'on Culbert for 4 yds to the UL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
79.9%
UL Monroe Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
80.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 10 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
81.3%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the ULM 45Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+18
81.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 18 yds to the ULM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
81.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+15
81.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 15 yds to the ULM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
81.6%
FIELDS, Chandler pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to KIBODI, Jacob caught at the ULM8 and advanced to the ULM7 (GODSEY JR, David). PENALTY UL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JOHNSON, Neal enforced 5 yards from the ULM11 to the ULM16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+13
81.5%
Chandler Fields run for 13 yds to the ULM 3Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
86.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0515% → 15%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.7%
Blake Murphy pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
84.7%
Blake Murphy pass intercepted Jalen Clark return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
50
-15
85.5%
Louisiana Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Clark) to the UL 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:5984% → 92%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.4%
Chandler Fields run for 3 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
85.1%
FIELDS, Chandler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROUSSARD, Harvey thrown to the ULM45. PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on HINES, Simion enforced 15 yards to the ULM47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
85.6%
Chandler Fields sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 42Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
85.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+16
85.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jaydon Johnson for 16 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the ULM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:3792% → 96%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
92.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the ULM 47Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+17
91.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Charles Robertson for 17 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
92.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Charles Robertson for 2 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
96.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 28 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14INT
13 plays · 46 yds · 6:014% → 3%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Jiya Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.7%
Hunter Smith run for 5 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
95.6%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 7 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.6%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 2 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
95.6%
Bennett Galloway run for 6 yds to the UL 46Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
95.4%
Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.4%
Jiya Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
95.5%
Jiya Wright run for no gain to the UL 41Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+11
95.6%
Jiya Wright pass complete to NyNy Davis for 11 yds to the UL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
95.1%
Jiya Wright pass complete to NyNy Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 32Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+10
95.3%
WRIGHT, Jiya pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HOWELL, Tyrone thrown to the UL0. PENALTY UL Holding on LEWIS, Tyrone enforced 10 yards from the UL32 to the UL22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
95.0%
Bennett Galloway run for 2 yds to the UL 20Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-10
96.6%
Jiya Wright pass intercepted Caleb Anderson return for 10 yds to the UL 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:0897% → 100%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
97.0%
Elijah Davis run for 17 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
97.1%
Elijah Davis run for 11 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
97.2%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+13
97.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 13 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
97.8%
Elijah Davis run for 20 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
97.8%
FIELDS, Chandler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CARTER, Kaleb thrown to the ULM6. PENALTY ULM Offsides on WARE, Jaylan enforced 5 yards from the ULM22 to the ULM17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+7
97.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 7 yds to the ULM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.7%
Elijah Davis run for 10 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:220% → 0%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
99.6%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 9 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Jiya Wright run for 2 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
99.6%
Bennett Galloway run for 4 yds to the ULM 46Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+39
99.6%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 39 yds to the UL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the UL 11Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-3
99.8%
Jiya Wright sacked by Tyler Guidry for a loss of 3 yards to the UL 14Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-2
99.8%
Blake Murphy sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 16Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 11
OPP 16
-9
99.8%
Blake Murphy sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 9 yards to the UL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Elijah Davis run for no gain to the UL 25Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Elijah Davis run for 7 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Louisiana Penalty, Intentional Grounding (D'Wayne Winfield) to the UL 18Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Thomas Leo punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Howell at the ULM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18TD
16 plays · 51 yds · 4:530% → 1%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.9%
NyNy Davis run for 14 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Charlie Norman run for 4 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Charlie Norman run for 4 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-5
99.9%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UL 34Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+9
99.9%
Charlie Norman run for 9 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.8%
Bennett Galloway run for 8 yds to the UL 17Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Blake Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Charlie Norman run for 4 yds to the UL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
99.8%
Charlie Norman run for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 15Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
99.9%
UL Monroe Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Blake Murphy) to the UL 23Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 20
OPP 23
0
99.9%
MURPHY, Blake pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HOWELL, Tyrone thrown to the UL0. PENALTY UL Pass Interference on JACKSON, Kody enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the UL12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (NyNy Davis) to the UL 16Similar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Blake Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Blake Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Blake Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+16
99.3%
Blake Murphy pass complete to Alred Luke for 16 yds for a TD (Braxton Guilbeau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:3799% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Elijah Davis run for 5 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.2%
D'Wayne Winfield run for 15 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.3%
Elijah Davis run for 16 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.3%
Elijah Davis run for 10 yds to the ULM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+11
99.3%
D'Wayne Winfield run for 11 yds to the ULM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.3%
D'Wayne Winfield run for 3 yds to the ULM 11Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
99.3%
Elijah Davis run for 6 yds to the ULM 5Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
99.3%
D'Wayne Winfield run for 4 yds to the ULM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.3%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 2Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Alan Guerrieri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for 5 yds to the ULM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:32
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q2 8:25
Dylan Howell 24 Yd Fumble Return (Braxton Guilbeau Kick)
-5.5
TD · Q2 2:51
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com