Try the model
JMU

James Madison 56 at Coastal Carolina 14

CCU
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:53 · Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense−52.5Score differential−40.8Garbage-time factor−12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.2Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:41: Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +3.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 29 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:26: Elijah Sarratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +16.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:38: Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +6.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:22: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:46JMU 4th & 17 at JMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54JMU 4th & 7 at CCU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:56CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:56JMU 4th & 1 at CCU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:22CCU 4th & 10 at JMU 32, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:54CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:45CCU 4th & 11 at CCU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:54CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:15JMU 4th & 1 at CCU 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:53CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:50JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 41, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2JMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 5:41JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:26JMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:38JMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:22JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:07CCU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:15JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:55JMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:47JMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:12CCU Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:1451% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.2%
Lawton,Ty Son rush left (Whitson,Will;Isbell,Clayton).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
49.2%
Jordan McCloud sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the JMU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
49.2%
James Madison Penalty, delay of game (Taurus Jones) to the JMU 18Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
49.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 34 yds , Jared Brown returns for no gain to the CCU 18 Coastal Carolina Penalty, illegal formation (Yards) to the CCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5251% → 50%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
49.4%
pass incomplete to Zach HortonSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
49.4%
pass incomplete to Phoenix SprolesSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+3
49.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
49.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5850% → 50%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
49.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
49.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jared Brown, broken up by Devyn ColesSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+1
49.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese White for 1 yd to the CCU 18Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+11
49.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 43 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:1550% → 54%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+10
49.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 10 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete, broken up by JT KillenSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
49.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 10 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
49.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Ty Son Lawton, broken up by JT KillenSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
49.5%
Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-5
49.6%
James Madison Penalty, false start (Elijah Sarratt) to the CCU 28Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+7
49.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 7 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+9
49.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 9 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
49.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kyi Wright for 11 yds to the CCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:1447% → 46%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
47.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 26 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
48.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
50
+3
48.1%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
48.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 15 yds to the JMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
48.7%
Vasko,Ethan rush middle (Kamara,Mikail;Tucker,Tyrique).Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
48.7%
pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
48.0%
pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
46.0%
pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:3055% → 62%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
45.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
45.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+16
45.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Yamir Knight for 16 yds to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
44.7%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+14
44.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 14 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
38.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 29 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
36.1%
Jordan McCloud pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:5140% → 37%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
40.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 35 Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Del Grande) to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 17
OWN 25
+1
39.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+5
39.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+6
39.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 6 yds to the CCU 37Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
37.0%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:0139% → 35%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
38.5%
Reese White run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 45Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+2
37.7%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-1
37.7%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 46Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
35.4%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:1966% → 83%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
34.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 14 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
33.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 3
50
+11
33.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 11 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
33.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 8 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+12
33.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 12 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
33.1%
Kaelon Black run for 14 yds to the CCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
33.1%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the CCU 4Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
33.1%
McCloud,Jordan rush (Lusk,Keonte), PENALTY JMU holding (Wright,Kyi) 10 yards to the CCU-6. James Madison Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyi Wright) to the CCU 14Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-5
33.2%
James Madison Penalty, false start (Carter Miller) to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+10
33.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 1 yd to the CCU 18 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, personal foul (Clayton Isbell) to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
33.1%
Jordan McCloud run for 8 yds to the CCU 1Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.1%
McCloud,Jordan rush middle (Whitson,Will).Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.9%
Elijah Sarratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0021% → 23%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
21.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 10 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
21.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 7 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
22.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to CJ Beasley for 6 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:0886% → 92%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
14.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 19 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
14.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 14 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
14.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 7 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
14.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the CCU 1Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
7.9%
James Madison Penalty, delay of game (Taurus Jones) to the CCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 69 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.9%
pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
6.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 16 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
7.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jared Brown, broken up by Francis MeehanSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
6.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kyre Duplessis, broken up by Devyn ColesSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+53
6.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 46 yds to the JMU 13 James Madison Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Jacob Thomas) to the JMU 6Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
7.8%
pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:066% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Max Balthazar for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
6.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
5.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 1 yd to the CCU 34Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
5.2%
Bennett,Braydon rush middle (Kromah,Jamree).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:3295% → 97%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
5.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
5.3%
pass incomplete to Reggie BrownSimilar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+14
5.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 14 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
5.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 2 yds to the CCU 14Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+10
5.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 10 yds to the CCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
5.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Reggie BrownSimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:153% → 4%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
2.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 11 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
2.9%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
2.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
2.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 10 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+42
3.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Max Balthazar for 42 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:4997% → 97%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
2.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Yamir Knight for 7 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
2.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Taji Hudson, broken up by Tobias FletcherSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
2.7%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+32
2.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 32 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:552% → 1%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
1.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+19
1.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 19 yds Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by JMU D'Angelo Ponds Vasko,Ethan right pass complete to Bennett,Braydon for 19 yards to the JMU33, fumble by Vasko,Ethan recovered by JMU Ponds,D'Angelo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:1698% → 99%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
1.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 14 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
1.5%
pass incomplete to Phoenix SprolesSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
1.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+15
1.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 15 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
1.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 11 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.5%
Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
1.4%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CCU 16Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
1.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 10 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:021% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
0.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese White for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Brown,Jared rush left (Thomas,Jacob).Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+6
0.5%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 6 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
0.4%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 4:0699% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
0.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 8 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
0.6%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
0.6%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 1 yd to the JMU 42Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+18
0.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 18 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
0.6%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 13 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.6%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 3 yds to the CCU 24Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
0.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 24 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:290% → 0%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 3 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
0.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 5 yds to the CCU 46Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 2 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 3 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
0.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+18
0.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 18 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the JMU 25Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
0.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 9 yds to the JMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
0.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 16 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
0.2%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 8 yds to the JMU 43 James Madison Penalty, personal foul (Carter Sweazie) to the JMU 28Similar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 17
OWN 28
+3
0.2%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 3 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+4
0.2%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 4 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.2%
James Madison Penalty, delay of game (Taurus Jones) to the JMU 30Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+11
0.2%
Billy Atkins run for 11 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
0.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 9 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 1
OWN 25
-1
0.1%
Max Balthazar run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:26
Elijah Sarratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 14:52
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 29 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q2 0:38
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com